Arsenal vs Chelsea — Prediction, Stats & Tips

A blockbuster early-season clash at the Emirates — Arsenal (4 pts) host Chelsea (6 pts) in a match between the league's two most potent attacks. Arsenal's defensive record (30 conceded last season) is…

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← Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 3
Sun 6 Sep 2026 · 16:30 BST
Arsenal crest

Arsenal

vs

📍 Emirates Stadium, London

Chelsea crest

Chelsea

🔮 Result lean: Tight — Arsenal home edge, Chelsea in better early form (6 vs 4 pts)
📅 Stats based on Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 3 · Last updated: 6 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🟡Declan Rice (Arsenal) — 6 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
  • 🔥Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 — strong home momentum
  • 🔥Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 — arriving in form
  • 🚩Corners: Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game at the Emirates, highest in the league
  • 🎯Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) — 68 shots on target this season, key shot threat
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at bookmakers.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Arsenal vs Chelsea at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Tight — Arsenal home edge, Chelsea in better early form (6 vs 4 pts)

🎯

Shots potential

High

Bukayo Saka 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game at the Emirates

🟡

Cards potential

High

Declan Rice to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Arsenal vs Chelsea

Result

Tight — Arsenal home edge, Chelsea in better early form (6 vs 4 pts)

Corners

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game at the Emirates, highest in the league

Cards

Rice most bookable — Arsenal's midfield anchor, 6 YC last season, feisty London derby

A blockbuster early-season clash at the Emirates — Arsenal (4 pts) host Chelsea (6 pts) in a match between the league's two most potent attacks. Arsenal's defensive record (30 conceded last season) is exceptional. Chelsea's Palmer (22 goals, 66 SoT) is in brilliant early form. Arsenal corners (6.8), Saka SoT and Rice's card risk are the standout betting angles.

CornersLow-medium risk

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game at the Emirates

Arsenal averaged 6.8 corners per game in 2025/26 — highest in the PL. Saka's directness and Havertz's movement in the box generate corner after corner even against Chelsea's organised block.

Shots on targetLow risk

Bukayo Saka 2+ shots on target

Saka scored in GW1 vs Coventry and had 22 goals / 68 SoT in 2025/26. Chelsea conceded 62 goals last season and this fixture at the Emirates suits Saka's high-volume right-flank game.

Yellow cardMedium risk

Declan Rice to be booked

Rice collected 6 yellow cards in 2025/26 as Arsenal's midfield anchor. In a top-two clash at the Emirates facing Chelsea's pressing midfield, his aggressive defensive interventions carry consistent booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 3

Kick-off

Sun 6 Sep 2026 · 16:30 BST

Emirates Stadium, London

Corners lean

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game at the Emirates, highest in the league

Result lean

Tight — Arsenal home edge, Chelsea in better early form (6 vs 4 pts)

Team stats

Arsenal vs Chelsea — comparison

StatArsenalChelseaEdge
Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW2)

Arsenal: 3-0 Coventry GW1, 0-0 Villa GW2. Chelsea: 3-2 Fulham GW1, 4-3 Brighton GW2 (Palmer ×2).

46Chelsea
Goals scored (2025/26)8878Arsenal
Goals conceded (2025/26)3062Arsenal
Corners per game (2025/26 avg)6.86.2Arsenal
Yellow cards (2025/26)4858Arsenal
Shots on target per game (2025/26)6.86Arsenal

Top scorers: Arsenal

Arsenal
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 18A · 2700 min

22 ⚽
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 12A · 2600 min

18 ⚽
DR

Declan Rice

Midfielder · 5A · 3000 min

4 ⚽

Top scorers: Chelsea

Chelsea
CP

Cole Palmer

Midfielder · 20A · 2700 min

22 ⚽
PN

Pedro Neto

Forward · 16A · 2500 min

14 ⚽
RL

Romeo Lavia

Midfielder · 10A · 2400 min

8 ⚽

Yellow cards: Arsenal

Arsenal
DR

Declan Rice

Midfielder · 34 fouls · 3000 min

6 🟡
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 16 fouls · 2700 min

2 🟡
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 14 fouls · 2600 min

2 🟡

Yellow cards: Chelsea

Chelsea
RL

Romeo Lavia

Midfielder · 20 fouls · 2400 min

4 🟡
PN

Pedro Neto

Forward · 14 fouls · 2500 min

3 🟡
CP

Cole Palmer

Midfielder · 12 fouls · 2700 min

2 🟡

Shots on target: Arsenal

Arsenal
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 22G 18A

68 🎯
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 18G 12A

54 🎯
DR

Declan Rice

Midfielder · 4G 5A

14 🎯

Shots on target: Chelsea

Chelsea
CP

Cole Palmer

Midfielder · 22G 20A

66 🎯
PN

Pedro Neto

Forward · 14G 16A

52 🎯
RL

Romeo Lavia

Midfielder · 8G 10A

28 🎯

Corner takers: Arsenal

Arsenal
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 2700 min

8 🚩
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 2600 min

4 🚩

Corner takers: Chelsea

Chelsea
CP

Cole Palmer

Midfielder · 2700 min

8 🚩
PN

Pedro Neto

Forward · 2500 min

6 🚩
RL

Romeo Lavia

Midfielder · 2400 min

6 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
DR

Declan Rice

Midfielder

Arsenal300064514340
RL

Romeo Lavia

Midfielder

Chelsea2400481028206
PN

Pedro Neto

Forward

Chelsea25003141652146
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward

Arsenal27002221868168
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward

Arsenal26002181254144
CP

Cole Palmer

Midfielder

Chelsea27002222066128

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

Arsenal have won 3 of the last 5 home meetings against Chelsea.

