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View Betsson marketsAC Milan vs Juventus — Prediction, Stats & Tips
San Siro hosts the Milan derby — the Italian football equivalent of Manchester's big night. AC Milan (Leão 18 goals) face Juventus (Vlahović 22 goals, 66 SoT). Both sides have similar statistical prof…
← Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4
Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST
AC Milan
vs
📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Juventus
🔮 Result lean: Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness
📅 Stats based on Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4 · Last updated: 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
⚡ Key notices
- 🟡Federico Gatti (Juventus) — 6 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
- 🔥Milan have won 4 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — strong momentum
- 🔥Juventus have won 4 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — arriving in form
- 🚩Corners: Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2
- 🎯Dušan Vlahović (Juventus) — 66 shots on target this season, key shot threat
- 🔄Super Sub angle: I mercati di tiri in porta possono avere la protezione Super Sub nei bookmaker.
SuperSubBetting Quick Read
Milan vs Juventus at a glance
🏆
Result lean
Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness
🎯
Shots potential
High
Rafael Leão 2+ shots on target
🚩
Corners potential
High
Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro
🟡
Cards potential
High
Federico Gatti to be booked
🔄
Super Sub relevance
High
Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.
🔮 Our prediction
Milan vs Juventus
Result
Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness
Corners
Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2
Cards
Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro
San Siro hosts the Milan derby — the Italian football equivalent of Manchester's big night. AC Milan (Leão 18 goals) face Juventus (Vlahović 22 goals, 66 SoT). Both sides have similar statistical profiles but Milan's home corner advantage (6.4 vs 6.2) and Leão's individual quality make the difference. Gatti's card risk (6 YC) and Leão's SoT are the headline individual betting angles.
CornersMedium risk
Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro
Milan averaged 6.4 corners per game in 2025/26 — above Juventus' 6.2. Leão's directness and Theo Hernández's overlapping runs generate corner volume at San Siro in the Italian derby of derbies.
Shots on targetLow-medium risk
Rafael Leão 2+ shots on target
Leão had 18 goals and 62 SoT in 2025/26 — Milan's most unpredictable and direct wide attacker. Against Juventus who conceded 42 goals, his explosive pace and shooting from wide make 2+ SoT a reliable pick in the derby.
Yellow cardLow-medium risk
Federico Gatti to be booked
Gatti accumulated 6 yellow cards in 2025/26 — highest among Juventus defenders. In the Milan derby at San Siro, his aggressive challenges against Leão and Morata carry very high booking risk.
18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.
Competition
Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4
Kick-off
Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Corners lean
Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2
Result lean
Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness
Team stats
Milan vs Juventus — comparison
| Stat | Milan | Juventus | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW3) Milan: W-W-L. Juventus: W-W-D. | 6 | 7 | Juventus |
| Goals scored (2025/26) | 74 | 70 | Milan |
| Goals conceded (2025/26) | 44 | 42 | Juventus |
| Corners per game (2025/26 avg) | 6.4 | 6.2 | Milan |
| Yellow cards (2025/26) | 56 | 60 | Milan |
| Shots on target per game (2025/26) | 6.8 | 6.4 | Milan |
Top scorers: AC Milan
MilanRL
Rafael Leão
Forward · 16A · 2700 min
TR
Tijjani Reijnders
Midfielder · 14A · 2600 min
TH
Theo Hernández
Defender · 12A · 2700 min
Top scorers: Juventus
JuventusDV
Dušan Vlahović
Forward · 10A · 2600 min
ML
Manuel Locatelli
Midfielder · 10A · 2600 min
FG
Federico Gatti
Defender · 4A · 2700 min
Yellow cards: AC Milan
MilanTH
Theo Hernández
Defender · 18 fouls · 2700 min
TR
Tijjani Reijnders
Midfielder · 18 fouls · 2600 min
RL
Rafael Leão
Forward · 14 fouls · 2700 min
Yellow cards: Juventus
JuventusFG
Federico Gatti
Defender · 22 fouls · 2700 min
ML
Manuel Locatelli
Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2600 min
DV
Dušan Vlahović
Forward · 14 fouls · 2600 min
Shots on target: AC Milan
MilanRL
Rafael Leão
Forward · 18G 16A
TR
Tijjani Reijnders
Midfielder · 12G 14A
TH
Theo Hernández
Defender · 6G 12A
Shots on target: Juventus
JuventusDV
Dušan Vlahović
Forward · 22G 10A
ML
Manuel Locatelli
Midfielder · 6G 10A
FG
Federico Gatti
Defender · 4G 4A
Corner takers: AC Milan
MilanTR
Tijjani Reijnders
Midfielder · 2600 min
RL
Rafael Leão
Forward · 2700 min
TH
Theo Hernández
Defender · 2700 min
Corner takers: Juventus
JuventusML
Manuel Locatelli
Midfielder · 2600 min
DV
Dušan Vlahović
Forward · 2600 min
Player comparison
Sort & filter players
| Player | Team | Min | YC 🟡 | G | A | SoT 🎯 | Fouls | Corners 🚩 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FG Federico Gatti Defender | Juventus | 2700 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
TH Theo Hernández Defender | Milan | 2700 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 6 |
ML Manuel Locatelli Midfielder | Juventus | 2600 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 22 | 6 |
RL Rafael Leão Forward | Milan | 2700 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 62 | 14 | 6 |
TR Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder | Milan | 2600 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 18 | 8 |
DV Dušan Vlahović Forward | Juventus | 2600 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 66 | 14 | 2 |
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What the stats tell us about Milan vs Juventus
San Siro hosts the Milan derby — the Italian football equivalent of Manchester's big night. AC Milan (Leão 18 goals) face Juventus (Vlahović 22 goals, 66 SoT). Both sides have similar statistical profiles but Milan's home corner advantage (6.4 vs 6.2) and Leão's individual quality make the difference. Gatti's card risk (6 YC) and Leão's SoT are the headline individual betting angles.
