Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa — Prediction, Stats & Tips

Brighton host Aston Villa at the Amex in one of Gameweek 1's best top-half matchups. Brighton finished 4th last season (62 goals, 50 conceded, 6.2 corners per game). Villa finished 3rd (68 goals, 44 c…

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← Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 14:00 BST
Brighton & Hove Albion crest

Brighton & Hove Albion

vs

📍 Amex Stadium, Brighton

Aston Villa crest

Aston Villa

🔮 Result lean: Evenly matched ° Brighton slight home edge
📅 Stats based on Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1 · Last updated: 23 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🟡John McGinn (Aston Villa) — 5 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
  • 🔥Brighton have won 4 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — strong momentum
  • 🔥Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — arriving in form
  • 🚩Corners: Brighton most corners ° over 6 team corners at the Amex
  • 🎯Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) — 55 shots on target this season, key shot threat
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets carry Super Sub / Impact Sub protection at UK bookmakers. Confirm terms before betting.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Brighton vs Aston Villa at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Evenly matched ° Brighton slight home edge

🎯

Shots potential

High

Ollie Watkins 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Brighton most corners

🟡

Cards potential

High

John McGinn to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Brighton vs Aston Villa

Result

Evenly matched ° Brighton slight home edge

Corners

Brighton most corners ° over 6 team corners at the Amex

Cards

McGinn most bookable ° Villa combative midfielder (5 YC last season)

Brighton host Aston Villa at the Amex in one of Gameweek 1's best top-half matchups. Brighton finished 4th last season (62 goals, 50 conceded, 6.2 corners per game). Villa finished 3rd (68 goals, 44 conceded) with Watkins delivering 16 goals and 21 assists. Rogers departed for Chelsea, replaced by Onana from Everton. Joao Pedro (12G), Mitoma and Buonanotte lead Brighton's technical attack. Brighton's corner dominance at the Amex (6.2 per game) is the headline statistical angle. BTTS and Watkins shots/goals round out the betting research.

CornersLow-medium risk

Brighton most corners

Brighton averaged 6.2 corners per game at the Amex in PL 2025/26 ° one of the league's highest. Their possession-dominant style (57%) creates sustained wide pressure that Villa will struggle to contain.

Shots on targetLow-medium risk

Ollie Watkins 2+ shots on target

Watkins scored 16 PL goals and delivered 21 assists in 37 appearances last season ° one of the PL's most complete strikers. The 2+ SoT line is strongly supported in any away fixture.

BTTSMedium risk

Both teams to score

Brighton scored 62 and Villa scored 68 in PL 2025/26. Both teams carry genuine attacking quality with clean attacking depth. BTTS is strongly supported by both squads' output.

Yellow cardMedium risk

John McGinn to be booked

McGinn picked up 5 yellow cards in 34 PL appearances last season as Villa's box-to-box midfielder. Away at the Amex, his combative style in tight midfield battles increases booking risk.

Goal scorerLow-medium risk

Ollie Watkins anytime to score

Watkins scored 16 PL goals last season ° Villa's top scorer and one of the division's best strikers. Even away at a strong Brighton side, he creates goal opportunities from any angle.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1

Kick-off

Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 14:00 BST

Amex Stadium, Brighton

Corners lean

Brighton most corners ° over 6 team corners at the Amex

Result lean

Evenly matched ° Brighton slight home edge

Team stats

Brighton vs Aston Villa — comparison

StatBrightonAston VillaEdge
League tier 2025/26Premier League (4th)Premier League (3rd)—
Goals scored (PL 2025/26)6268Aston Villa
Goals conceded (PL 2025/26)5044Aston Villa
Goals per match1.631.79Aston Villa
Clean sheets1013Aston Villa
Corners per game (PL 2025/26)6.25.4Brighton
Yellow cards (PL 2025/26)5862Brighton
Red cards (PL 2025/26)13Brighton
Possession (avg %)57%54%Brighton
Passing accuracy (avg %)85%84%Brighton
Shots on target per game5.86.2Aston Villa
Saves per game (GK)43.5Aston Villa

