Pronostici calcio oggiPronostici della settimana 40/2026

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Ukraine carry higher FIFA ranking quality but Georgia are difficult on home soil. DNB protects against the home draw.

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Both sides are defensively compact League C teams. Recent NL meetings between similar-ranked sides in this pool tend to be low-scoring.

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Sweden (FIFA 38) are unbeaten at home across the previous two Nations League editions at the Strawberry Arena. Isak is their focal point — Premier League-proven finishing gives them the edge at home over Poland (FIFA 36).

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Romania and Bosnia met in NL 2024/25 Group B4 — both matches finished with 2 or fewer goals. Both sides favour compact, low-risk setups in important group games.

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Italy's defensive structure is their defining asset — they have not lost a competitive home qualifier since 2016 and their away record is similarly disciplined. Turkey are physical at home but rarely unlock Italy's block.

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France (FIFA 3, 18.3 shots/game at 2026 World Cup) are the quality edge here despite Belgium's home advantage. Zidane's first away test — France's squad depth and World Cup finishing form make them the pick, but DNB protects against a spirited Belgian home performance.

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France at the Stade de France in Zidane's first home fixture — ranked 3rd globally with dominant World Cup attacking numbers. Italy are disciplined but face a severe quality gap at home.

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Bilino Polje is a hostile away venue and Bosnia are hard to beat at home in Zenica. Sweden's quality (Isak) is the edge but DNB covers the draw risk in what should be a tight League B fixture.

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Belgium are open and attack-minded; Turkey will press hard. Both sides are capable of scoring and the tactical profiles of both suggest goals are more likely than not.

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England beat Croatia 4-2 in the 2026 World Cup group stage — six goals in that meeting. England's attack (Kane, Saka, Palmer) averaged 14.5 shots per game at the World Cup. Even with potential rotation after the Spain and Czechia games, goals are the likeliest angle.

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Spain are 2nd in the FIFA rankings and world champions. They averaged 7.3 corners per game at the 2026 World Cup. Czechia (40th) will sit deep — Spain's possession-heavy style generates corners in bulk against massed defences.

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Moldova are the home side in League D and should have the quality edge over Faroe Islands. Home advantage in Chișinău historically counts for lower-ranked nations in this division.

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Finland are at home and the stronger ranked side. Belarus are a limited away team. DNB removes the draw risk while backing the home quality advantage.

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England (FIFA 4) are clear quality favourites but Prague is where they lost their last away qualifier 2-1 in 2019. DNB protects against a spirited Czech home performance three days after England hosted Spain.

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Spain averaged 7.3 corners per game at the 2026 World Cup. At home in Seville against an ageing Croatia side that typically cedes territory to top nations, Spain's possession-heavy style generates corner volume in bulk.

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Switzerland (FIFA ~15) are higher ranked than Scotland (~40) and play disciplined, results-oriented football. Away in Glasgow is tough, but DNB gives protection against a home draw while backing Swiss quality.

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Slovenia (FIFA ~60) are at home and the clear quality favourite over North Macedonia (~90). Seska and the home crowd give Slovenia a strong platform in League C.

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Bulgaria at home should have the edge over Estonia in League C. DNB provides cover given the evenly matched nature of both sides at this level.

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Slovakia (FIFA ~50) are significantly stronger than Kazakhstan (~120) and at home. Kazakhstan are a modest League C/D side — Slovakia's quality should prevail comfortably.

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San Marino are the lowest-ranked nation in UEFA and have not won a competitive match in decades. Albania (FIFA ~75) are many levels above them — this is one of the clearest results picks in the Nations League.

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Luxembourg and Iceland are evenly matched League C sides. Both play conservative, low-risk football and their recent NL meetings have typically stayed under 2.5 goals.

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Ireland at home in League B are competitive and organised. Austria are a higher-ranked side but away form in Nations League B fixtures is inconsistent. Compact, low-scoring encounter expected.

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Poland and Romania are evenly matched League B sides. Poland at home should have the slight edge but both are typically tight and compact — goals are likely to be limited.

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Portugal have greater squad depth (FIFA ~6) but Denmark at home are a dangerous side in League A. DNB protects the draw.

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Germany at home are a dominant force in League A. Serbia (est. FIFA ~25) are quality but the gap at home in Germany's favour is clear.

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Netherlands (FIFA ~8) are the quality side but Greece at home have historically been difficult in European competition. DNB covers the draw risk.

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Norway (Haaland) carry a clear quality edge over Wales in this League B fixture. DNB at a tricky Cardiff venue is the sensible angle.

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Both sides are evenly matched in League B. Compact tactical approaches on both sides make goals hard to come by.

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Hungary at home should have the edge over Georgia in this League C fixture. Home advantage in Budapest is a key factor.

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Ukraine (FIFA ~27) are significantly stronger than Northern Ireland and at home. Clear quality and ranking advantage.

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Scotland carry the quality edge (FIFA ~40 vs ~90) in this League C fixture. DNB protects against a home draw from North Macedonia.

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Switzerland (FIFA ~15) are comfortably stronger than Slovenia (~60) and at home. Clear favourites.

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Finland vs Albania is a compact League C encounter. Both sides are defensive and evenly matched at this level.

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Ireland at home vs Israel in League B — both sides are defensive and low-scoring. Compact group-stage atmosphere with promotion/relegation implications makes goals hard to come by.

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Germany (FIFA ~13) are strong favourites but Greece at home in Athens are notoriously difficult. DNB removes draw risk while backing German quality.

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Netherlands at home (FIFA ~8) are strong favourites over Serbia (~25) in this League A fixture.

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Portugal (FIFA ~6) at home should be too strong for Norway (Haaland aside). Portugal's home record in League A is excellent.

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Denmark (FIFA ~20) have the quality edge over Wales but Cardiff is a hostile away venue in League B. DNB covers the draw.