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Bundesliga 2026/27 ü Spieltag 1

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07

Sat 29 Aug 2026 ü 15:30 CEST · MEWA ARENA, Mainz

Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game, edge at homePaderborn most cards ü Hünemeier high-risk defending BurkardtMainz to win ü home advantage and top-flight experience over promoted Paderborn

Mainz host newly promoted Paderborn at the MEWA ARENA in a fixture that should favour the established Bundesliga side. Jonathan Burkardt (13 goals, 38 SoT) is the danger man at 22 ü fast developing into one of the most reliable young strikers in Germany. Paderborn's Sven Michel (16 goals in 2. Bundesliga) shows attacking intent but the step up in quality will test the promoted side. Hünemeier's card risk as a veteran defender against Burkardt's pace is the standout individual bet.

⚡ Key notices

🟡Dominik Kohr (Mainz) — 9 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
🔥Mainz have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — strong momentum
🔥Paderborn have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — arriving in form
🚩Corners: Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game, edge at home
🎯Sven Michel (Paderborn) — 42 shots on target this season, key shot threat
🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at German-licensed bookmakers.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Mainz vs Paderborn at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Mainz to win ü home advantage and top-flight experience over promoted Paderborn

🎯

Shots potential

Medium

Jonathan Burkardt 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

Medium

Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game at the MEWA ARENA

🟡

Cards potential

High

Uwe Hünemeier to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Mainz vs Paderborn

Result

Mainz to win ü home advantage and top-flight experience over promoted Paderborn

Corners

Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game, edge at home

Cards

Paderborn most cards ü Hünemeier high-risk defending Burkardt

CornersLow-medium risk

Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game at the MEWA ARENA

Mainz averaged 4.9 corners per game in 2025/26, edging Paderborn's 4.6. Burkardt's movement and Onisiwo's wide runs drive corner volume at home. The MEWA ARENA is a fortress for Mainz in openers.

Shots on targetLow-medium risk

Jonathan Burkardt 2+ shots on target

Burkardt had 38 shots on target last season (1.7 per game) ü one of the most efficient strikers in the Bundesliga relative to his age. Against a Paderborn side new to the top flight, he will find openings.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Uwe Hünemeier to be booked

Hünemeier (37) picked up 9 yellow cards in 2025/26 ü Paderborn's most booked defender. Defending Burkardt's pace and Onisiwo's physicality at the MEWA ARENA in a top-flight debut, his veteran aggression carries high booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

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Competition

Bundesliga 2026/27 ü Spieltag 1

Kick-off

Sat 29 Aug 2026 ü 15:30 CEST

MEWA ARENA, Mainz

Corners lean

Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game, edge at home

Result lean

Mainz to win ü home advantage and top-flight experience over promoted Paderborn

Team stats

Mainz vs Paderborn — comparison

Stat	Mainz	Paderborn	Edge
Points last season (2025/26) Paderborn promoted from 2. Bundesliga	40	ü	—
Goals scored (prev season)	52	61	Paderborn
Goals conceded (prev season)	54	46	Paderborn
Yellow cards (prev season)	67	72	Mainz
Corners per game (avg)	4.9	4.6	Mainz