Top scorers: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
JP

Joao Pedro

Forward · 8A · 2800 min

12 ⚽
SM

Solly March

Forward · 8A · 2600 min

6 ⚽
FB

Facundo Buonanotte

Midfielder · 7A · 2000 min

5 ⚽

Top scorers: Aston Villa

Aston Villa
OW

Ollie Watkins

Forward · 21A · 3200 min

16 ⚽
JD

Jhon Durán

Forward · 3A · 1600 min

8 ⚽
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder · 9A · 3000 min

6 ⚽

Yellow cards: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder · 18 fouls · 2400 min

4 🟡
AW

Adam Webster

Defender · 10 fouls · 2000 min

4 🟡
PE

Pervis Estupiñán

Defender · 14 fouls · 2800 min

3 🟡

Yellow cards: Aston Villa

Aston Villa
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder · 24 fouls · 3000 min

5 🟡
AO

Amadou Onana

Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2200 min

4 🟡
MC

Matty Cash

Defender · 14 fouls · 2800 min

4 🟡

Shots on target: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
JP

Joao Pedro

Forward · 12G 8A

34 🎯
KM

Kaoru Mitoma

Forward · 3G 3A

27 🎯
SM

Solly March

Forward · 6G 8A

20 🎯

Shots on target: Aston Villa

Aston Villa
OW

Ollie Watkins

Forward · 16G 21A

55 🎯
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder · 6G 9A

18 🎯
JD

Jhon Durán

Forward · 8G 3A

18 🎯

Corner takers: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
SM

Solly March

Forward · 2600 min

10 🚩
KM

Kaoru Mitoma

Forward · 2200 min

8 🚩
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder · 2400 min

8 🚩

Corner takers: Aston Villa

Aston Villa
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder · 3000 min

8 🚩
OW

Ollie Watkins

Forward · 3200 min

2 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder

Aston Villa300056918248
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder

Brighton240044814188
AW

Adam Webster

Defender

Brighton20004213100
AO

Amadou Onana

Midfielder

Aston Villa22004208220
MC

Matty Cash

Defender

Aston Villa28004256140
LD

Lucas Digne

Defender

Aston Villa26004264120
PE

Pervis Estupiñán

Defender

Brighton28003276140
LD

Lewis Dunk

Defender

Brighton34203425120
JM

James Milner

Midfielder

Brighton12003124100
EK

Ezri Konsa

Defender

Aston Villa31003425120
YT

Youri Tielemans

Midfielder

Aston Villa280034614160
JP

Joao Pedro

Forward

Brighton2800212834142
SM

Solly March

Forward

Brighton2600268201410
JD

Jhon Durán

Forward

Aston Villa160028318100
FB

Facundo Buonanotte

Midfielder

Brighton200015716126
JS

Jason Steele

Goalkeeper

Brighton3420100020
EM

Emiliano Martínez

Goalkeeper

Aston Villa3420100040
KM

Kaoru Mitoma

Forward

Brighton220003327128
OW

Ollie Watkins

Forward

Aston Villa32000162155222

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

AVL leads series 3-1-1

Source: ESPN

DateHomeAwayResult
2026-02Aston VillaBrighton & Hove Albion1–0 Home win
2025-12Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa3–4 Away win
2025-04Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa0–3 Away win
2024-12Aston VillaBrighton & Hove Albion2–2 Draw
2024-05Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa1–0 Home win

📊 League card context

Premier League 2025/26: 3.8 yellow cards/game on average

🟡 3.8 YC/game🔴 0.12 RC/game

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What the stats tell us about Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton host Aston Villa at the Amex in one of Gameweek 1's best top-half matchups. Brighton finished 4th last season (62 goals, 50 conceded, 6.2 corners per game). Villa finished 3rd (68 goals, 44 conceded) with Watkins delivering 16 goals and 21 assists. Rogers departed for Chelsea, replaced by Onana from Everton. Joao Pedro (12G), Mitoma and Buonanotte lead Brighton's technical attack. Brighton's corner dominance at the Amex (6.2 per game) is the headline statistical angle. BTTS and Watkins shots/goals round out the betting research.