Source: ESPN

DateHomeAwayResult
2026-04ChelseaArsenal0–2 Away win
2025-10ArsenalChelsea1–0 Home win
2025-04ChelseaArsenal2–2 Draw
2024-10ArsenalChelsea1–0 Home win
2024-04ChelseaArsenal5–0 Home win

📊 League card context

Premier League 2025/26: 3.8 yellow cards/game on average

🟡 3.8 YC/game🔴 0.08 RC/game

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What the stats tell us about Arsenal vs Chelsea

A blockbuster early-season clash at the Emirates — Arsenal (4 pts) host Chelsea (6 pts) in a match between the league's two most potent attacks. Arsenal's defensive record (30 conceded last season) is exceptional. Chelsea's Palmer (22 goals, 66 SoT) is in brilliant early form. Arsenal corners (6.8), Saka SoT and Rice's card risk are the standout betting angles.

Result lean: Tight — Arsenal home edge, Chelsea in better early form (6 vs 4 pts)

Corners: Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game at the Emirates, highest in the league

Cards: Rice most bookable — Arsenal's midfield anchor, 6 YC last season, feisty London derby

Arsenal vs Chelsea FAQ

What are the Arsenal vs Chelsea stats?

Arsenal vs Chelsea stats comparison is based on Arsenal 2025/26 and Chelsea previous season data. Key stats include goals scored, corners won, yellow cards, possession, passing accuracy and shots on target. See the full comparison table above.

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Tight — Arsenal home edge, Chelsea in better early form (6 vs 4 pts)

Who has better recent form — Arsenal or Chelsea?

Arsenal: 3-0 Coventry GW1 (Havertz, Saka, Ødegaard), 0-0 Villa GW2 — 4 points. Chelsea: 3-2 Fulham GW1, 4-3 Brighton GW2 — 6 points, Palmer and Neto electric in attack.

What is the corners prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game at the Emirates, highest in the league

What is the cards prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Rice most bookable — Arsenal's midfield anchor, 6 YC last season, feisty London derby

Who scores more goals — Arsenal or Chelsea?

A blockbuster early-season clash at the Emirates — Arsenal (4 pts) host Chelsea (6 pts) in a match between the league's two most potent attacks. Arsenal's defensive record (30 conceded last season) is

When does Arsenal vs Chelsea kick off?

Sun 6 Sep 2026 · 16:30 BST at Emirates Stadium, London.

Where is Arsenal vs Chelsea being played?

Arsenal vs Chelsea is played at Emirates Stadium, London.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Several UK bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub protection on player markets including shots on target, goals and cards. Check the bookmaker comparison section above for current availability. Always confirm eligibility and terms before betting.

Should I check lineups before betting on Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries, suspensions, odds movement and bookmaker terms — including any Super Sub or player protection rules — before placing player-prop bets. Player-specific markets are most sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about Arsenal vs Chelsea?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

BS

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps24
Goals22
Assists18
Shots on target68
SoT / game2.8
Yellow cards2
Fouls16
CP

Cole Palmer

Chelsea · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps22
Goals22
Assists20
Shots on target66
SoT / game3.0
Yellow cards2
Fouls12
KH

Kai Havertz

Arsenal · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals18
Assists12
Shots on target54
SoT / game2.1
Yellow cards2
Fouls14
PN

Pedro Neto

Chelsea · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps24
Goals14
Assists16
Shots on target52
SoT / game2.2
Yellow cards3
Fouls14
RL

Romeo Lavia

Chelsea · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat
Apps20
Goals8
Assists10
Shots on target28
SoT / game1.4
Yellow cards4
Fouls20
DR

Declan Rice

Arsenal · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps27
Goals4
Assists5
Shots on target14
SoT / game0.5
Yellow cards6
Fouls34

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at bookmakers.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Bukayo Saka — primary shot threat

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) has 68 shots on target from 24 appearances — averaging 2.8 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Declan Rice — card risk

Declan Rice (Arsenal) has picked up 6 yellows and committed 34 fouls (1.3/game). The Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 3 averages 3.8 yellow cards per game — making this a moderate environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Arsenal dominate corners

Arsenal average 6.8 corners per game vs Chelsea's 6.2. Arsenal averaged 6.8 corners per game in 2025/26 — highest in the PL. Saka's directness and Havertz's movement in the box generate corner after corner even against Chelsea's organised block.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Arsenal — red-hot home form

Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 matches. Arsenal: 3-0 Coventry GW1 (Havertz, Saka, Ødegaard), 0-0 Villa GW2 — 4 points.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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