FC Internazionale vs AC Milan — Prediction, Stats & Tips

Il Derby della Madonnina al Meazza — il match più atteso della Serie A. L'Inter ha 12 punti e Lautaro (28 gol, 82 TiP) è il capocannoniere della Serie A. Il Milan ha 10 punti e Leão (18 gol) è il più

Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 5
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST
Int

FC Internazionale

vs

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

AC Milan crest

AC Milan

🔮 Result lean: Inter favoriti in casa — partenza perfetta, fortezza del Meazza, Lautaro in forma strepitosa
📅 Stats based on Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 5 · Last updated: 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🟡Sandro Tonali (Milan) — 6 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
  • 🔥Inter have won 4 of their last 5 — strong home momentum
  • 🔥Milan have won 4 of their last 5 — arriving in form
  • 🚩Corners: Inter più calci d'angolo — 6,8 a partita vs 6,4 del Milan nel Derby
  • 🎯Lautaro Martínez (Inter) — 82 shots on target this season, key shot threat
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: I mercati di tiri in porta possono avere la protezione Super Sub nelle principali piattaforme di scommesse.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Inter vs Milan at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Inter favoriti in casa — partenza perfetta, fortezza del Meazza, Lautaro in forma strepitosa

🎯

Shots potential

High

Lautaro Martínez 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Inter most corners — 6.8 per game at the Meazza

🟡

Cards potential

High

Sandro Tonali to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Inter vs Milan

Result

Inter favoriti in casa — partenza perfetta, fortezza del Meazza, Lautaro in forma strepitosa

Corners

Inter più calci d'angolo — 6,8 a partita vs 6,4 del Milan nel Derby

Cards

Tonali il più ammonibile — centrocampista del Milan, 6 CG, derby in trasferta

Il Derby della Madonnina al Meazza — il match più atteso della Serie A. L'Inter ha 12 punti e Lautaro (28 gol, 82 TiP) è il capocannoniere della Serie A. Il Milan ha 10 punti e Leão (18 gol) è il più pericoloso in rossonero. Tonali (6 CG) porta alto rischio cartellino in trasferta. I corner dell'Inter (6,8), i TiP di Lautaro e il cartellino di Tonali sono gli angoli dominanti.

CornersLow risk

Inter most corners — 6.8 per game at the Meazza

Inter averaged 6.8 corners per game in 2025/26 — more than Milan's 6.4. In the Derby della Madonnina, Lautaro's movement, Barella's delivery and Inter's territorial pressure generates exceptional corner volume at the Meazza.

Shots on targetLow risk

Lautaro Martínez 2+ shots on target

Lautaro had 28 goals and 82 SoT in 2025/26 — the most dominant striker in Serie A. At home against Milan who conceded 34 goals, his movement and clinical finishing make 2+ SoT a near-certain pick in the Derby della Madonnina.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Sandro Tonali to be booked

Tonali accumulated 6 yellow cards in 2025/26 as Milan's combative midfielder. Away at the Meazza in the city derby facing Barella's pressing and Inter's intensity, his physical style carries very high booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 5

Kick-off

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Corners lean

Inter più calci d'angolo — 6,8 a partita vs 6,4 del Milan nel Derby

Result lean

Inter favoriti in casa — partenza perfetta, fortezza del Meazza, Lautaro in forma strepitosa

Team stats

Inter vs Milancomparison

StatInterMilanEdge
Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW4)

Inter: 4 vittorie. Milan: W-W-W-D.

1210Inter
Goals scored (2025/26)8882Inter
Goals conceded (2025/26)2834Inter
Corners per game (2025/26 avg)6.86.4Inter
Yellow cards (2025/26)5258Inter
Shots on target per game (2025/26)7.47Inter
Clean sheets (2025/26)2016Inter

