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Valencia CF vs Deportivo Alavés — Prediction, Stats & Tips

← La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4

Sat 3 Oct 2026 · 18:30 CEST

Valencia CF

📍 Estadio Mestalla, Valencia

Ala

Deportivo Alavés

🔮 Result lean: Valencia narrow home advantage — Mestalla atmosphere, Alavés poor away record

📅 Stats based on La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4 · Last updated: 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

🟡Tomas Pina (Alavés) — 7 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
🔥Valencia have won 3 of their last 5 — strong home momentum
🚩Corners: Valencia most corners — 5.2 per game at Mestalla
🎯Hugo Duro (Valencia) — 36 shots on target this season, key shot threat
🔄Super Sub angle: Los mercados de tiros a puerta pueden tener la protección Super Sub en las casas de apuestas.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Valencia vs Alavés at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Valencia narrow home advantage — Mestalla atmosphere, Alavés poor away record

🎯

Shots potential

High

Hugo Duro 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

Medium

Valencia most corners — 5.2 per game at Mestalla

🟡

Cards potential

High

Tomas Pina to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Valencia vs Alavés

Result

Valencia narrow home advantage — Mestalla atmosphere, Alavés poor away record

Corners

Valencia most corners — 5.2 per game at Mestalla

Cards

Pina most bookable — Alavés defensive midfielder, 7 YC last season

Valencia host Alavés at the atmospheric Mestalla in a fixture both sides need after poor recent form. Duro (12 goals) leads Valencia's attack while Januzaj (8 goals) provides Alavés' creativity. Both sides are in the yellow-card zone — Pina (7 YC) tops the list. Valencia corners (5.2), Duro SoT and Pina's booking are the main betting angles.

CornersLow-medium risk

Valencia most corners — 5.2 per game at Mestalla

Valencia averaged 5.2 corners per game in 2025/26 at the atmospheric Mestalla. Against Alavés who average only 4.4, Duro's aerial threat and Almeida's wide play should generate consistent corner volume.

Shots on targetMedium risk

Hugo Duro 2+ shots on target

Duro had 12 goals and 36 SoT in 2025/26 — Valencia's physical striker whose link play and shooting inside the box make 2+ SoT a reasonable pick at the Mestalla against Alavés who conceded 64 goals.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Tomas Pina to be booked

Pina accumulated 7 yellow cards in 2025/26 as Alavés' aggressive defensive midfielder. Away at the Mestalla facing Valencia's pressure, his combative style carries high booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4

Kick-off

Sat 3 Oct 2026 · 18:30 CEST

Estadio Mestalla, Valencia

Corners lean

Valencia most corners — 5.2 per game at Mestalla

Result lean

Valencia narrow home advantage — Mestalla atmosphere, Alavés poor away record

Team stats

Valencia vs Alavés — comparison

Stat	Valencia	Alavés	Edge
Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW3) Valencia: W-D-L. Alavés: W-L-L.	5	3	Valencia
Goals scored (2025/26)	52	44	Valencia
Goals conceded (2025/26)	58	64	Valencia
Corners per game (2025/26 avg)	5.2	4.4	Valencia
Yellow cards (2025/26)	70	74	Valencia
Shots on target per game (2025/26)	5	4.4	Valencia

