BetTOM
Sub On, Bet On
- Shots
- Shots on target
- Fouls committed
- Card
- Scorer
- Assist
UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Matchday 1
Portugal vs Wales Prediction & Super Sub Player Markets
Thu 24 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CEST · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Jorge Jesus takes charge of Portugal for the first time with a full-strength squad, and Cristiano Ronaldo is chasing goal number 1,000. Wales arrive in Lisbon without Harry Wilson, Joe Rodon, Nathan Broadhead and several others.
Last reviewed 24 Sept 2026 · Line-ups are projected until the teams are announced about an hour before kick-off.
This is our pre-match preview. Upcoming matches are on the Nations League hub.
- Prediction
- Portugal win
- Best bet
- Portugal to win & over 1.5 goals (Result + goals)
- Kick-off
- Thu 24 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CEST
- Coaches
- Jorge Jesus v —
- Confidence
- Medium
- Super Sub
- Yes — 9 bookmakers (7 UK, 2 Germany)
Substitution protection
Super Sub bookmakers for Portugal vs Wales
These bookmakers have substitution protection confirmed on UEFA Nations League player markets. UK operators cover shots, shots on target and fouls; Betano (Germany) covers goalscorer markets via Golden Sub; Interwetten (Germany) covers player assists. Each cell shows the lines confirmed — the visit button appears only for your own country.
Checking which of these bookmakers are available in your country…
| Bookmaker · feature | Shots | Shots on target | Fouls committed | Fouls won | Card | Scorer | Assist | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BetTOM Sub On, Bet On | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | GB |
 36Vegas The Bet Must Go On | 1+–5+ | 1+–3+ | 2+–4+ | — | ✓ | ✓ | 1+ | GB |
OctoBet OctoBet Pass the Stats | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | GB |
 LiveScore Bet Sub Payout | Over 0.5–9.5 | Over 0.5–4.5 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | GB · IE · NG |
 Betfred Sub Switch | 2+–6+ | 1+ | 1+–4+ | — | ✓ | ✓ | 1+ | GB |
 William Hill Impact Sub | — | 1+–4+ | 1+–4+ | 2+–5+ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | GB · IE · IT · ES · CA · JP · LT · MO · AT · SI |
 Midnite Sub Hero | 1+–6+ | 1+–4+ | 1+–4+ | 1+–4+ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | GB · IE |
 Betano Golden Sub | — | — | — | — | — | ✓ | — | DE |
 Interwetten Spieler Wetten (inkl. Auswechslung) | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1+ | ES · SE · DE |
36Vegas
The Bet Must Go On
- Shots 1+–5+
- Shots on target 1+–3+
- Fouls committed 2+–4+
- Card
- Scorer
- Assist 1+
OctoBet
OctoBet
Pass the Stats
- Shots
- Shots on target
- Fouls committed
- Card
- Scorer
- Assist
LiveScore Bet
Sub Payout
- Shots Over 0.5–9.5
- Shots on target Over 0.5–4.5
- Fouls committed
- Card
- Scorer
- Assist
Betfred
Sub Switch
- Shots 2+–6+
- Shots on target 1+
- Fouls committed 1+–4+
- Card
- Scorer
- Assist 1+
William Hill
Impact Sub
- Shots on target 1+–4+
- Fouls committed 1+–4+
- Fouls won 2+–5+
- Card
- Scorer
- Assist
Midnite
Sub Hero
- Shots 1+–6+
- Shots on target 1+–4+
- Fouls committed 1+–4+
- Fouls won 1+–4+
- Card
- Scorer
- Assist
Betano
Golden Sub
- Scorer
Interwetten
Spieler Wetten (inkl. Auswechslung)
- Assist 1+
Lines vary by player — not every player is offered every threshold. Protection only applies where the bookmaker shows its feature badge on the market, and Betfred excludes in-play bets. 18+ · T&Cs apply · Please gamble responsibly. How each bookmaker's feature works
Player markets
Portugal vs Wales: players for shots, SOT and fouls bets
Player picks are based on role in the projected line-up — confirm the XI before betting.
