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AC Milan vs Juventus — Prediction, Stats & Tips

San Siro hosts the Milan derby — the Italian football equivalent of Manchester's big night. AC Milan (Leão 18 goals) face Juventus (Vlahović 22 goals, 66 SoT). Both sides have similar statistical prof…

← Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4
Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST
AC Milan crest

AC Milan

vs

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Juventus crest

Juventus

🔮 Result lean: Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness
📅 Stats based on Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4 · Last updated: 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🟡Federico Gatti (Juventus) — 6 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
  • 🔥Milan have won 4 of their last 5 — strong home momentum
  • 🔥Juventus have won 4 of their last 5 — arriving in form
  • 🚩Corners: Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2
  • 🎯Dušan Vlahović (Juventus) — 66 shots on target this season, key shot threat
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: I mercati di tiri in porta possono avere la protezione Super Sub nei bookmaker.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Milan vs Juventus at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness

🎯

Shots potential

High

Rafael Leão 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro

🟡

Cards potential

High

Federico Gatti to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Milan vs Juventus

Result

Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness

Corners

Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2

Cards

Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro

San Siro hosts the Milan derby — the Italian football equivalent of Manchester's big night. AC Milan (Leão 18 goals) face Juventus (Vlahović 22 goals, 66 SoT). Both sides have similar statistical profiles but Milan's home corner advantage (6.4 vs 6.2) and Leão's individual quality make the difference. Gatti's card risk (6 YC) and Leão's SoT are the headline individual betting angles.

CornersMedium risk

Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro

Milan averaged 6.4 corners per game in 2025/26 — above Juventus' 6.2. Leão's directness and Theo Hernández's overlapping runs generate corner volume at San Siro in the Italian derby of derbies.

Shots on targetLow-medium risk

Rafael Leão 2+ shots on target

Leão had 18 goals and 62 SoT in 2025/26 — Milan's most unpredictable and direct wide attacker. Against Juventus who conceded 42 goals, his explosive pace and shooting from wide make 2+ SoT a reliable pick in the derby.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Federico Gatti to be booked

Gatti accumulated 6 yellow cards in 2025/26 — highest among Juventus defenders. In the Milan derby at San Siro, his aggressive challenges against Leão and Morata carry very high booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4

Kick-off

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Corners lean

Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2

Result lean

Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness

Team stats

Milan vs Juventus — comparison

StatMilanJuventusEdge
Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW3)

Milan: W-W-L. Juventus: W-W-D.

67Juventus
Goals scored (2025/26)7470Milan
Goals conceded (2025/26)4442Juventus
Corners per game (2025/26 avg)6.46.2Milan
Yellow cards (2025/26)5660Milan
Shots on target per game (2025/26)6.86.4Milan