Top scorers: Valencia CF

Valencia

Hugo Duro

Forward · 8A · 2400 min

12 ⚽

André Almeida

Midfielder · 8A · 2300 min

6 ⚽

Yarek Mosquera

Defender · 2A · 2600 min

2 ⚽

Top scorers: Deportivo Alavés

Alavés

Adnan Januzaj

Forward · 10A · 2200 min

8 ⚽

Tomas Pina

Midfielder · 6A · 2200 min

4 ⚽

Víctor Laguardia

Defender · 2A · 2600 min

2 ⚽

Yellow cards: Valencia CF

Valencia

André Almeida

Midfielder · 18 fouls · 2300 min

5 🟡

Yarek Mosquera

Defender · 16 fouls · 2600 min

4 🟡

Hugo Duro

Forward · 14 fouls · 2400 min

3 🟡

Yellow cards: Deportivo Alavés

Alavés

Tomas Pina

Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2200 min

7 🟡

Víctor Laguardia

Defender · 20 fouls · 2600 min

6 🟡

Adnan Januzaj

Forward · 14 fouls · 2200 min

3 🟡

Shots on target: Valencia CF

Valencia

Hugo Duro

Forward · 12G 8A

36 🎯

André Almeida

Midfielder · 6G 8A

20 🎯

Yarek Mosquera

Defender · 2G 2A

8 🎯

Shots on target: Deportivo Alavés

Alavés

Adnan Januzaj

Forward · 8G 10A

26 🎯

Tomas Pina

Midfielder · 4G 6A

14 🎯

Víctor Laguardia

Defender · 2G 2A

8 🎯

Corner takers: Valencia CF

Valencia

André Almeida

Midfielder · 2300 min

6 🚩

Hugo Duro

Forward · 2400 min

2 🚩

Corner takers: Deportivo Alavés

Alavés

Adnan Januzaj

Forward · 2200 min

4 🚩

Tomas Pina

Midfielder · 2200 min

4 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

Player	Team	Min	YC 🟡	G	A	SoT 🎯	Fouls	Corners 🚩
TP Tomas Pina Midfielder	Alavés	2200	7	4	6	14	22	4
VL Víctor Laguardia Defender	Alavés	2600	6	2	2	8	20	0
AA André Almeida Midfielder	Valencia	2300	5	6	8	20	18	6
YM Yarek Mosquera Defender	Valencia	2600	4	2	2	8	16	0
HD Hugo Duro Forward	Valencia	2400	3	12	8	36	14	2
AJ Adnan Januzaj Forward	Alavés	2200	3	8	10	26	14	4

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What the stats say — Valencia vs Alavés

Result lean: Valencia narrow home advantage — Mestalla atmosphere, Alavés poor away record

Corners: Valencia most corners — 5.2 per game at Mestalla

Cards: Pina most bookable — Alavés defensive midfielder, 7 YC last season

Frequently asked questions — Valencia vs Alavés

What is the prediction for Valencia CF vs Deportivo Alavés?

Valencia narrow home advantage — Mestalla atmosphere, Alavés poor away record

Which team gets more corners — Valencia or Alavés?

Valencia most corners — 5.2 per game at Mestalla

What is the cards prediction for Valencia vs Alavés?

Pina most bookable — Alavés defensive midfielder, 7 YC last season

When does Valencia vs Alavés kick off?

Sat 3 Oct 2026 · 18:30 CEST at Estadio Mestalla, Valencia.

Should I check lineups before betting?

Always confirm confirmed starting XIs, injuries, odds movement and bookmaker terms — including any Super Sub or player protection rules — before placing player-prop bets.

What do you think about Valencia vs Alavés?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

Hugo Duro

Valencia · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator

Apps23

Goals12

Assists8

Shots on target36

SoT / game1.6

Yellow cards3

Fouls14

Adnan Januzaj

Alavés · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator

Apps31

Goals8

Assists10

Shots on target26

SoT / game0.8

Yellow cards3

Fouls14

André Almeida

Valencia · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch

Apps34

Goals6

Assists8

Shots on target20

SoT / game0.6

Yellow cards5

Fouls18

Tomas Pina

Alavés · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch

Apps35

Goals4

Assists6

Shots on target14

SoT / game0.4

Yellow cards7

Fouls22

Víctor Laguardia

Alavés · Defender

🟡 Card risk

Apps34

Goals2

Assists2

Shots on target8

SoT / game0.2

Yellow cards6

Fouls20

Yarek Mosquera

Valencia · Defender

🟡 Card risk

Apps21

Goals2

Assists2

Shots on target8

SoT / game0.4

Yellow cards4

Fouls16

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Los mercados de tiros a puerta pueden tener la protección Super Sub en las casas de apuestas.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Hugo Duro — primary shot threat

Hugo Duro (Valencia) has 36 shots on target from 23 appearances — averaging 1.6 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Tomas Pina — card risk

Tomas Pina (Alavés) has picked up 7 yellows and committed 22 fouls (0.6/game). The La Liga 2026/27 — Jornada 4 averages 4.4 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Valencia dominate corners

Valencia average 5.2 corners per game vs Alavés's 4.4. Valencia averaged 5.2 corners per game in 2025/26 at the atmospheric Mestalla. Against Alavés who average only 4.4, Duro's aerial threat and Almeida's wide play should generate consistent corner volume.

⚽⚽ Goals angle

Attack vs leaky defence

Valencia CF have scored 52 goals while Deportivo Alavés have conceded 64. Valencia narrow home advantage — Mestalla atmosphere, Alavés poor away record

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.