Super Sub bets and Opta stats

England vs Argentina Stats Comparison: Super Sub Bets, Corners, Cards and Shots

England vs Argentina is a high-intent Super Sub page: Kane and Bellingham shots, Messi goal involvement, Argentina's 17-goal attack, corners if England chase width, and cards if midfield transitions become tactical.

Quick match path

Stats first, odds second.

Group
World Cup 2026 semi-final
Kick-off
Wednesday, July 15, 2026 - Atlanta Stadium
Venue
Atlanta Stadium
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Opta lean

52.9%

England to reach the final in Opta's preview model.

Goals watch

Messi 8

Messi is level with Mbappe as tournament goal leader.

Shots watch

Kane

England player props start with Kane and Bellingham.

Cards watch

Midfield

Rice, De Paul, Romero and Otamendi are live if transitions open.

Team comparison

England vs Argentina stats

Lower FIFA ranking number is better. For betting, ranking is context only; lineups and live game state still matter.

StatEnglandArgentinaEdge

Opta final reach projection

Opta Analyst described the final-reach margin as almost exactly even.

52.9%47.1%Context

90-minute win probability

The draw to extra-time was listed at 29.3%.

39.1%31.6%Context

Recent knockout result

Norway 1-2 England AETArgentina 3-1 Switzerland AETProfile

Previous knockout result

Mexico 2-3 EnglandArgentina 3-2 EgyptProfile

Recent Opta table totals

From the loaded Opta match-summary tables for Norway-England and Argentina-Switzerland.

8 corners, 16 shots, 6 SOT7 corners, 18 shots, 7 SOTContext

Recent card totals

Argentina-Switzerland's red card was charged to Embolo on the Switzerland side.

0 yellows2 yellows, 1 red against SwitzerlandContext

Tournament scoring signal

Kane 6, Bellingham 6Messi 8, Argentina 17 team goalsProfile

Corner betting route

Saka / Gordon widthMessi switches and full-back pressureProfile

Card watch

Rice / centre-backsDe Paul / Romero / OtamendiProfile

England profile

World Cup 2026 semi-finalist after beating Norway 2-1 AET

England
FIFA rank
4
World Cups
17
Best finish
Winners, 1966
Coach
Thomas Tuchel

Argentina profile

World Cup 2026 semi-finalist after beating Switzerland 3-1 AET

Argentina
FIFA rank
3
World Cups
19
Best finish
Winners, 1978, 1986 and 2022
Coach
Lionel Scaloni

Player watch

Sort the key players by ranking context and World Cup experience

Argentina

Argentina

Lionel Messi

Forward

Eight tournament goals; 1 assist, 1 shot and 1 corner won vs Switzerland.

Julian Alvarez

Forward

Extra-time scorer vs Switzerland; aggressive shot and press profile.

Alexis Mac Allister

Midfielder

Scored opener vs Switzerland; 4 shots, 1 on target and 2 corners won.

England

England

Jude Bellingham

Midfielder

Six tournament goals; 3 shots, 1 on target and 1 goal vs Norway.

Harry Kane

Forward

Six tournament goals; 2 shots and 1 on target vs Norway.

Anthony Gordon

Winger

Assist and 1 corner won vs Norway; useful for wide pressure and corners.

Head to head

H2H context

England have lost only two of 14 internationals against Argentina and are unbeaten in 90 minutes in the last five, but Argentina bring the stronger recent World Cup title pedigree.

England

6

Draws

6

Argentina

2

Betting markets

Cards, corners and live triggers

Corners prediction

Over 4.5 first-half corners and over 10.5 match corners are playable only if both sides attack wide early. England corners rise through Saka, Gordon and overlapping full-backs; Argentina corners rise if Messi and Alvarez force blocks around the box.

Cards prediction

Cards lean toward midfield and centre-back duels. Rice, De Paul, Romero and Otamendi are the names to watch, especially if Bellingham carries through midfield or Messi receives between the lines.

  • England: Kane and Bellingham are the first shots-on-target checks.
  • England: Saka minutes matter for assists, corners and Super Sub-style protection.
  • Argentina: Messi role decides scorer, assist and shot markets.
  • Argentina: Romero/Otamendi pairing matters for cards against Kane and Bellingham runs.

Super Sub FTD routes

Best Super Sub predictions, bets and odds checks

Use the Opta form first, then check live odds. William Hill and Betfred are the English-page routes; ComeOn covers SE, PL, NO and DK direct-bet traffic.

William Hill

William Hill

Impact Sub

Check player shots on target, card markets and corner builders. Confirm the Super Sub-style label in the bet slip before staking.