Cristiano Ronaldo
Portugal · Centre-forward
- Shots on target 1+ / 2+: Takes the most shots in the Portugal side and every penalty; chasing his 1,000th career goal.
- Anytime scorer: Central finisher against a Wales defence missing Rodon.
Bruno Fernandes
Portugal · Attacking midfielder
- Shots 2+: Shoots from distance against a set block and takes set pieces.
Ethan Ampadu
Wales · Defensive midfielder
- Fouls committed 1+: Screening role against Portugal's midfield runners.
- Card: Most exposed Welsh player when Portugal break.
Our call
Prediction: Portugal 3-0 Wales
Portugal are the Nations League holders — they beat Spain on penalties in the June 2025 final — and have their full squad available for Jesus's first match. Wales are missing their leading attacking threat in Harry Wilson plus first-choice defenders.
The only question is how motivated Portugal are in a first match under a new coach. We back a comfortable home win; Ronaldo's shot volume makes him the obvious player angle.
1X2
Portugal.
Goals
over 2.5 lean — Portugal's attack against a patched-up Wales defence.
BTTS
lean No.
Best betting angles
Result + goals
Confidence: MediumPortugal & over 1.5 goals
Holders at full strength against a depleted Wales side.
Player shots on target
Confidence: MediumRonaldo 2+
Volume shooter; protected at William Hill, Midnite, LiveScore Bet and the EveryMatrix bookmakers if subbed.
Player fouls committed
Confidence: LowEthan Ampadu 1+
Screening role in a low block.
Live prices
Portugal vs Wales odds
🇪🇺
Live Odds — UEFA Nations League
Live 1X2 odds via The Odds API · Updated every 5 min · 18+ only
Loading odds…
Odds provided by The Odds API · Bookmakers based on your location · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly
Team news
Team news and projected line-ups
Reported absences and projected XIs from pre-match reports — official line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
🇵🇹 Portugal · coach Jorge Jesus
- Full-strength squad reported; Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, João Neves and Rúben Dias available.
Projected XI
Costa; Cancelo, Dias, Veiga, Mendes; Vitinha, J. Neves; Neto, Fernandes, Félix; Ronaldo
🏴 Wales
- Withdrawn injured: Harry Wilson, Nathan Broadhead, Karl Darlow.
- Missed the squad through injury: Joe Rodon, Dylan Lawlor, Rubin Colwill, Isaak Davies.
Projected XI
Ward; N. Williams, Cabango, Norrington-Davies, Dasilva; Ampadu, J. James; Brooks, Thomas, Johnson; D. James
- Portugal will have long spells of possession; Wales' plan is a compact block with Ampadu screening. That produces volume shooting from Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes and fouls from Wales' midfield.
- Wales without Wilson lose their main set-piece taker and most dangerous shooter; Brennan Johnson and Daniel James offer pace on the counter.
Head-to-head
Portugal vs Wales head-to-head
The last competitive meeting was the Euro 2016 semi-final, won 2-0 by Portugal.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2016 | Euro 2016 semi-final | Portugal v WalesLyon | 2-0 |
Compare
Bookmakers available in your country
Best bookmakers · Super Sub verified
Portugal vs Wales — Betting Sites
Showing best bookmakers for 🌍 …
Your country
🌍…
Filter:
18+ only. Always check current terms, responsible gambling tools and local availability before betting. Offers vary by country.
FAQ
Portugal vs Wales: questions and answers
What time is Portugal vs Wales?
Tonight, Thursday 24 September 2026, at 19:45 UK time (20:45 CEST) at the Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon.
Is Harry Wilson playing for Wales?
No — Wilson withdrew injured, along with Nathan Broadhead and Karl Darlow.
Can I use Super Sub on a Ronaldo bet?
In the UK, Nations League player markets are covered by William Hill, Betfred, Midnite, LiveScore Bet, BetTOM, 36Vegas and OctoBet. Covered markets differ — check for the feature badge on the specific bet.
Tonight's other Nations League matches
Sources and verification · last reviewed 24 Sept 2026
18+ only. Predictions are opinions based on the data available, not certainties. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Safer gambling.