AS Roma vs Fiorentina — Prediction, Stats & Tips

The Stadio Olimpico hosts one of Serie A GW1's most anticipated fixtures. Roma vs Fiorentina is a top-six derby between two creative, attacking sides. Dybala (13G, 11A) and Pellegrini (7G, 10A) lead R…

← Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1
Mon 24 Aug 2026 ° 20:45 CEST
AS Roma crest

AS Roma

vs

📍 Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Fiorentina crest

Fiorentina

🔮 Result lean: Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage
📅 Stats based on Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1 · Last updated: 24 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🟡Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) — 7 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
  • 🔥Roma have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — strong momentum
  • 🔥Fiorentina have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — arriving in form
  • 🚩Corners: Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style
  • 🎯Paulo Dybala (Roma) — 34 shots on target this season, key shot threat
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at Italian-licensed bookmakers.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Roma vs Fiorentina at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage

🎯

Shots potential

Medium

Paulo Dybala 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Fiorentina most corners

🟡

Cards potential

High

Leandro Paredes to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Roma vs Fiorentina

Result

Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage

Corners

Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style

Cards

Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor

The Stadio Olimpico hosts one of Serie A GW1's most anticipated fixtures. Roma vs Fiorentina is a top-six derby between two creative, attacking sides. Dybala (13G, 11A) and Pellegrini (7G, 10A) lead Roma's attack; Kean (14G) and González (8G, 9A) give Fiorentina genuine threat. Fiorentina's corner volume (5.6 per game) edges Roma's (5.4). BTTS is strongly supported by both teams' scoring records. Paredes and Mandragora both carry card risk in a physical midfield duel.

CornersMedium risk

Fiorentina most corners

Fiorentina average 5.6 corners per game ° slightly above Roma's 5.4. Their possession-based style away at the Olimpico generates consistent wide pressure and set-piece delivery.

Shots on targetLow-medium risk

Paulo Dybala 2+ shots on target

Dybala generated 34 shots on target in 2025/26 (1.3 per 90). At the Olimpico in a high-profile Serie A opener, his movement and shooting range make 2+ SoT well-supported.

BTTSLow-medium risk

Both teams to score

Roma scored 56 and Fiorentina 58 in 2025/26. Both teams conceded. A top-six Serie A derby between two technical sides historically produces goals at both ends.

Yellow cardMedium risk

Leandro Paredes to be booked

Paredes accumulated 7 yellow cards last season as Roma's midfield anchor. In a top-six derby at the Olimpico, his press-disrupting and foul-committed style carries consistent booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1

Kick-off

Mon 24 Aug 2026 ° 20:45 CEST

Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Corners lean

Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style

Result lean

Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage

Team stats

Roma vs Fiorentina — comparison

StatRomaFiorentinaEdge
Serie A position (2025/26)6th5th—
Goals scored (2025/26)5658Fiorentina
Goals conceded (2025/26)5048Fiorentina
Corners per game (avg)5.45.6Fiorentina
Yellow cards (2025/26)6662Fiorentina

