La Liga EA Sports 2026/27 · Jornada 1 · Sat 15 Aug · 19:30 CEST
Alavés vs Getafe Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
La Liga's opening match of 2026/27 at Mendizorroza. Valentini suspended, debut referee, Getafe unbeaten in four straight H2H — our best bet is Getafe +0.25 Asian Handicap. Full team news, expected lineups, corners, cards and Super Sub angles below.
What We Think
SuperSubBetting's independent prediction — not a copy of any other site.
Best Bet
Getafe +0.25 Asian Handicap
Covered in 7 of Getafe's last 10 away matches. 4 straight H2H without defeat for Getafe.
Alternative Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
Both sides averaged under 1.8 goals/match in last 10 La Liga games. Getafe historically low-scoring away.
Correct Score Lean
0-0 or 1-0 Getafe
Getafe clean sheet probability supported by their defensive organisation and 0.8 goals conceded per match.
Corners Angle
Under 9.5 Total Corners
Both teams sit below 5.5 corners/game. Low possession sides = fewer corner-generating attacks.
Cards Angle
Caution — debut referee
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid's La Liga debut limits historical card rate data. Avoid heavy staking on cards markets.
Player Bet
Antonio Martínez anytime scorer
Alavés main centre-forward in the expected 5-3-2. Home opener increases attacking intent.
Super Sub Angle
Lucas Boyé (if he starts)
Boyé is a fitness doubt. If he starts and tires, any replacement inherits qualifying player bets under Super Sub rules.
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Match Facts
- Competition
- LaLiga EA Sports 2026/27
- Matchday
- Jornada 1
- Date
- Saturday 15 August 2026
- Kick-off
- 19:30 CEST / 17:30 UTC
- Venue
- Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
- Home
- Deportivo Alavés (14th, 43 pts, 2025/26)
- Away
- Getafe CF (7th, 51 pts, 2025/26)
- Referee
- Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid — top-flight debut
- Home manager
- Quique Sánchez Flores
- Away manager
- José Bordalás
Team News & Injuries
Alavés
- Nico Valentini — SUSPENDED
Banned for this opener. His absence is the key defensive storyline — opens the door for Xanet Olaiz.
- Lucas Boyé — DOUBT
Recently became a father and has had physical discomfort. His involvement is uncertain rather than confirmed absent.
- Xanet Olaiz (21) — LIKELY STARTER
Impressed during pre-season. Expected to start ahead of schedule due to Valentini's suspension.
- Pre-season form — Positive
Alavés went unbeaten across four pre-season friendlies.
Getafe
- Christantus Uche — OUT (serious injury)
Major absence for Bordalás's side heading into the new season.
- Johan Mojica — SUSPENDED (red card)
Direct red-card ban. Expected return date 23 August 2026.
- Martín Satriano — AVAILABILITY UNCERTAIN
Disciplinary issue listed in current squad data. May not be available from the start.
- Bordalás on pre-season
Described pre-season as "complicated" due to squad shortages; used academy players. Said the squad "is not closed" and they still seek midfield and wide reinforcement.
Expected Lineups
Alavés — Expected XI (5-3-2)
Source: SportsGambler projected XI. Note: AS highlights Xanet Olaiz as likely starter; centre-back position remains the key lineup question before official confirmation.
- GK — Antonio Sivera
- RWB — Nahuel Tenaglia
- CB — Ville Koski
- CB — Jonny Otto
- CB — Ángel Pérez
- LWB — Youssef Enriquez
- CM — Pablo Ibáñez
- CM — Antonio Blanco
- CM — Carles Aleñá
- ST — Antonio Martínez
- ST — Aitor Mañas
⚠ Xanet Olaiz (21) is an alternative starter with Valentini suspended.
Getafe — Expected XI (3-2-4-1)
Source: SportsGambler projected XI. Mojica and Satriano are unavailable / in doubt.
