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Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco — Prediction, Stats & Tips

← Ligue 1 2026/27 — Journée 4

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 17:00 CEST

Olympique de Marseille

📍 Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

AS Monaco

🔮 Result lean: Tight — both on 7 points, Vélodrome atmosphere gives Marseille slim edge

📅 Stats based on Ligue 1 2026/27 — Journée 4 · Last updated: 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

🟡Mohamed Camara (Monaco) — 5 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
🔥Marseille have won 4 of their last 5 — strong home momentum
🔥Monaco have won 3 of their last 5 — arriving in form
🚩Corners: Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage, 5.8 per game
🎯Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Marseille) — 44 shots on target this season, key shot threat
🔄Super Sub angle: Les marchés de tirs cadrés peuvent bénéficier de la protection Super Sub chez les bookmakers.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Marseille vs Monaco at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Tight — both on 7 points, Vélodrome atmosphere gives Marseille slim edge

🎯

Shots potential

High

Aubameyang 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage

🟡

Cards potential

High

Mattéo Guendouzi to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Marseille vs Monaco

Result

Tight — both on 7 points, Vélodrome atmosphere gives Marseille slim edge

Corners

Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage, 5.8 per game

Cards

Guendouzi most bookable — 5 YC last season, feisty Vélodrome atmosphere

A top-of-the-table clash at the Vélodrome between two sides level on 7 points. Both Marseille and Monaco averaged 5.8 corners and 72 goals in 2025/26 — this is genuinely evenly matched. Aubameyang (14 goals) is the home attacking focal point while Minamino (14 goals) provides Monaco's directness. Guendouzi's card risk in a feisty Vélodrome atmosphere and Aubameyang's shot volume are the main betting angles.

CornersMedium risk

Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage

Marseille average 5.8 corners per game — matching Monaco's output. At the electric Vélodrome against Monaco's high-press, Aubameyang and Harit's wide movement generates corner volume in front of 60,000 passionate supporters.

Shots on targetLow-medium risk

Aubameyang 2+ shots on target

Aubameyang had 14 goals and 44 SoT in 2025/26 as Marseille's main striker. He scored in GW3 against PSG in Le Classique. Against Monaco who conceded 48 goals last season, his directness and finishing make 2+ SoT a credible home pick.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Mattéo Guendouzi to be booked

Guendouzi collected 5 yellow cards in 2025/26. In a top-of-the-table Ligue 1 clash at the Vélodrome, his aggressive box-to-box style and the high-stakes atmosphere create consistent booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Ligue 1 2026/27 — Journée 4

Kick-off

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 17:00 CEST

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Corners lean

Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage, 5.8 per game

Result lean

Tight — both on 7 points, Vélodrome atmosphere gives Marseille slim edge

Team stats

Marseille vs Monaco — comparison

Stat	Marseille	Monaco	Edge
Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW3) Marseille: W-D-W. Monaco: W-W-D after GW3.	7	7	Level
Goals scored (2025/26)	72	72	Level
Goals conceded (2025/26)	52	48	Monaco
Corners per game (2025/26 avg)	5.8	5.8	Level
Yellow cards (2025/26)	66	58	Monaco
Shots on target per game (2025/26)	6.2	6	Marseille

Top scorers: Olympique de Marseille

Marseille

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Forward · 8A · 2400 min

14 ⚽

Mattéo Guendouzi

Midfielder · 10A · 2600 min

6 ⚽

Leonardo Balerdi

Defender · 4A · 2700 min

2 ⚽

Top scorers: AS Monaco

Monaco

Takumi Minamino

Forward · 12A · 2500 min

14 ⚽

Mohamed Camara

Midfielder · 6A · 2600 min

4 ⚽

Guillermo Maripán

Defender · 2A · 2600 min

2 ⚽

Yellow cards: Olympique de Marseille

Marseille

Mattéo Guendouzi

Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2600 min

5 🟡

Leonardo Balerdi

Defender · 18 fouls · 2700 min

5 🟡

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Forward · 12 fouls · 2400 min

