Netherlands vs Germany Player Bets: Shots, Shots on Target & Fouls

Player props are where tonight's absences matter most. With Wirtz, Simons and De Jong out, shot and foul volume moves to different players — and with two coaches picking their first XIs, the risk of an early substitution is higher than usual. This page matches players to lines and shows where a substitution won't kill the bet.

Player shortlist by market

MarketPlayerLineWhy
ShotsCody Gakpo Netherlands2+Volume shooter who shoots from outside the box when the block is set.
ShotsTijjani Reijnders Netherlands1+Late runs into the box and edge-of-area shots; a lower line suits his role.
ShotsJamal Musiala Germany2+Will take on more of the shooting load in Wirtz's absence.
Shots on targetCody Gakpo Netherlands1+Takes the most shots for the Netherlands from the left channel; with Simons out, even more of the attack runs through him.
Shots on targetKai Havertz Germany1+Germany's reference point up front with Woltemade and Undav out.
Fouls committedJoshua Kimmich Germany1+Screens transitions in a two-man pivot against a quick Dutch front three.
Fouls committedRyan Gravenberch Netherlands1+Duel-heavy role against Musiala's carries.
Fouls wonJamal Musiala Germany2+Germany's main ball-carrier without Wirtz — dribblers who carry through midfield are fouled most.
CardJonathan Tah Germany—Physical defender likely to face Gakpo and Brobbey directly; card markets are protected at several UK bookmakers.
Anytime scorerKai Havertz Germany—Most central finisher in Germany's projected XI.

Based on roles in the projected line-ups, not guaranteed starters. Confirm the XI before betting.

Which bookmakers protect these markets

Checking which of these bookmakers are available in your country…

BetTOM

BetTOM

Sub On, Bet On

  • Shots
  • Shots on target
  • Fouls committed
  • Card
  • Scorer
  • Assist
36Vegas

36Vegas

The Bet Must Go On

  • Shots 1+–5+
  • Shots on target 1+–3+
  • Fouls committed 2+–4+
  • Card
  • Scorer
  • Assist 1+
OctoBet

OctoBet

Pass the Stats

  • Shots
  • Shots on target
  • Fouls committed
  • Card
  • Scorer
  • Assist
LiveScore Bet

LiveScore Bet

Sub Payout

  • Shots Over 0.5–9.5
  • Shots on target Over 0.5–4.5
  • Fouls committed
  • Card
  • Scorer
  • Assist
Betfred

Betfred

Sub Switch

  • Shots 2+–6+
  • Shots on target 1+
  • Fouls committed 1+–4+
  • Card
  • Scorer
  • Assist 1+
William Hill

William Hill

Impact Sub

  • Shots on target 1+–4+
  • Fouls committed 1+–4+
  • Fouls won 2+–5+
  • Card
  • Scorer
  • Assist
Midnite

Midnite

Sub Hero

  • Shots 1+–6+
  • Shots on target 1+–4+
  • Fouls committed 1+–4+
  • Fouls won 1+–4+
  • Card
  • Scorer
  • Assist
Betano

Betano

Golden Sub

  • Scorer
Interwetten

Interwetten

Spieler Wetten (inkl. Auswechslung)

  • Assist 1+

Lines vary by player — not every player is offered every threshold. Protection only applies where the bookmaker shows its feature badge on the market, and Betfred excludes in-play bets. 18+ · T&Cs apply · Please gamble responsibly. How each bookmaker's feature works

Why substitution protection matters more tonight

New head coaches tend to rotate and experiment in a first match — especially in the week after a squad has lost several regulars. A player can be taken off at half-time for tactical reasons that have nothing to do with how he is playing.

With a protected market, the bet moves to the substitute instead of being settled on the starter's partial match. For shots and fouls markets, where the count builds over 90 minutes, that is the difference between a live bet and a dead one.

Shots and shots on target

Gakpo is the obvious Dutch shooter; Reijnders suits the lowest shots line because his attempts come from late runs. For Germany, Havertz is the only natural finisher in the projected XI and Musiala will shoot more than usual with Wirtz out.

LiveScore Bet quotes the widest shots range on Nations League matches (Over 0.5 to Over 9.5) and shots on target up to Over 4.5; William Hill and Midnite cover shots on target from 1+ to 4+.

Fouls committed and fouls won

The fouls market follows the ball-carriers. Musiala is the German player most likely to be fouled; Kimmich and Nmecha are the likeliest German fouls. On the Dutch side, Gravenberch and Koopmeiners will be tasked with stopping Musiala.

Fouls-won protection is confirmed only at William Hill (2+ to 5+) and Midnite (1+ to 4+). Fouls committed is covered more widely: Betfred (1+ to 4+), William Hill, Midnite, 36Vegas (2+ to 4+), OctoBet and BetTOM.

FAQ

Are fouls markets covered by Super Sub on Netherlands vs Germany?

Yes, at several UK bookmakers: fouls committed at Betfred, William Hill, Midnite, 36Vegas, OctoBet and BetTOM; fouls won at William Hill and Midnite. Always check for the feature badge on the specific market.

Is in-play covered?

Not at every bookmaker. Betfred explicitly excludes in-play bets from Sub Switch. Place protected bets before kick-off unless the bookmaker's rules say otherwise.

Netherlands vs Germany prediction · Nations League hub

18+ only. Predictions are opinions based on the data available, not certainties. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Safer gambling.