France - Spain
World Cup - Jul 14, 07:00 PM
Half time/Full time
Super Sub betting stats room
France vs Spain is built for high-intent Super Sub searches: Mbappe shot volume, Spain's late Merino impact, Rodri card pressure, first-half corners and 90-minute corner overs before checking William Hill, Betfred or ComeOn.
Quick match path
Stats first, odds second.
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World Cup - Jul 14, 07:00 PM
Half time/Full time
Super Sub hook
Merino
Spain's late-game weapon is the page's strongest substitute narrative.
Shots watch
Mbappe
France props start with Mbappe shots on target and scorer markets.
Corners lean
Over 4.5 1H
Only play if both wide units start fast and force blocks.
Cards watch
Rodri
Rodri yellow card is live if France transition through central lanes.
Team comparison
Lower FIFA ranking number is better. For betting, ranking is context only; lineups and live game state still matter.
| Stat | France | Spain | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
Opta final reach projection Opta Analyst preview: France reached the final in 57.1% of simulations. | 57.1% | 42.9% | Context |
90-minute win probability The draw to extra-time was listed at 27.1%. | 43.9% | 29.0% | Context |
Recent knockout result | France 2-0 Morocco | Spain 2-1 Belgium | Profile |
Previous knockout result | Paraguay 0-1 France | Portugal 0-1 Spain | Profile |
Recent Opta table totals From the loaded Opta match-summary tables for France-Morocco and Spain-Belgium. | 10 corners, 27 shots, 9 SOT | 6 corners, 22 shots, 10 SOT | Context |
Recent card totals Spain-Belgium carried the stronger card signal; Rodri was not booked in that game. | 1 yellow | 4 yellows | Context |
Tournament scoring signal Use player props only after checking lineups and Super Sub labels. | Mbappe 8, Dembele 5 | Merino late winners | Context |
Corner betting route Over 4.5 first-half corners and over 10.5 match corners are the high-upside markets to price-check. | Wide pace | Wide possession | Context |
Card watch | Tchouameni / full-backs | Rodri / midfield screen | Profile |
World Cup 2026 semi-finalist after beating Morocco 2-0
World Cup 2026 semi-finalist after beating Belgium 2-1
Player watch
Mikel Merino
Midfielder / emergency forward
Opta's Super Sub hook: 1 shot, 1 shot on target and the winner vs Belgium.
Rodri
Midfielder
Yellow-card watch if France break through Mbappe, Dembele and Barcola.
Lamine Yamal
Winger
Spain's biggest Belgium volume: 6 shots, 2 on target and 1 corner won.
Kylian Mbappe
Forward
Joint tournament leader on eight goals; 4 shots, 2 on target, 1 goal and 1 assist vs Morocco.
Ousmane Dembele
Forward
Five tournament goals; 4 shots and 1 goal vs Morocco.
Aurelien Tchouameni
Midfielder
Ball wins, tactical fouls and card-market pressure against Spain's midfield.
Head to head
France vs Spain is less about old head-to-head and more about current tournament form: France have the Opta model edge, Spain have the unbeaten-run and late-sub impact story.
France
13
Draws
7
Spain
16
Betting markets
The pre-match corner shortlist is over 4.5 first-half corners and over 10.5 match corners. France have direct wide speed; Spain can create repeated blocked crosses through Yamal, Williams and overlapping full-backs. If the first 10 minutes are slow, wait for live price rather than forcing the over.
Rodri to be carded is the standout named-player card angle. France's transition pace can drag Spain's midfield screen into tactical fouls, while Tchouameni and France full-backs are the counter-watch on the other side.
Super Sub FTD routes
Use the Opta form first, then check live odds. William Hill and Betfred are the English-page routes; ComeOn covers SE, PL, NO and DK direct-bet traffic.

Impact Sub
Check player shots on target, card markets and corner builders. Confirm the Super Sub-style label in the bet slip before staking.
Open William HillSub Switch
Check player shots on target, card markets and corner builders. Confirm the Super Sub-style label in the bet slip before staking.
