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Atlético de Madrid vs CA Osasuna — Prediction, Stats & Tips

← La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 14:00 CEST

Atlético de Madrid

📍 Estadio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid

CA Osasuna

🔮 Result lean: Atlético to win — Metropolitano fortress, Griezmann in form, Osasuna away struggles

📅 Stats based on La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4 · Last updated: 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

🟡Jon Moncayola (Osasuna) — 8 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
🔥Atlético have won 4 of their last 5 — strong home momentum
🚩Corners: Atlético most corners — 5.8 per game at the Metropolitano vs Osasuna's 4.6
🎯Antoine Griezmann (Atlético) — 58 shots on target this season, key shot threat
🔄Super Sub angle: Los mercados de tiros a puerta pueden tener la protección Super Sub en las casas de apuestas.
📊H2H: Atlético lead H2H 4-0-1 in last 5

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Atlético vs Osasuna at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Atlético to win — Metropolitano fortress, Griezmann in form, Osasuna away struggles

🎯

Shots potential

High

Antoine Griezmann 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Atlético most corners — 5.8 per game at the Metropolitano

🟡

Cards potential

High

Jon Moncayola to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Atlético vs Osasuna

Result

Atlético to win — Metropolitano fortress, Griezmann in form, Osasuna away struggles

Corners

Atlético most corners — 5.8 per game at the Metropolitano vs Osasuna's 4.6

Cards

Moncayola most bookable — 8 YC last season, combative away at the Metropolitano

Atlético host Osasuna at the Metropolitano — a fixture where the Colchoneros are firm favourites despite their GW3 draw. Griezmann (18 goals, 58 SoT) remains Atlético's most reliable attacker. Osasuna's Moncayola (8 YC) is the standout card pick in this physical encounter. Atlético corners (5.8), Griezmann SoT and Moncayola's booking are the dominant angles.

CornersLow-medium risk

Atlético most corners — 5.8 per game at the Metropolitano

Atlético averaged 5.8 corners per game in 2025/26. Against Osasuna's compact low block (4.6 per game), the Metropolitano crowd and Griezmann/Koke's set-piece expertise should generate strong corner volume.

Shots on targetLow-medium risk

Antoine Griezmann 2+ shots on target

Griezmann had 18 goals and 58 SoT in 2025/26 — Atlético's consistent attacking threat. At home against Osasuna who conceded 58 goals, his movement and technical finishing make 2+ SoT a reliable pick.

Yellow cardLow risk

Jon Moncayola to be booked

Moncayola accumulated 8 yellow cards in 2025/26 as Osasuna's combative Basque midfielder. Away at the Metropolitano facing Atlético's pace and movement, his physical style carries very high booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4

Kick-off

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 14:00 CEST

Estadio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid

Corners lean

Atlético most corners — 5.8 per game at the Metropolitano vs Osasuna's 4.6

Result lean

Atlético to win — Metropolitano fortress, Griezmann in form, Osasuna away struggles

Team stats

Atlético vs Osasuna — comparison

Stat	Atlético	Osasuna	Edge
Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW3) Atlético: W-W-D. Osasuna: W-D-L.	7	4	Atlético
Goals scored (2025/26)	70	48	Atlético
Goals conceded (2025/26)	42	58	Atlético
Corners per game (2025/26 avg)	5.8	4.6	Atlético
Yellow cards (2025/26)	74	78	Atlético
Shots on target per game (2025/26)	6.2	4.8	Atlético

