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View Betsson marketsAS Roma vs Fiorentina — Prediction, Stats & Tips
The Stadio Olimpico hosts one of Serie A GW1's most anticipated fixtures. Roma vs Fiorentina is a top-six derby between two creative, attacking sides. Dybala (13G, 11A) and Pellegrini (7G, 10A) lead R…

AS Roma
📍 Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Fiorentina
⚡ Key notices
- 🟡Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) — 7 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
- 🔥Roma have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — strong momentum
- 🔥Fiorentina have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — arriving in form
- 🚩Corners: Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style
- 🎯Paulo Dybala (Roma) — 34 shots on target this season, key shot threat
- 🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at Italian-licensed bookmakers.
SuperSubBetting Quick Read
Roma vs Fiorentina at a glance
Result lean
Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage
Shots potential
Medium
Paulo Dybala 2+ shots on target
Corners potential
High
Fiorentina most corners
Cards potential
High
Leandro Paredes to be booked
Super Sub relevance
High
Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.
🔮 Our prediction
Roma vs Fiorentina
Result
Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage
Corners
Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style
Cards
Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor
The Stadio Olimpico hosts one of Serie A GW1's most anticipated fixtures. Roma vs Fiorentina is a top-six derby between two creative, attacking sides. Dybala (13G, 11A) and Pellegrini (7G, 10A) lead Roma's attack; Kean (14G) and González (8G, 9A) give Fiorentina genuine threat. Fiorentina's corner volume (5.6 per game) edges Roma's (5.4). BTTS is strongly supported by both teams' scoring records. Paredes and Mandragora both carry card risk in a physical midfield duel.
Fiorentina most corners
Fiorentina average 5.6 corners per game ° slightly above Roma's 5.4. Their possession-based style away at the Olimpico generates consistent wide pressure and set-piece delivery.
Paulo Dybala 2+ shots on target
Dybala generated 34 shots on target in 2025/26 (1.3 per 90). At the Olimpico in a high-profile Serie A opener, his movement and shooting range make 2+ SoT well-supported.
Both teams to score
Roma scored 56 and Fiorentina 58 in 2025/26. Both teams conceded. A top-six Serie A derby between two technical sides historically produces goals at both ends.
Leandro Paredes to be booked
Paredes accumulated 7 yellow cards last season as Roma's midfield anchor. In a top-six derby at the Olimpico, his press-disrupting and foul-committed style carries consistent booking risk.
18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.
Competition
Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug 2026 ° 20:45 CEST
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Corners lean
Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style
Result lean
Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage
Team stats
Roma vs Fiorentina — comparison
| Stat | Roma | Fiorentina | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A position (2025/26) | 6th | 5th | — |
| Goals scored (2025/26) | 56 | 58 | Fiorentina |
| Goals conceded (2025/26) | 50 | 48 | Fiorentina |
| Corners per game (avg) | 5.4 | 5.6 | Fiorentina |
| Yellow cards (2025/26) | 66 | 62 | Fiorentina |
Top scorers: AS Roma
RomaPaulo Dybala
Forward · 11A · 2600 min
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Midfielder · 10A · 2700 min
Leandro Paredes
Midfielder · 6A · 2800 min
Top scorers: Fiorentina
FiorentinaMoise Kean
Forward · 7A · 2800 min
Nicolás González
Forward · 9A · 2200 min
Rolando Mandragora
Midfielder · 6A · 2900 min
Yellow cards: AS Roma
RomaLeandro Paredes
Midfielder · 30 fouls · 2800 min
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2700 min
Paulo Dybala
Forward · 12 fouls · 2600 min
Yellow cards: Fiorentina
FiorentinaRolando Mandragora
Midfielder · 32 fouls · 2900 min
Nicolás González
Forward · 16 fouls · 2200 min
Moise Kean
Forward · 14 fouls · 2800 min
Shots on target: AS Roma
RomaPaulo Dybala
Forward · 13G 11A
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Midfielder · 7G 10A
Leandro Paredes
Midfielder · 3G 6A
Shots on target: Fiorentina
FiorentinaMoise Kean
Forward · 14G 7A
Nicolás González
Forward · 8G 9A
Rolando Mandragora
Midfielder · 3G 6A
Corner takers: AS Roma
RomaLorenzo Pellegrini
Midfielder · 2700 min
Paulo Dybala
Forward · 2600 min
Corner takers: Fiorentina
FiorentinaNicolás González
Forward · 2200 min
Moise Kean