- GK — David Soria
- CB — Djené
- CB — Abdelkabir Abqar
- CB — Zaid Abner Romero
- DM — Kiko
- DM — Davinchi
- AM — Andrés García
- AM — Orel Mangala
- AM — Ramón Terrats
- AM — Mario Martín
- ST — Martín Satriano
⚠ Mojica suspended; Satriano availability uncertain.
Tactical Analysis
Alavés's 5-3-2 is built to be compact and hard to break down at home. Quique Sánchez Flores can rely on the wing-backs for width, while three central midfielders — Ibáñez, Blanco and Aleñá — screen the back five. The defensive structure means Alavés rarely concede large amounts but also struggle to dominate possession (41.2% average last 10). With Valentini absent, the right-sided central defender slot carries uncertainty heading into Jornada 1.
Getafe's 3-2-4-1 under Bordalás is recognisable: disciplined defensive block, quick transitions, and physical pressing. Their wide options are limited by Mojica's suspension and Uche's injury. The attacking midfield line of García, Mangala, Terrats and Mario Martín will need to function as a unit without two of their most direct options available.
Key tactical clash: Alavés's compact 5-3-2 against Getafe's structured 3-2-4-1 makes for a fixture that historically produces tight results. The H2H data confirms this — Getafe are unbeaten in four straight meetings, and the last encounter was a 2-0 Getafe win at this very ground.
Recent Form — Last 5 Matches
Alavés — last 5 (2W 1D 2L)
- L25 May — Alavés 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
- W17 May — Real Oviedo 0-1 Alavés
- W13 May — Alavés 1-0 Barcelona
- D9 May — Elche 1-1 Alavés
- L2 May — Alavés 2-4 Athletic Club
Goals: 5 scored / 7 conceded over last 5
Getafe — last 5 (2W 1D 2L)
- W23 May — Getafe 1-0 Osasuna
- L17 May — Elche 1-0 Getafe
- W13 May — Getafe 3-1 Mallorca
- D10 May — Real Oviedo 0-0 Getafe
- L3 May — Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Goals: 5 scored / 4 conceded over last 5
Head-to-Head
5
Getafe wins (last 10)
4
Draws
1
Alavés wins
Getafe are unbeaten against Alavés in their last four meetings. The most recent fixture was a 2-0 Getafe win at Mendizorroza. The Alavés -0.25 Asian handicap has failed in four consecutive H2H matches — which directly supports the Getafe +0.25 tip.
- Getafe 2-0 Alavés (most recent)
- Previous meeting: Getafe H2H advantage continued
Last 10 La Liga Stats Comparison
| Stat | Alavés | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4W 3D 3L | 5W 1D 4L |
| Goals scored/game | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded/game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Attempts/game | 13.0 | 8.4 |
| Shots on target/game | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| Possession | 41.2% | 40.4% |
| Corners/game (for) | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Corners/game (against) | 5.4 | 4.5 |
Betting Market Analysis
Asian Handicap — Getafe +0.25 ✅ Recommended
The standout value market. Getafe +0.25 has covered in 7 of their last 10 away La Liga matches, and in 12 of their last 20 away games overall. Alavés -0.25 has failed in 7 of their last 10 home matches, in 14 of their last 20, and critically in all four most recent H2H meetings. Current SportsGambler model lines this at 1.87.
Goals Markets
Under 2.5: Getafe averaged only 0.9 goals per game in their last 10 La Liga outings. Alavés also concede at 1.8 per game, but their own attack is limited. The BetMines model has BTTS at 47% — lean towards Under 2.5 given Getafe's historically low scoring profile. Under 1.5 is the more aggressive version but worth noting Alavés do score at home.
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
BetMines model: BTTS Yes 47% / at least one clean sheet 53%. The lean is BTTS No, reflecting Getafe's disciplined defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game last 10) and Bordalás's typical approach.
Corners — Under 9.5 ✅ Lean
APWin tip: Under 9.5 total corners. Both sides are compact, low-possession teams. Alavés average 5.3 and Getafe 4.2 attacking corners per match. The combined profiles point to a controlled, physical match rather than an open, corner-heavy contest.