Open William Hill
Betfred

Betfred

Sub Switch

Check player shots on target, card markets and corner builders. Confirm the Super Sub-style label in the bet slip before staking.

Open Betfred
ComeOn

ComeOn

Super Sub

Check player shots on target, card markets and corner builders. Confirm the Super Sub-style label in the bet slip before staking.

Open ComeOn

6 Opta match summaries

England World Cup form

Corners

5.67

Shots

14.5

SOT

5.67

YC

1.17

Goals

2

RC

0.17

Shots on target leaders

  • Kane 21 shots / 11 SOT
  • Bellingham 14 / 10
  • Rashford 8 / 2
  • Saka 4 / 0
  • Madueke 4 / 0

Corner leaders

  • Rice 7
  • Gordon 3
  • Bellingham 3
  • Kane 3
  • Madueke 2

Card watch

  • Quansah 1 YC / 1 RC
  • Rice 2 YC
  • Guehi 1 YC
  • O'Reilly 1 YC
  • Henderson 1 YC
MatchCornersShotsSOTCardsPlayer signals
Norway 1-2 England3720Y / 0RShots: Bellingham 3/1, Kane 2/1
Corners: Gordon 1, Madueke 1
Mexico 2-3 England2654Y / 1RShots: Bellingham 3/3, O'Reilly 1/0
Corners: Gordon 2
Cards: Rice 1Y, Guehi 1Y
England 2-1 Congo DR51671Y / 0RShots: Kane 5/3, Rashford 3/1
Corners: Rice 2, O'Reilly 1
Cards: Bellingham 1Y
Panama 0-2 England71761Y / 0RShots: Rashford 5/1, Saka 3/0
Corners: Bellingham 2, Rashford 2
Cards: Quansah 1Y
England 0-0 Ghana91931Y / 0RShots: Anderson 4/0, Rice 3/0
Corners: Rice 2, Kane 1
Cards: Rice 1Y
England 4-2 Croatia822110Y / 0RShots: Kane 7/3, Bellingham 3/2
Corners: Rice 3, Kane 1

6 Opta match summaries

Argentina World Cup form

Corners

4.17

Shots

12.83

SOT

5.33

YC

0.33

Goals

2.17

RC

0

Shots on target leaders

  • Messi 27 shots / 16 SOT
  • Mac Allister 8 / 2
  • Martinez 8 / 3
  • Fernandez 7 / 3
  • Gonzalez 4 / 0

Corner leaders

  • Messi 7
  • Mac Allister 5
  • De Paul 2
  • Gonzalez 2
  • Simeone 2

Card watch

  • Medina 1 YC
  • Paredes 1 YC
MatchCornersShotsSOTCardsPlayer signals
Argentina 3-1 Switzerland5920Y / 0RShots: Mac Allister 4/1, Alvarez 1/0
Corners: Mac Allister 2, Alvarez 1
Argentina 3-2 Egypt61970Y / 0RShots: Messi 5/2, Martinez 3/0
Corners: Mac Allister 2, Messi 1
Argentina 3-2 Cabo Verde51580Y / 0RShots: Messi 7/5, Fernandez 3/2
Corners: Messi 2, Molina 1
Jordan 1-3 Argentina61240Y / 0RShots: Martinez 3/1, Messi 2/1
Corners: Simeone 2, Messi 2
Argentina 2-0 Austria11252Y / 0RShots: Messi 7/4, Fernandez 2/0
Corners: Gonzalez 1
Cards: Medina 1Y, Paredes 1Y
Argentina 3-0 Algeria21060Y / 0RShots: Messi 6/4, Mac Allister 2/1
Corners: De Paul 1, Messi 1

Betting takeaways from the stats

William Hill should lead English FTD clicks for Impact Sub player markets: Kane shots on target, Bellingham shots, Messi scorer/shot involvement and card markets are the first checks.

Betfred is the second English-page push because Sub Switch fits this match if starters are managed or extra-time risk changes player minutes.

ComeOn routes stay relevant for SE, PL, NO and DK readers who want direct bet slips and local Super Sub wording.

Corners are best treated as live-first, but both last games were useful: England-Norway had 8 corners and Argentina-Switzerland had 7. Over 4.5 first-half corners and over 10.5 match corners need early width from Gordon, Saka, Messi switches or Argentina full-backs.

Cards can beat result betting if the game becomes stretched: England recovery fouls on Messi/Alvarez and Argentina tactical fouls on Bellingham/Saka are the trigger points.

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