Forward · 2800 min
Player comparison
Sort & filter players
| Player | Team | Min | YC 🟡 | G | A | SoT 🎯 | Fouls | Corners 🚩 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LP Leandro Paredes Midfielder | Roma | 2800 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 0 |
RM Rolando Mandragora Midfielder | Fiorentina | 2900 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
LP Lorenzo Pellegrini Midfielder | Roma | 2700 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
NG Nicolás González Forward | Fiorentina | 2200 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 16 | 8 |
PD Paulo Dybala Forward | Roma | 2600 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 34 | 12 | 8 |
MK Moise Kean Forward | Fiorentina | 2800 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 32 | 14 | 2 |
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What the stats tell us about Roma vs Fiorentina
The Stadio Olimpico hosts one of Serie A GW1's most anticipated fixtures. Roma vs Fiorentina is a top-six derby between two creative, attacking sides. Dybala (13G, 11A) and Pellegrini (7G, 10A) lead Roma's attack; Kean (14G) and González (8G, 9A) give Fiorentina genuine threat. Fiorentina's corner volume (5.6 per game) edges Roma's (5.4). BTTS is strongly supported by both teams' scoring records. Paredes and Mandragora both carry card risk in a physical midfield duel.
Result lean: Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage
Corners: Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style
Cards: Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
ROMA leads series 3-1-1Source: ESPN
| Date | Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | AS Roma | Fiorentina | 4–0 Home win |
| 2025-10 | Fiorentina | AS Roma | 1–2 Away win |
| 2025-05 | AS Roma | Fiorentina | 1–0 Home win |
| 2024-10 | Fiorentina | AS Roma | 5–1 Home win |
| 2024-03 | Fiorentina | AS Roma | 2–2 Draw |
📊 League card context
Serie A 2025/26: 4.2 yellow cards/game on average
Roma vs Fiorentina — FAQ
What are the AS Roma vs Fiorentina stats?
AS Roma vs Fiorentina stats comparison for Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1. Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage. Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style. Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor.
What is the prediction for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage
What is the corners prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina?
Fiorentina most corners ° possession-based away style
What is the cards prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina?
Paredes most bookable ° Roma midfield anchor
When does Roma vs Fiorentina kick off?
Mon 24 Aug 2026 ° 20:45 CEST at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
Several licensed bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Serie A fixtures. Check the bookmaker section on this page for current availability. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.
Should I check lineups before betting on AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
Always confirm starting XIs, injuries and suspensions before placing player-prop bets. Goals, shots on target and yellow card markets are highly sensitive to lineup changes.
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Player intel
Players to watch
Paulo Dybala
Roma · Forward
Moise Kean
Fiorentina · Forward
Nicolás González
Fiorentina · Forward
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Roma · Midfielder
Rolando Mandragora
Fiorentina · Midfielder
Leandro Paredes
Roma · Midfielder
Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
SuperSubBetting
Bettor tricks
Super Sub watch
Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at Italian-licensed bookmakers.
Paulo Dybala — primary shot threat
Paulo Dybala (Roma) has 34 shots on target from 33 appearances — averaging 1.0 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.
Rolando Mandragora — card risk
Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) has picked up 7 yellows and committed 32 fouls (1.2/game). The Serie A 2026/27 · Giornata 1 averages 4.2 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.
Fiorentina dominate corners
Fiorentina average 5.6 corners per game vs Roma's 5.4. Fiorentina average 5.6 corners per game ° slightly above Roma's 5.4. Their possession-based style away at the Olimpico generates consistent wide pressure and set-piece delivery.
Attack vs leaky defence
AS Roma have scored 56 goals while Fiorentina have conceded 48. Closely matched ° slight Roma home advantage
Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
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