Cards — Use Caution
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid is making his top-flight debut as referee. With no historical La Liga refereeing data available, betting heavily on card markets carries more variance than usual. Both sides play a physical brand of football, but the lack of referee data creates real uncertainty. Treat as a secondary market only.
Player Goals & Shots
Antonio Martínez is the focal point of Alavés's attack in the 5-3-2. Anytime scorer for a home opener carries interest. For Getafe, Satriano's availability is uncertain — if he starts, he is their main attacking outlet. Player shot markets should only be placed once official lineups are confirmed.
Super Sub Angles
When a qualifying player is substituted, the replacement player can inherit relevant qualifying bets under the bookmaker's Super Sub rules. This makes player markets on high-substitution risk players considerably safer.
Lucas Boyé (Alavés) — Fitness doubt — high sub risk
If Boyé starts despite his discomfort, he is a strong candidate to be substituted early or mid-game. Any player goal or shots bet on Boyé transfers to his replacement under Super Sub rules.
Martín Satriano (Getafe) — Availability uncertain — conditional starter
If Satriano plays despite his listed disciplinary issue, he may be managed carefully. Sub protection is valuable if you back him on any player markets.
Antonio Martínez (Alavés) — Striker substitution in compact La Liga openers
Centre-forwards in physical opening-day fixtures often come off around 70–80 minutes. Anytime scorer bets on Martínez benefit from Super Sub protection if he is replaced.
Xanet Olaiz (Alavés) — Young debutant — potentially managed cautiously
At 21 and making an early La Liga start due to Valentini's suspension, Olaiz may be protected by a substitution if the game gets difficult. Less relevant for betting purposes but an interesting watch.
Confirm Super Sub / Impact Sub / Power Sub availability with your specific bookmaker before placing player markets. Terms vary by operator and market.
What Other Experts Think
SportsGambler
Getafe +0.25 Asian Handicap @ 1.87
Supported by Getafe's away H2H record and Alavés home handicap failures.
APWin
Under 9.5 Total Corners
Both teams' playing profiles support a low-corner, controlled match.
BetMines Model
Alavés win 44% / Draw 29% / Getafe 27%
Home advantage edges Alavés on raw probability but BTTS Yes only 47%.
Consensus: The prediction community does not strongly back Alavés as home favourites. Getafe's H2H dominance and defensive discipline make the Asian handicap the most popular market. For goals, the majority lean is under rather than over. No strong BTTS Yes consensus exists.
FAQ
What time is Alavés vs Getafe on 15 August 2026?
Kick-off is 19:30 CEST (17:30 UTC) at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz. It is the opening match of the 2026/27 La Liga season.
What is the best bet for Alavés vs Getafe?
The strongest angle is Getafe +0.25 Asian Handicap. Getafe covered that line in 7 of their last 10 away matches, and have not lost to Alavés in four straight meetings. The referee is making his top-flight debut, which adds uncertainty to the result market.
Will both teams score in Alavés vs Getafe?
BetMines put BTTS Yes at 47% — the model leans slightly towards at least one clean sheet (53%). Getafe scored only 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 La Liga games, so BTTS No edges ahead as a lean.
How many corners are expected in Alavés vs Getafe?
APWin tip Under 9.5 total corners. Alavés average 5.3 and Getafe 4.2 corners per match in the attacking phase. Both sides have relatively low possession averages (41% for Alavés, 40% for Getafe), supporting the under.
Who is the referee for Alavés vs Getafe?
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid takes charge. This is his debut in a top-flight La Liga fixture, which limits the historical data available for cards analysis.
Who will start in defence for Alavés with Valentini suspended?
Nico Valentini is suspended. 21-year-old Xanet Olaiz, who impressed during pre-season, is expected to fill the slot. The final defensive shape may differ from the pre-season model.
Does Super Sub apply to Alavés vs Getafe?
Yes — bookmakers that offer Super Sub, Impact Sub, Power Sub or similar player-protection features will transfer qualifying player bets to the replacement if your selected player is substituted. Check your bookmaker's specific terms before placing.
More La Liga Jornada 1
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