🇪🇺 UEFA Nations League 2026/27All Nations League predictions

UEFA Nations League 2026/27 — Matchday 1

Italy vs Belgium

Fri 25 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST · Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Italy most corners — Dimarco's overlapping runs and Frattesi's drives into the box create corner positionsItaly most bookings — 16 YC in 8 NL 2024 apps; Frattesi and Retegui (1 YC each) alongside Belgium's Openda and Tielemans (2 YC each)Italy to win — NL H2H dominance (4-0-1), Olimpico crowd and Italy's multi-threat attack

Italy host Belgium at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome — the standout League A fixture of the night. Italy are NL 2024 finalists, with Davide Frattesi (3G, 6 SoT in 8 apps) and Moise Kean (3G, 5 SoT in 6 apps) sharing the goals — not Retegui (2G, 6 SoT) alone as previously assumed. Italy lead the H2H 4-0-1 in Nations League meetings. Belgium's Kevin De Bruyne (2G, 7 SoT in 4 apps) is Belgium's most dangerous player despite limited minutes. Lois Openda (1G, 6 SoT, 2 YC) and Youri Tielemans (1G, 5 SoT, 2 YC) add midfield threat. Italy's 16 YC in 8 games vs Belgium's 12 makes Italy the slightly more booked team.

⚡ Key notices

  • 🔥Italy have won 4 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — strong momentum
  • 🚩Corners: Italy most corners — Dimarco's overlapping runs and Frattesi's drives into the box create corner positions
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at licensed bookmakers.
  • 📊H2H: Last 5 NL H2H

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Italy vs Belgium at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Italy to win — NL H2H dominance (4-0-1), Olimpico crowd and Italy's multi-threat attack

🎯

Shots potential

Medium

Frattesi 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

Medium

🟡

Cards potential

High

Italy most bookings

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Italy vs Belgium

Result

Italy to win — NL H2H dominance (4-0-1), Olimpico crowd and Italy's multi-threat attack

Corners

Italy most corners — Dimarco's overlapping runs and Frattesi's drives into the box create corner positions

Cards

Italy most bookings — 16 YC in 8 NL 2024 apps; Frattesi and Retegui (1 YC each) alongside Belgium's Openda and Tielemans (2 YC each)

Italy host Belgium at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome — the standout League A fixture of the night. Italy are NL 2024 finalists, with Davide Frattesi (3G, 6 SoT in 8 apps) and Moise Kean (3G, 5 SoT in 6 apps) sharing the goals — not Retegui (2G, 6 SoT) alone as previously assumed. Italy lead the H2H 4-0-1 in Nations League meetings. Belgium's Kevin De Bruyne (2G, 7 SoT in 4 apps) is Belgium's most dangerous player despite limited minutes. Lois Openda (1G, 6 SoT, 2 YC) and Youri Tielemans (1G, 5 SoT, 2 YC) add midfield threat. Italy's 16 YC in 8 games vs Belgium's 12 makes Italy the slightly more booked team.

Match resultLow-medium risk

Italy to win

Italy lead the H2H 4-0-1 in NL meetings. Italy scored 17 goals in 8 NL 2024 games and kept 3 clean sheets. Frattesi (3G, 6 SoT in 8 apps) and Kean (3G, 5 SoT in 6 apps) are Italy's top scorers — Retegui (2G, 6 SoT) adds a third threat. Belgium conceded 7 goals in 6 NL 2024 games.

Shots on targetLow-medium risk

Frattesi 2+ shots on target

Frattesi had 6 SoT in 8 NL 2024 apps and scored 3 goals — the highest goal tally for any Italian player. His runs from deep make him hard to track. Belgium conceded 7 goals in 6 NL 2024 games.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Italy most bookings

Italy had 16 yellow cards in 8 NL 2024 games — 4 more than Belgium's 12. De Bruyne (1 YC in 4 apps) and Openda (2 YC) are Belgium's risks. Italy's Frattesi (1 YC) and Retegui (1 YC) add home-side card potential in a physical NL fixture.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Best bookmakers · Super Sub verified

Italy vs Belgium — Betting Sites

Showing best bookmakers for 🌍 …

All Super Sub sites →Compare all

Your country

🌍…

Filter:

18+ only. Always check current terms, responsible gambling tools and local availability before betting. Offers vary by country.