Top scorers: AC Milan

Milan
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 16A · 2700 min

18 ⚽
TR

Tijjani Reijnders

Midfielder · 14A · 2600 min

12 ⚽
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 12A · 2700 min

6 ⚽

Top scorers: Juventus

Juventus
DV

Dušan Vlahović

Forward · 10A · 2600 min

22 ⚽
ML

Manuel Locatelli

Midfielder · 10A · 2600 min

6 ⚽
FG

Federico Gatti

Defender · 4A · 2700 min

4 ⚽

Yellow cards: AC Milan

Milan
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 18 fouls · 2700 min

5 🟡
TR

Tijjani Reijnders

Midfielder · 18 fouls · 2600 min

3 🟡
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 14 fouls · 2700 min

3 🟡

Yellow cards: Juventus

Juventus
FG

Federico Gatti

Defender · 22 fouls · 2700 min

6 🟡
ML

Manuel Locatelli

Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2600 min

5 🟡
DV

Dušan Vlahović

Forward · 14 fouls · 2600 min

3 🟡

Shots on target: AC Milan

Milan
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 18G 16A

62 🎯
TR

Tijjani Reijnders

Midfielder · 12G 14A

42 🎯
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 6G 12A

18 🎯

Shots on target: Juventus

Juventus
DV

Dušan Vlahović

Forward · 22G 10A

66 🎯
ML

Manuel Locatelli

Midfielder · 6G 10A

22 🎯
FG

Federico Gatti

Defender · 4G 4A

8 🎯

Corner takers: AC Milan

Milan
TR

Tijjani Reijnders

Midfielder · 2600 min

8 🚩
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward · 2700 min

6 🚩
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender · 2700 min

6 🚩

Corner takers: Juventus

Juventus
ML

Manuel Locatelli

Midfielder · 2600 min

6 🚩
DV

Dušan Vlahović

Forward · 2600 min

2 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
FG

Federico Gatti

Defender

Juventus27006448220
TH

Theo Hernández

Defender

Milan2700561218186
ML

Manuel Locatelli

Midfielder

Juventus2600561022226
RL

Rafael Leão

Forward

Milan27003181662146
TR

Tijjani Reijnders

Midfielder

Milan26003121442188
DV

Dušan Vlahović

Forward

Juventus26003221066142

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What the stats tell us about Milan vs Juventus

San Siro hosts the Milan derby — the Italian football equivalent of Manchester's big night. AC Milan (Leão 18 goals) face Juventus (Vlahović 22 goals, 66 SoT). Both sides have similar statistical profiles but Milan's home corner advantage (6.4 vs 6.2) and Leão's individual quality make the difference. Gatti's card risk (6 YC) and Leão's SoT are the headline individual betting angles.

Result lean: Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness

Corners: Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2

Cards: Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro

Milan vs Juventus — FAQ

What are the AC Milan vs Juventus stats?

AC Milan vs Juventus stats comparison for Serie A Giornata 1 2026/27. Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness. Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2. Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro.

What is the prediction for AC Milan vs Juventus?

Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness

What is the corners prediction for Milan vs Juventus?

Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2

What is the cards prediction for Milan vs Juventus?

Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro

When does Milan vs Juventus kick off?

Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for AC Milan vs Juventus?

Several licensed bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Serie A fixtures. Check the bookmaker section on this page for current availability. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.

Should I check lineups before betting on AC Milan vs Juventus?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries and suspensions before placing player-prop bets. Goals, shots on target and yellow card markets are highly sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about AC Milan vs Juventus?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

DV

Dušan Vlahović

Juventus · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals22
Assists10
Shots on target66
SoT / game2.5
Yellow cards3
Fouls14
RL

Rafael Leão

Milan · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals18
Assists16
Shots on target62
SoT / game2.4
Yellow cards3
Fouls14
TR

Tijjani Reijnders

Milan · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps27
Goals12
Assists14
Shots on target42
SoT / game1.6
Yellow cards3
Fouls18
ML

Manuel Locatelli

Juventus · Midfielder

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps28
Goals6
Assists10
Shots on target22
SoT / game0.8
Yellow cards5
Fouls22
TH

Theo Hernández

Milan · Defender

🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator
Apps28
Goals6
Assists12
Shots on target18
SoT / game0.6
Yellow cards5
Fouls18
FG

Federico Gatti

Juventus · Defender

🟡 Card risk
Apps26
Goals4
Assists4
Shots on target8
SoT / game0.3
Yellow cards6
Fouls22

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

I mercati di tiri in porta possono avere la protezione Super Sub nei bookmaker.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Dušan Vlahović — primary shot threat

Dušan Vlahović (Juventus) has 66 shots on target from 26 appearances — averaging 2.5 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Federico Gatti — card risk

Federico Gatti (Juventus) has picked up 6 yellows and committed 22 fouls (0.8/game). The Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4 averages 4.2 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Milan dominate corners

Milan average 6.4 corners per game vs Juventus's 6.2. Milan averaged 6.4 corners per game in 2025/26 — above Juventus' 6.2. Leão's directness and Theo Hernández's overlapping runs generate corner volume at San Siro in the Italian derby of derbies.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Milan — red-hot home form

AC Milan have won 4 of their last 5 matches. Milan won GW1 and GW2 but lost GW3 — Leão the constant creative threat.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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