2 🟡

Yellow cards: AS Monaco

Monaco

Mohamed Camara

Midfielder · 24 fouls · 2600 min

5 🟡

Guillermo Maripán

Defender · 18 fouls · 2600 min

4 🟡

Takumi Minamino

Forward · 14 fouls · 2500 min

2 🟡

Shots on target: Olympique de Marseille

Marseille

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Forward · 14G 8A

44 🎯

Mattéo Guendouzi

Midfielder · 6G 10A

22 🎯

Leonardo Balerdi

Defender · 2G 4A

10 🎯

Shots on target: AS Monaco

Monaco

Takumi Minamino

Forward · 14G 12A

44 🎯

Mohamed Camara

Midfielder · 4G 6A

16 🎯

Guillermo Maripán

Defender · 2G 2A

8 🎯

Corner takers: Olympique de Marseille

Marseille

Mattéo Guendouzi

Midfielder · 2600 min

6 🚩

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Forward · 2400 min

2 🚩

Corner takers: AS Monaco

Monaco

Mohamed Camara

Midfielder · 2600 min

6 🚩

Takumi Minamino

Forward · 2500 min

4 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

Player	Team	Min	YC 🟡	G	A	SoT 🎯	Fouls	Corners 🚩
MG Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder	Marseille	2600	5	6	10	22	22	6
LB Leonardo Balerdi Defender	Marseille	2700	5	2	4	10	18	0
MC Mohamed Camara Midfielder	Monaco	2600	5	4	6	16	24	6
GM Guillermo Maripán Defender	Monaco	2600	4	2	2	8	18	0
PA Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Forward	Marseille	2400	2	14	8	44	12	2
TM Takumi Minamino Forward	Monaco	2500	2	14	12	44	14	4

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What the stats tell us about Marseille vs Monaco

Result lean: Tight — both on 7 points, Vélodrome atmosphere gives Marseille slim edge

Corners: Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage, 5.8 per game

Cards: Guendouzi most bookable — 5 YC last season, feisty Vélodrome atmosphere

Marseille vs Monaco — FAQ

What are the Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco stats?

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco stats comparison for Ligue 1 Journée 1 2026/27. Tight — both on 7 points, Vélodrome atmosphere gives Marseille slim edge. Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage, 5.8 per game. Guendouzi most bookable — 5 YC last season, feisty Vélodrome atmosphere.

What is the prediction for Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco?

Tight — both on 7 points, Vélodrome atmosphere gives Marseille slim edge

What is the corners prediction for Marseille vs Monaco?

Marseille most corners — Vélodrome home advantage, 5.8 per game

What is the cards prediction for Marseille vs Monaco?

Guendouzi most bookable — 5 YC last season, feisty Vélodrome atmosphere

When does Marseille vs Monaco kick off?

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 17:00 CEST at Stade Vélodrome, Marseille.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco?

Several licensed bookmakers offer Super Sub and player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Ligue 1 fixtures. Check the bookmaker section on this page for current availability. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.

Should I check lineups before betting on Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries and suspensions before placing player-prop bets. Goals, shots on target and yellow card markets are highly sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

Takumi Minamino

Monaco · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator

Apps29

Goals14

Assists12

Shots on target44

SoT / game1.5

Yellow cards2

Fouls14

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Marseille · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator

Apps37

Goals14

Assists8

Shots on target44

SoT / game1.2

Yellow cards2

Fouls12

Mattéo Guendouzi

Marseille · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch

Apps27

Goals6

Assists10

Shots on target22

SoT / game0.8

Yellow cards5

Fouls22

Mohamed Camara

Monaco · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch

Apps25

Goals4

Assists6

Shots on target16

SoT / game0.6

Yellow cards5

Fouls24

Leonardo Balerdi

Marseille · Defender

🟡 Card risk

Apps25

Goals2

Assists4

Shots on target10

SoT / game0.4

Yellow cards5

Fouls18

Guillermo Maripán

Monaco · Defender

🟡 Card risk

Apps30

Goals2

Assists2

Shots on target8

SoT / game0.3

Yellow cards4

Fouls18

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Les marchés de tirs cadrés peuvent bénéficier de la protection Super Sub chez les bookmakers.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang — primary shot threat

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Marseille) has 44 shots on target from 37 appearances — averaging 1.2 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Mohamed Camara — card risk

Mohamed Camara (Monaco) has picked up 5 yellows and committed 24 fouls (1.0/game). The Ligue 1 2026/27 — Journée 4 averages 4 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Marseille dominate corners

Marseille average 5.8 corners per game vs Monaco's 5.8. Marseille average 5.8 corners per game — matching Monaco's output. At the electric Vélodrome against Monaco's high-press, Aubameyang and Harit's wide movement generates corner volume in front of 60,000 passionate supporters.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Marseille — red-hot home form

Olympique de Marseille have won 4 of their last 5 matches. Marseille on 7 points — won GW1 and GW3, drew GW2. Vélodrome is a fortress.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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