Top scorers: Atlético de Madrid

Atlético

Antoine Griezmann

Forward · 14A · 2500 min

18 ⚽

Koke

Midfielder · 10A · 2400 min

6 ⚽

Willy Caballero

Defender · 0A · 2700 min

0 ⚽

Top scorers: CA Osasuna

Osasuna

Ante Budimir

Forward · 8A · 2500 min

12 ⚽

Jon Moncayola

Midfielder · 8A · 2400 min

6 ⚽

Unai García

Defender · 2A · 2600 min

2 ⚽

Yellow cards: Atlético de Madrid

Atlético

Koke

Midfielder · 20 fouls · 2400 min

6 🟡

Willy Caballero

Defender · 12 fouls · 2700 min

3 🟡

Antoine Griezmann

Forward · 12 fouls · 2500 min

2 🟡

Yellow cards: CA Osasuna

Osasuna

Jon Moncayola

Midfielder · 24 fouls · 2400 min

8 🟡

Unai García

Defender · 22 fouls · 2600 min

7 🟡

Ante Budimir

Forward · 14 fouls · 2500 min

3 🟡

Shots on target: Atlético de Madrid

Atlético

Antoine Griezmann

Forward · 18G 14A

58 🎯

Koke

Midfielder · 6G 10A

22 🎯

Willy Caballero

Defender · 0G 0A

4 🎯

Shots on target: CA Osasuna

Osasuna

Ante Budimir

Forward · 12G 8A

36 🎯

Jon Moncayola

Midfielder · 6G 8A

20 🎯

Unai García

Defender · 2G 2A

8 🎯

Corner takers: Atlético de Madrid

Atlético

Koke

Midfielder · 2400 min

8 🚩

Antoine Griezmann

Forward · 2500 min

4 🚩

Corner takers: CA Osasuna

Osasuna

Jon Moncayola

Midfielder · 2400 min

6 🚩

Ante Budimir

Forward · 2500 min

2 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

Player	Team	Min	YC 🟡	G	A	SoT 🎯	Fouls	Corners 🚩
JM Jon Moncayola Midfielder	Osasuna	2400	8	6	8	20	24	6
UG Unai García Defender	Osasuna	2600	7	2	2	8	22	0
K Koke Midfielder	Atlético	2400	6	6	10	22	20	8
WC Willy Caballero Defender	Atlético	2700	3	0	0	4	12	0
AB Ante Budimir Forward	Osasuna	2500	3	12	8	36	14	2
AG Antoine Griezmann Forward	Atlético	2500	2	18	14	58	12	4

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

Atlético have a strong home record against Osasuna at the Metropolitano.

Source: ESPN

Date	Home	Away	Result
2026-04	Osasuna	Atlético	1–2 Away win
2025-12	Atlético	Osasuna	2–0 Home win
2025-04	Osasuna	Atlético	0–1 Away win
2024-11	Atlético	Osasuna	3–1 Home win
2024-04	Osasuna	Atlético	2–1 Home win

📊 League card context

La Liga 2025/26: 4.4 yellow cards/game on average

🟡 4.4 YC/game🔴 0.16 RC/game

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What the stats say — Atlético vs Osasuna

Result lean: Atlético to win — Metropolitano fortress, Griezmann in form, Osasuna away struggles

Corners: Atlético most corners — 5.8 per game at the Metropolitano vs Osasuna's 4.6

Cards: Moncayola most bookable — 8 YC last season, combative away at the Metropolitano

Frequently asked questions — Atlético vs Osasuna

What is the prediction for Atlético de Madrid vs CA Osasuna?

Atlético to win — Metropolitano fortress, Griezmann in form, Osasuna away struggles

Which team gets more corners — Atlético or Osasuna?

Atlético most corners — 5.8 per game at the Metropolitano vs Osasuna's 4.6

What is the cards prediction for Atlético vs Osasuna?

Moncayola most bookable — 8 YC last season, combative away at the Metropolitano

When does Atlético vs Osasuna kick off?

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 14:00 CEST at Estadio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid.

Should I check lineups before betting?

Always confirm confirmed starting XIs, injuries, odds movement and bookmaker terms — including any Super Sub or player protection rules — before placing player-prop bets.

What do you think about Atlético vs Osasuna?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

Antoine Griezmann

Atlético · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator

Apps35

Goals18

Assists14

Shots on target58

SoT / game1.7

Yellow cards2

Fouls12

Ante Budimir

Osasuna · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator

Apps33

Goals12

Assists8

Shots on target36

SoT / game1.1

Yellow cards3

Fouls14

Koke

Atlético · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch

Apps34

Goals6

Assists10

Shots on target22

SoT / game0.6

Yellow cards6

Fouls20

Jon Moncayola

Osasuna · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch

Apps26

Goals6

Assists8

Shots on target20

SoT / game0.8

Yellow cards8

Fouls24

Unai García

Osasuna · Defender

🟡 Card risk

Apps30

Goals2

Assists2

Shots on target8

SoT / game0.3

Yellow cards7

Fouls22

Willy Caballero

Atlético · Defender

Apps44

Goals0

Assists0

Shots on target4

SoT / game0.1

Yellow cards3

Fouls12

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Los mercados de tiros a puerta pueden tener la protección Super Sub en las casas de apuestas.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Antoine Griezmann — primary shot threat

Antoine Griezmann (Atlético) has 58 shots on target from 35 appearances — averaging 1.7 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Jon Moncayola — card risk

Jon Moncayola (Osasuna) has picked up 8 yellows and committed 24 fouls (0.9/game). The La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4 averages 4.4 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Atlético dominate corners

Atlético average 5.8 corners per game vs Osasuna's 4.6. Atlético averaged 5.8 corners per game in 2025/26. Against Osasuna's compact low block (4.6 per game), the Metropolitano crowd and Griezmann/Koke's set-piece expertise should generate strong corner volume.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Atlético — red-hot home form

Atlético de Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 matches. Atlético won GW1 and GW2 with Griezmann scoring in both, drew GW3.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.