Result lean: Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness
Corners: Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2
Cards: Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro
Milan vs Juventus — FAQ
What are the AC Milan vs Juventus stats?
AC Milan vs Juventus stats comparison for Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4. Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness. Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2. Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro.
What is the prediction for AC Milan vs Juventus?
Milan slight home edge — San Siro atmosphere, Leão's directness
What is the corners prediction for Milan vs Juventus?
Milan most corners — 6.4 per game at San Siro, above Juventus' 6.2
What is the cards prediction for Milan vs Juventus?
Gatti most bookable — 6 YC last season, facing Leão's pace at San Siro
When does Milan vs Juventus kick off?
Sun 4 Oct 2026 · 20:45 CEST at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for AC Milan vs Juventus?
Several licensed bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub player protection on goals, shots on target and card markets for Serie A fixtures. Check the bookmaker section on this page for current availability. Always confirm terms and eligibility before placing a bet. 18+ only.
Should I check lineups before betting on AC Milan vs Juventus?
Always confirm starting XIs, injuries and suspensions before placing player-prop bets. Goals, shots on target and yellow card markets are highly sensitive to lineup changes.
What do you think about AC Milan vs Juventus?
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⭐
Player intel
Players to watch
DV
Dušan Vlahović
Juventus · Forward
🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals22
Assists10
Shots on target66
SoT / game2.5
Yellow cards3
Fouls14
RL
Rafael Leão
Milan · Forward
🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals18
Assists16
Shots on target62
SoT / game2.4
Yellow cards3
Fouls14
TR
Tijjani Reijnders
Milan · Midfielder
🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps27
Goals12
Assists14
Shots on target42
SoT / game1.6
Yellow cards3
Fouls18
ML
Manuel Locatelli
Juventus · Midfielder
🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps28
Goals6
Assists10
Shots on target22
SoT / game0.8
Yellow cards5
Fouls22
TH
Theo Hernández
Milan · Defender
🟡 Card risk🎨 Creator
Apps28
Goals6
Assists12
Shots on target18
SoT / game0.6
Yellow cards5
Fouls18
FG
Federico Gatti
Juventus · Defender
🟡 Card risk
Apps26
Goals4
Assists4
Shots on target8
SoT / game0.3
Yellow cards6
Fouls22
Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
🧠
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🔄🔄 Super Sub angle
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🎯🎯 Shots angle
Dušan Vlahović — primary shot threat
Dušan Vlahović (Juventus) has 66 shots on target from 26 appearances — averaging 2.5 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.
🟡🟡 Cards angle
Federico Gatti — card risk
Federico Gatti (Juventus) has picked up 6 yellows and committed 22 fouls (0.8/game). The Serie A 2026/27 — Giornata 4 averages 4.2 yellow cards per game — making this a card-heavy environment.
🚩🚩 Corners angle
Milan dominate corners
Milan average 6.4 corners per game vs Juventus's 6.2. Milan averaged 6.4 corners per game in 2025/26 — above Juventus' 6.2. Leão's directness and Theo Hernández's overlapping runs generate corner volume at San Siro in the Italian derby of derbies.
🔥🔥 Form angle
Milan — red-hot home form
AC Milan have won 4 of their last 5 matches (recent form across competitions). Milan won GW1 and GW2 but lost GW3 — Leão the constant creative threat.
Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
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