🇺🇸 Betting sites for Italy vs Belgium — United States

Compare all bookmakers

Confirm Super Sub availability, bonus and min deposit before placing player-prop bets.

All betting sites →
BetUS

BetUS

Sportsbook & Casino

200% Welcome Bonus up to $1,000 on your first 3 deposits — use code NEW200

View BetUS markets
1win

1win

Sportsbook

+500% welcome bonus across first 4 deposits: 1st 100% + 70 FS, 2nd 120% + 100 FS, 3rd 130% + 150 FS, 4th 150% + 180 FS. Use promo code BOOSTMENOW at registration.

View 1win markets

18+ only. Bonuses subject to T&Cs. Check that the exact player and market are available before betting. Super Sub labels vary by bookmaker.

Competition

UEFA Nations League 2026/27 — Matchday 1

Kick-off

Fri 25 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST

Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Corners lean

Italy most corners — Dimarco's overlapping runs and Frattesi's drives into the box create corner positions

Result lean

Italy to win — NL H2H dominance (4-0-1), Olimpico crowd and Italy's multi-threat attack

Team stats

Italy vs Belgium — comparison

StatItalyBelgiumEdge
Goals scored NL 2024

Italy 17 goals in 8 NL 2024 games; Belgium 14 in 6

1714Italy
Goals conceded NL 202477Level
Yellow cards NL 20241612Belgium
Wins NL 202454Italy
Clean sheets NL 202432Italy
Matches played NL 202486Italy

Top scorers: Italy

Italy
DF

Davide Frattesi

Midfielder · 0A · 542 min

3 ⚽
MK

Moise Kean

Forward · 0A · 308 min

3 ⚽
MR

Mateo Retegui

Forward · 0A · 389 min

2 ⚽

Top scorers: Belgium

Belgium
KD

Kevin De Bruyne

Midfielder · 0A · 340 min

2 ⚽
LO

Lois Openda

Forward · 0A · 490 min

1 ⚽
YT

Youri Tielemans

Midfielder · 0A · 396 min

1 ⚽

Yellow cards: Italy

Italy
DF

Davide Frattesi

Midfielder · 5 fouls · 542 min

1 🟡
MR

Mateo Retegui

Forward · 4 fouls · 389 min

1 🟡
MK

Moise Kean

Forward · 3 fouls · 308 min

1 🟡

Yellow cards: Belgium

Belgium
LO

Lois Openda

Forward · 4 fouls · 490 min

2 🟡
YT

Youri Tielemans

Midfielder · 3 fouls · 396 min

2 🟡
KD

Kevin De Bruyne

Midfielder · 3 fouls · 340 min

1 🟡

Shots on target: Italy

Italy
DF

Davide Frattesi

Midfielder · 3G 0A

6 🎯
MR

Mateo Retegui

Forward · 2G 0A

6 🎯
MK

Moise Kean

Forward · 3G 0A

5 🎯

Shots on target: Belgium

Belgium
KD

Kevin De Bruyne

Midfielder · 2G 0A

7 🎯
LO

Lois Openda

Forward · 1G 0A

6 🎯
YT

Youri Tielemans

Midfielder · 1G 0A

5 🎯

Corner takers: Italy

Italy

Corner takers: Belgium

Belgium
KD

Kevin De Bruyne

Midfielder · 340 min

2 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
LO

Lois Openda

Forward

Belgium490210640
YT

Youri Tielemans

Midfielder

Belgium396210530
DF

Davide Frattesi

Midfielder

Italy542130650
MR

Mateo Retegui

Forward

Italy389120640
MK

Moise Kean

Forward

Italy308130530
KD

Kevin De Bruyne

Midfielder

Belgium340120732

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

ITA leads NL series 4-0-1

Source: ESPN

DateHomeAwayResult
2024-11ItalyBelgium1–0 Home win
2024-10BelgiumItaly2–2 Draw
2021-10ItalyBelgium2–1 Home win
2021-07ItalyBelgium2–1 Home win
2016-06ItalyBelgium2–0 Home win
⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