Top scorers: 1. FSV Mainz 05

Mainz

Jonathan Burkardt

Forward · 6A · 2100 min

13 ⚽

Karim Onisiwo

Forward · 7A · 2400 min

8 ⚽

Dominik Kohr

Midfielder · 8A · 2700 min

3 ⚽

Top scorers: SC Paderborn 07

Paderborn

Sven Michel

Forward · 8A · 2600 min

16 ⚽

Niko Muslija

Midfielder · 13A · 2500 min

8 ⚽

Uwe Hünemeier

Defender · 2A · 2800 min

1 ⚽

Yellow cards: 1. FSV Mainz 05

Mainz

Dominik Kohr

Midfielder · 32 fouls · 2700 min

9 🟡

Karim Onisiwo

Forward · 14 fouls · 2400 min

5 🟡

Jonathan Burkardt

Forward · 12 fouls · 2100 min

3 🟡

Yellow cards: SC Paderborn 07

Paderborn

Uwe Hünemeier

Defender · 28 fouls · 2800 min

9 🟡

Niko Muslija

Midfielder · 24 fouls · 2500 min

7 🟡

Sven Michel

Forward · 16 fouls · 2600 min

4 🟡

Shots on target: 1. FSV Mainz 05

Mainz

Jonathan Burkardt

Forward · 13G 6A

38 🎯

Karim Onisiwo

Forward · 8G 7A

28 🎯

Dominik Kohr

Midfielder · 3G 8A

14 🎯

Shots on target: SC Paderborn 07

Paderborn

Sven Michel

Forward · 16G 8A

42 🎯

Niko Muslija

Midfielder · 8G 13A

28 🎯

Uwe Hünemeier

Defender · 1G 2A

6 🎯

Corner takers: 1. FSV Mainz 05

Mainz

Dominik Kohr

Midfielder · 2700 min

8 🚩

Karim Onisiwo

Forward · 2400 min

6 🚩

Jonathan Burkardt

Forward · 2100 min

4 🚩

Corner takers: SC Paderborn 07

Paderborn

Niko Muslija

Midfielder · 2500 min

18 🚩

Sven Michel

Forward · 2600 min

4 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

Player	Team	Min	YC 🟡	G	A	SoT 🎯	Fouls	Corners 🚩
DK Dominik Kohr Midfielder	Mainz	2700	9	3	8	14	32	8
UH Uwe Hünemeier Defender	Paderborn	2800	9	1	2	6	28	0
NM Niko Muslija Midfielder	Paderborn	2500	7	8	13	28	24	18
KO Karim Onisiwo Forward	Mainz	2400	5	8	7	28	14	6
SM Sven Michel Forward	Paderborn	2600	4	16	8	42	16	4
JB Jonathan Burkardt Forward	Mainz	2100	3	13	6	38	12	4

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

Mainz leads series 3-1 in Bundesliga meetings

Source: ESPN

Date	Home	Away	Result
2020-05	1. FSV Mainz 05	SC Paderborn 07	1–0 Home win
2020-02	SC Paderborn 07	1. FSV Mainz 05	1–3 Away win
2019-10	1. FSV Mainz 05	SC Paderborn 07	0–0 Draw
2019-08	SC Paderborn 07	1. FSV Mainz 05	1–3 Away win
2002-09	1. FSV Mainz 05	SC Paderborn 07	2–1 Home win

⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

Sven Michel

Paderborn · Forward

🎯 Shot threat🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat

Apps34

Goals16

Assists8

Shots on target42

SoT / game1.2

Yellow cards4

Fouls16

Jonathan Burkardt

Mainz · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator

Apps22

Goals13

Assists6

Shots on target38

SoT / game1.7

Yellow cards3

Fouls12

Niko Muslija

Paderborn · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat

Apps27

Goals8

Assists13

Shots on target28

SoT / game1.0

Yellow cards7

Fouls24

Karim Onisiwo

Mainz · Forward

🎯 Shot threat🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat

Apps32

Goals8

Assists7

Shots on target28

SoT / game0.9

Yellow cards5

Fouls14

Dominik Kohr

Mainz · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch

Apps31

Goals3

Assists8

Shots on target14

SoT / game0.5

Yellow cards9

Fouls32

Uwe Hünemeier

Paderborn · Defender

🟡 Card risk

Apps37

Goals1

Assists2

Shots on target6

SoT / game0.2

Yellow cards9

Fouls28

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at German-licensed bookmakers.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Sven Michel — primary shot threat

Sven Michel (Paderborn) has 42 shots on target from 34 appearances — averaging 1.2 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Dominik Kohr — card risk

Dominik Kohr (Mainz) has picked up 9 yellows and committed 32 fouls (1.0/game). The Bundesliga 2026/27 ü Spieltag 1 averages 3.5 yellow cards per game — making this a moderate environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Mainz dominate corners

Mainz average 4.9 corners per game vs Paderborn's 4.6. Mainz averaged 4.9 corners per game in 2025/26, edging Paderborn's 4.6. Burkardt's movement and Onisiwo's wide runs drive corner volume at home. The MEWA ARENA is a fortress for Mainz in openers.

⚽⚽ Goals angle

Attack vs leaky defence

1. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 52 goals while SC Paderborn 07 have conceded 46. Mainz to win ü home advantage and top-flight experience over promoted Paderborn

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 stats?: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga 2026/27 ü Spieltag 1. Mainz to win ü home advantage and top-flight experience over promoted Paderborn. Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game, edge at home. Paderborn most cards ü Hünemeier high-risk defending Burkardt.
What is the prediction for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?: Mainz to win ü home advantage and top-flight experience over promoted Paderborn
What is the corners prediction for Mainz vs Paderborn?: Mainz most corners ü 4.9 per game, edge at home
What is the cards prediction for Mainz vs Paderborn?: Paderborn most cards ü Hünemeier high-risk defending Burkardt
When does Mainz vs Paderborn kick off?: Sat 29 Aug 2026 ü 15:30 CEST · MEWA ARENA, Mainz.
Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?: Some licensed operators offer Super Sub and player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Bundesliga fixtures. Check availability for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 on each bookmaker's site. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.

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