Top scorers: FC Internazionale

Inter
LM

Lautaro Martínez

Forward · 14A · 2800 min

28
NB

Nicolò Barella

Midfielder · 22A · 2900 min

10
AB

Alessandro Bastoni

Defender · 8A · 3000 min

4

Top scorers: AC Milan

Milan
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 18A · 2700 min

18
ST

Sandro Tonali

Midfielder · 18A · 2800 min

10
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 14A · 2900 min

8

Yellow cards: FC Internazionale

Inter
NB

Nicolò Barella

Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2900 min

5 🟡
AB

Alessandro Bastoni

Defender · 16 fouls · 3000 min

3 🟡
LM

Lautaro Martínez

Forward · 10 fouls · 2800 min

2 🟡

Yellow cards: AC Milan

Milan
ST

Sandro Tonali

Midfielder · 24 fouls · 2800 min

6 🟡
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 14 fouls · 2900 min

4 🟡
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 12 fouls · 2700 min

2 🟡

Shots on target: FC Internazionale

Inter
LM

Lautaro Martínez

Forward · 28G 14A

82 🎯
NB

Nicolò Barella

Midfielder · 10G 22A

44 🎯
AB

Alessandro Bastoni

Defender · 4G 8A

14 🎯

Shots on target: AC Milan

Milan
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 18G 18A

58 🎯
ST

Sandro Tonali

Midfielder · 10G 18A

38 🎯
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 8G 14A

22 🎯

Corner takers: FC Internazionale

Inter
NB

Nicolò Barella

Midfielder · 2900 min

12 🚩
LM

Lautaro Martínez

Forward · 2800 min

2 🚩

Corner takers: AC Milan

Milan
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 2900 min

10 🚩
ST

Sandro Tonali

Midfielder · 2800 min

8 🚩
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 2700 min

6 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
ST

Sandro Tonali

Midfielder

Milan28006101838248
NB

Nicolò Barella

Midfielder

Inter290051022442212
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender

Milan29004814221410
AB

Alessandro Bastoni

Defender

Inter300034814160
LM

Lautaro Martínez

Forward

Inter28002281482102
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward

Milan27002181858126

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What the stats tell us about Inter vs Milan

Il Derby della Madonnina al Meazza — il match più atteso della Serie A. L'Inter ha 12 punti e Lautaro (28 gol, 82 TiP) è il capocannoniere della Serie A. Il Milan ha 10 punti e Leão (18 gol) è il più pericoloso in rossonero. Tonali (6 CG) porta alto rischio cartellino in trasferta. I corner dell'Inter (6,8), i TiP di Lautaro e il cartellino di Tonali sono gli angoli dominanti.

Result lean: Inter favoriti in casa — partenza perfetta, fortezza del Meazza, Lautaro in forma strepitosa

Corners: Inter più calci d'angolo — 6,8 a partita vs 6,4 del Milan nel Derby

Cards: Tonali il più ammonibile — centrocampista del Milan, 6 CG, derby in trasferta

Inter vs Milan — FAQ

What are the FC Internazionale vs AC Milan stats?

FC Internazionale vs AC Milan stats comparison for Serie A Giornata 1 2026/27. Inter favoriti in casa — partenza perfetta, fortezza del Meazza, Lautaro in forma strepitosa. Inter più calci d'angolo — 6,8 a partita vs 6,4 del Milan nel Derby. Tonali il più ammonibile — centrocampista del Milan, 6 CG, derby in trasferta.

What is the prediction for FC Internazionale vs AC Milan?

Inter favoriti in casa — partenza perfetta, fortezza del Meazza, Lautaro in forma strepitosa

What is the corners prediction for Inter vs Milan?

Inter più calci d'angolo — 6,8 a partita vs 6,4 del Milan nel Derby

What is the cards prediction for Inter vs Milan?

Tonali il più ammonibile — centrocampista del Milan, 6 CG, derby in trasferta

When does Inter vs Milan kick off?

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for FC Internazionale vs AC Milan?

Several licensed bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Serie A fixtures. Check the bookmaker section on this page for current availability. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.

Should I check lineups before betting on FC Internazionale vs AC Milan?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries and suspensions before placing player-prop bets. Goals, shots on target and yellow card markets are highly sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about FC Internazionale vs AC Milan?

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Player intel

Players to watch

LM

Lautaro Martínez

Inter · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps27
Goals28
Assists14
Shots on target82
SoT / game3.0
Yellow cards2
Fouls10
RL

Rafael Leão

Milan · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps27
Goals18
Assists18
Shots on target58
SoT / game2.1
Yellow cards2
Fouls12
NB

Nicolò Barella

Inter · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat
Apps29
Goals10
Assists22
Shots on target44
SoT / game1.5
Yellow cards5
Fouls22
ST

Sandro Tonali

Milan · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat
Apps26
Goals10
Assists18
Shots on target38
SoT / game1.5
Yellow cards6
Fouls24
TH

Theo Hernández

Milan · Defender

🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps28
Goals8
Assists14
Shots on target22
SoT / game0.8
Yellow cards4
Fouls14
AB

Alessandro Bastoni

Inter · Defender

🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals4
Assists8
Shots on target14
SoT / game0.5
Yellow cards3
Fouls16

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

I mercati di tiri in porta possono avere la protezione Super Sub nelle principali piattaforme di scommesse.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Lautaro Martínez — primary shot threat

Lautaro Martínez (Inter) has 82 shots on target from 27 appearances — averaging 3.0 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Sandro Tonali — card risk

Sandro Tonali (Milan) has picked up 6 yellows and committed 24 fouls (0.9/game). The Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 5 averages 4.2 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Inter dominate corners

Inter average 6.8 corners per game vs Milan's 6.4. Inter averaged 6.8 corners per game in 2025/26 — more than Milan's 6.4. In the Derby della Madonnina, Lautaro's movement, Barella's delivery and Inter's territorial pressure generates exceptional corner volume at the Meazza.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Inter — red-hot home form

FC Internazionale have won 4 of their last 5 matches. Inter perfetti — 12 punti in 4 giornate, Lautaro in grandissima forma.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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