Result lean: Evenly matched ° Brighton slight home edge

Corners: Brighton most corners ° over 6 team corners at the Amex

Cards: McGinn most bookable ° Villa combative midfielder (5 YC last season)

Brighton vs Aston Villa FAQ

What are the Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa stats?

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa stats comparison uses the current-season record for Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1. Key stats include points, wins, draws, losses, goals scored, goals conceded, goal difference and match-centre form where available. See the full comparison table above.

What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Evenly matched ° Brighton slight home edge

Who has better recent form — Brighton or Aston Villa?

Brighton ° 4th in PL 2025/26. Strong Amex home record. Joao Pedro (12G) and Mitoma lead attack. Aston Villa ° 3rd in PL 2025/26. Watkins (16G, 21A) outstanding. Rogers left for Chelsea; Onana signed.

What is the corners prediction for Brighton vs Aston Villa?

Brighton most corners ° over 6 team corners at the Amex

What is the cards prediction for Brighton vs Aston Villa?

McGinn most bookable ° Villa combative midfielder (5 YC last season)

Who scores more goals — Brighton or Aston Villa?

Brighton host Aston Villa at the Amex in one of Gameweek 1's best top-half matchups. Brighton finished 4th last season (62 goals, 50 conceded, 6.2 corners per game). Villa finished 3rd (68 goals, 44 c

When does Brighton vs Aston Villa kick off?

Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 14:00 BST at Amex Stadium, Brighton.

Where is Brighton vs Aston Villa being played?

Brighton vs Aston Villa is played at Amex Stadium, Brighton.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for Brighton vs Aston Villa?

Several UK bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub protection on player markets including shots on target, goals and cards. Check the bookmaker comparison section above for current availability. Always confirm eligibility and terms before betting.

Should I check lineups before betting on Brighton vs Aston Villa?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries, suspensions, odds movement and bookmaker terms — including any Super Sub or player protection rules — before placing player-prop bets. Player-specific markets are most sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about Brighton vs Aston Villa?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

OW

Ollie Watkins

Aston Villa · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps30
Goals16
Assists21
Shots on target55
SoT / game1.8
Yellow cards0
Fouls22
JP

Joao Pedro

Brighton · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps23
Goals12
Assists8
Shots on target34
SoT / game1.5
Yellow cards2
Fouls14
JM

John McGinn

Aston Villa · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps32
Goals6
Assists9
Shots on target18
SoT / game0.6
Yellow cards5
Fouls24
SM

Solly March

Brighton · Forward

🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps29
Goals6
Assists8
Shots on target20
SoT / game0.7
Yellow cards2
Fouls14
JD

Jhon Durán

Aston Villa · Forward

⚽ Goal threat🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps21
Goals8
Assists3
Shots on target18
SoT / game0.9
Yellow cards2
Fouls10
KM

Kaoru Mitoma

Brighton · Forward

🎯 Shot threat🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps27
Goals3
Assists3
Shots on target27
SoT / game1.0
Yellow cards0
Fouls12

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Shots on target markets carry Super Sub / Impact Sub protection at UK bookmakers. Confirm terms before betting.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Ollie Watkins — primary shot threat

Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) has 55 shots on target from 30 appearances — averaging 1.8 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

John McGinn — card risk

John McGinn (Aston Villa) has picked up 5 yellows and committed 24 fouls (0.8/game). The Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1 averages 3.8 yellow cards per game — making this a moderate environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Brighton dominate corners

Brighton average 6.2 corners per game vs Aston Villa's 5.4. Brighton averaged 6.2 corners per game at the Amex in PL 2025/26 ° one of the league's highest. Their possession-dominant style (57%) creates sustained wide pressure that Villa will struggle to contain.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Brighton — red-hot home form

Brighton & Hove Albion have won 4 of their last 5 matches (recent form across competitions). Brighton ° 4th in PL 2025/26. Strong Amex home record. Joao Pedro (12G) and Mitoma lead attack.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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