Top scorers: AS Roma

Roma
PD

Paulo Dybala

Forward · 11A · 2600 min

13 ⚽
LP

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Midfielder · 10A · 2700 min

7 ⚽
LP

Leandro Paredes

Midfielder · 6A · 2800 min

3 ⚽

Top scorers: Fiorentina

Fiorentina
MK

Moise Kean

Forward · 7A · 2800 min

14 ⚽
NG

Nicolás González

Forward · 9A · 2200 min

8 ⚽
RM

Rolando Mandragora

Midfielder · 6A · 2900 min

3 ⚽

Yellow cards: AS Roma

Roma
LP

Leandro Paredes

Midfielder · 30 fouls · 2800 min

7 🟡
LP

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2700 min

5 🟡
PD

Paulo Dybala

Forward · 12 fouls · 2600 min

2 🟡

Yellow cards: Fiorentina

Fiorentina
RM

Rolando Mandragora

Midfielder · 32 fouls · 2900 min

7 🟡
NG

Nicolás González

Forward · 16 fouls · 2200 min

3 🟡
MK

Moise Kean

Forward · 14 fouls · 2800 min

2 🟡

Shots on target: AS Roma

Roma
PD

Paulo Dybala

Forward · 13G 11A

34 🎯
LP

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Midfielder · 7G 10A

18 🎯
LP

Leandro Paredes

Midfielder · 3G 6A

10 🎯

Shots on target: Fiorentina

Fiorentina
MK

Moise Kean

Forward · 14G 7A

32 🎯
NG

Nicolás González

Forward · 8G 9A

22 🎯
RM

Rolando Mandragora

Midfielder · 3G 6A

10 🎯

Corner takers: AS Roma

Roma
LP

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Midfielder · 2700 min

14 🚩
PD

Paulo Dybala

Forward · 2600 min

8 🚩

Corner takers: Fiorentina

Fiorentina
NG

Nicolás González

Forward · 2200 min

8 🚩
MK

Moise Kean

Forward · 2800 min

2 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
LP

Leandro Paredes

Midfielder

Roma280073610300
RM

Rolando Mandragora

Midfielder

Fiorentina290073610320
LP

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Midfielder

Roma27005710182214
NG

Nicolás González

Forward

Fiorentina220038922168
PD

Paulo Dybala

Forward

Roma26002131134128
MK

Moise Kean

Forward

Fiorentina2800214732142

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What the stats tell us about Roma vs Fiorentina

The Stadio Olimpico hosts one of Serie A GW1's most anticipated fixtures. Roma vs Fiorentina is a top-six derby between two creative, attacking sides. Dybala (13G, 11A) and Pellegrini (7G, 10A) lead Roma's attack; Kean (14G) and González (8G, 9A) give Fiorentina genuine threat. Fiorentina's corner volume (5.6 per game) edges Roma's (5.4). BTTS is strongly supported by both teams' scoring records. Paredes and Mandragora both carry card risk in a physical midfield duel.

Result lean: Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage

Corners: Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style

Cards: Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

ROMA leads series 3-1-1

Source: ESPN

DateHomeAwayResult
2026-05AS RomaFiorentina4–0 Home win
2025-10FiorentinaAS Roma1–2 Away win
2025-05AS RomaFiorentina1–0 Home win
2024-10FiorentinaAS Roma5–1 Home win
2024-03FiorentinaAS Roma2–2 Draw

📊 League card context

Serie A 2025/26: 4.2 yellow cards/game on average

🟡 4.2 YC/game🔴 0.18 RC/game

Roma vs Fiorentina — FAQ

What are the AS Roma vs Fiorentina stats?

AS Roma vs Fiorentina stats comparison for Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1. Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage. Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style. Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor.

What is the prediction for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage

What is the corners prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style

What is the cards prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina?

Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor

When does Roma vs Fiorentina kick off?

Mon 24 Aug 2026 ° 20:45 CEST at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

Several licensed bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Serie A fixtures. Check the bookmaker section on this page for current availability. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.

Should I check lineups before betting on AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries and suspensions before placing player-prop bets. Goals, shots on target and yellow card markets are highly sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

PD

Paulo Dybala

Roma · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps33
Goals13
Assists11
Shots on target34
SoT / game1.0
Yellow cards2
Fouls12
MK

Moise Kean

Fiorentina · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals14
Assists7
Shots on target32
SoT / game1.2
Yellow cards2
Fouls14
NG

Nicolás González

Fiorentina · Forward

⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps27
Goals8
Assists9
Shots on target22
SoT / game0.8
Yellow cards3
Fouls16
LP

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Roma · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps30
Goals7
Assists10
Shots on target18
SoT / game0.6
Yellow cards5
Fouls22
RM

Rolando Mandragora

Fiorentina · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps27
Goals3
Assists6
Shots on target10
SoT / game0.4
Yellow cards7
Fouls32
LP

Leandro Paredes

Roma · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps32
Goals3
Assists6
Shots on target10
SoT / game0.3
Yellow cards7
Fouls30

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at Italian-licensed bookmakers.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Paulo Dybala — primary shot threat

Paulo Dybala (Roma) has 34 shots on target from 33 appearances — averaging 1.0 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Rolando Mandragora — card risk

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) has picked up 7 yellows and committed 32 fouls (1.2/game). The Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1 averages 4.2 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Fiorentina dominate corners

Fiorentina average 5.6 corners per game vs Roma's 5.4. Fiorentina average 5.6 corners per game ° slightly above Roma's 5.4. Their possession-based style away at the Olimpico generates consistent wide pressure and set-piece delivery.

⚽⚽ Goals angle

Attack vs leaky defence

AS Roma have scored 56 goals while Fiorentina have conceded 48. Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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