Open BetfredSuper Sub
Check player shots on target, card markets and corner builders. Confirm the Super Sub-style label in the bet slip before staking.
Open ComeOn6 Opta match summaries
Corners
6.83
Shots
18.33
SOT
7.83
YC
0.67
Goals
2.67
RC
0
| Match | Corners | Shots | SOT | Cards | Player signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France 2-0 Morocco | 5 | 22 | 8 | 0Y / 0R | Shots: Dembele 4/1, Mbappe 4/2 Corners: Barcola 2, Kounde 1 |
| Paraguay 0-1 France | 12 | 15 | 5 | 3Y / 0R | Shots: Mbappe 5/4, Rabiot 3/0 Corners: Olise 2, Kone 2 Cards: Olise 1Y, Kone 1Y |
| France 3-0 Sweden | 9 | 25 | 12 | 0Y / 0R | Shots: Olise 6/3, Mbappe 5/4 Corners: Olise 3, Barcola 2 |
| Norway 1-4 France | 5 | 18 | 9 | 1Y / 0R | Shots: Mbappe 4/2, Doue 4/3 Corners: Dembele 2, Doue 1 Cards: Tchouameni 1Y |
| France 3-0 Iraq | 4 | 19 | 5 | 0Y / 0R | Shots: Mbappe 8/3, Dembele 4/2 Corners: Saliba 1, Dembele 1 |
| France 3-1 Senegal | 6 | 11 | 8 | 0Y / 0R | Shots: Mbappe 4/4, Olise 2/2 Corners: Kounde 1, Olise 1 |
6 Opta match summaries
Corners
7.33
Shots
18.33
SOT
6.67
YC
0.83
Goals
1.67
RC
0
| Match | Corners | Shots | SOT | Cards | Player signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain 2-1 Belgium | 5 | 17 | 8 | 2Y / 0R | Shots: Yamal 6/2, Olmo 2/1 Corners: Baena 2, Yamal 1 Cards: Laporte 1Y, Cubarsi 1Y |
| Portugal 0-1 Spain | 7 | 15 | 6 | 1Y / 0R | Shots: Yamal 3/2, Baena 3/2 Corners: Yamal 2, Pedri 1 Cards: Torres 1Y |
| Spain 3-0 Austria | 9 | 23 | 10 | 0Y / 0R | Shots: Oyarzabal 6/4, Yamal 6/4 Corners: Oyarzabal 2, Baena 2 |
| Uruguay 0-1 Spain | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1Y / 0R | Shots: Oyarzabal 1/0, Cubarsi 1/0 Corners: Yamal 3, Pedri 2 Cards: Baena 1Y |
| Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia | 6 | 22 | 8 | 0Y / 0R | Shots: Oyarzabal 5/3, Yamal 5/2 Corners: Baena 2, Oyarzabal 1 |
| Spain 0-0 Cabo Verde | 11 | 27 | 7 | 1Y / 0R | Shots: Ruiz 5/1, Oyarzabal 5/1 Corners: Torres 3, Oyarzabal 2 Cards: Pedri 1Y |
William Hill is the English-page first click for Impact Sub player markets: Mbappe shots on target, Oyarzabal or Merino goal involvement, Rodri card, and corners should all be checked in the live slip before staking.
Betfred is the second UK route because Sub Switch is a direct fit for goalscorer, shots and cards markets where substitute protection is clearly labelled.
ComeOn is the country route for SE, PL, NO and DK readers. Use direct bet slips where available, but still confirm odds, market labels and local terms in the sportsbook.
Corners are the best non-player FTD angle: France's last game reached 10 corners and Spain's last game reached 6, so over 4.5 first-half corners and over 10.5 match corners are the price-check markets.
Rodri yellow card is a sharper card story than a blind match cards over because France can force central recovery fouls through Mbappe, Dembele, Barcola and Doue. Note that Spain-Belgium produced four yellows, but Rodri was not one of them.
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