DF

Davide Frattesi

Italy · Midfielder

Apps8
Goals3
Assists0
Shots on target6
SoT / game0.8
Yellow cards1
Fouls5
KD

Kevin De Bruyne

Belgium · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat
Apps4
Goals2
Assists0
Shots on target7
SoT / game1.8
Yellow cards1
Fouls3
MK

Moise Kean

Italy · Forward

⚽ Goal threat
Apps6
Goals3
Assists0
Shots on target5
SoT / game0.8
Yellow cards1
Fouls3
MR

Mateo Retegui

Italy · Forward

Apps6
Goals2
Assists0
Shots on target6
SoT / game1.0
Yellow cards1
Fouls4
LO

Lois Openda

Belgium · Forward

Apps6
Goals1
Assists0
Shots on target6
SoT / game1.0
Yellow cards2
Fouls4
YT

Youri Tielemans

Belgium · Midfielder

Apps5
Goals1
Assists0
Shots on target5
SoT / game1.0
Yellow cards2
Fouls3

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at licensed bookmakers.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Italy — red-hot home form

Italy have won 4 of their last 5 matches (recent form across competitions). Italy — 5 wins from 8 in NL 2024; Frattesi (3G) and Kean (3G) lead, Retegui (2G) adds depth at Olimpico.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🔗 More fixtures

nations-league
And

Andorra

vsThu 24 Sep 2026 · 18:00 CEST
Mal

Malta

→ Stats & Predictionnations-league
Kos

Kosovo

vsThu 24 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST
Ire

Ireland

→ Stats & Predictionnations-league
Aus

Austria

vsThu 24 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST
Isr

Israel

→ Stats & Predictionnations-league
Lie

Liechtenstein

vsThu 24 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST
Lit

Lithuania

→ Stats & Predictionnations-league
Por

Portugal

vsThu 24 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST
Wal

Wales

→ Stats & Predictionnations-league
Nor

Norway

vsThu 24 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST
Den

Denmark

→ Stats & Prediction

More stats comparisons

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League🇮🇹 Serie A🇫🇷 Ligue 1🇪🇸 La Liga🇪🇺 Nations League

Frequently asked questions

What are the Italy vs Belgium stats?
Italy vs Belgium — UEFA Nations League 2026/27 — Matchday 1. Italy to win — NL H2H dominance (4-0-1), Olimpico crowd and Italy's multi-threat attack. Italy most corners — Dimarco's overlapping runs and Frattesi's drives into the box create corner positions. Italy most bookings — 16 YC in 8 NL 2024 apps; Frattesi and Retegui (1 YC each) alongside Belgium's Openda and Tielemans (2 YC each).
What is the prediction for Italy vs Belgium?
Italy to win — NL H2H dominance (4-0-1), Olimpico crowd and Italy's multi-threat attack
What is the corners prediction for Italy vs Belgium?
Italy most corners — Dimarco's overlapping runs and Frattesi's drives into the box create corner positions
What is the cards prediction for Italy vs Belgium?
Italy most bookings — 16 YC in 8 NL 2024 apps; Frattesi and Retegui (1 YC each) alongside Belgium's Openda and Tielemans (2 YC each)
When does Italy vs Belgium kick off?
Fri 25 Sep 2026 · 20:45 CEST · Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for Italy vs Belgium?
Some licensed operators offer Super Sub and player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Bundesliga fixtures. Check availability for Italy vs Belgium on each bookmaker's site. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.