UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1 · Matchday 2

Belgium vs France Prediction & Betting Tips

Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST · King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels

France have beaten Belgium in each of their last five meetings, including both Nations League games in 2024 and the Euro 2024 round of 16. Zidane's second match in charge takes him to the King Baudouin Stadium three days after the Group A1 opener in Türkiye; Belgium open at home to Italy on 25 September.

Last reviewed 24 Sept 2026 · Team news and odds change — check again close to kick-off.

🇧🇪 Belgium vs France 🇫🇷

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Prediction
France avoid defeat
Best bet
France draw no bet (Draw no bet)
Kick-off
Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
Competition
UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1
Confidence
Medium
Super Sub
Depends on bookmaker and market

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Our call

Prediction: Belgium 1-2 France

The H2H is one-way traffic — five straight France wins — and France's attack is the strongest in our World Cup data. That supports France, but Belgium at home with a settled team are a different proposition from a France side still bedding in a new coach.

France draw no bet protects against the most plausible upset scenario, a scrappy draw in Brussels.

1X2

lean France. Draw no bet is our preferred route.

Goals

the last five meetings produced 3, 2, 1, 5 and 1 goals (most recent first). We see 2-3 goals as the central range.

BTTS

slight lean Yes — Belgium at home should score against a France defence in transition.

Best betting angles

  • Draw no bet

    Confidence: Medium

    France

    Five straight H2H wins and the strongest attack in our data.

  • Player shots on target

    Confidence: Medium

    Mbappé 2+

    3.2 shots on target per game at the World Cup.

  • BTTS

    Confidence: Low

    Yes

    New-look France defence away from home.

Live prices

Belgium vs France odds

Live 1X2 prices from licensed bookmakers, refreshed every few minutes. Prices move with team news — compare before you bet and check the bookmaker's own terms.

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Form & tactics

Current form and how the match could play out

🇧🇪 Belgium

Belgium reached the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals, where they lost 2-1 to Spain. They are 9th in the June 2026 FIFA ranking.

🇫🇷 France

France scored 16 and conceded 2 in six World Cup matches in our log before losing the semi-final to Spain and the third-place play-off to England. Zidane's first match is in Türkiye on 25 September.

  • France's attack has been the most productive in our World Cup data: 18.3 shots and 7.8 shots on target per game, with Mbappé taking 30 shots in six matches.
  • Belgium's recent problem in this fixture is scoring: they have scored once in the last three meetings with France (in the 1-2 defeat in Brussels in October 2024).
  • The unknown is France's defence without Saliba and after only one match under Zidane. Belgium's direct wide play is exactly what tests a new central-defensive partnership.

Corners

Belgium vs France corners

France averaged 6.8 corners per game at the World Cup. Belgium at home will have more of the ball than most France opponents, so we see a tighter corner count than in France's World Cup games. See the corners prediction page.

Full Belgium vs France corners prediction →

Cards

Belgium vs France cards

France were the cleanest of the big teams at the World Cup (0.67 yellow cards per game). Rivalry games between neighbours can lift the count; referee to be confirmed. See the cards prediction page.

Full Belgium vs France cards prediction →

Player markets

Player betting angles

  • Shots on target

    Confidence: Medium

    Kylian Mbappé 2+

    Had 2+ shots on target in every one of France's six World Cup games in our log.

  • Anytime scorer

    Confidence: Low

    Kylian Mbappé

    France's main finisher and penalty taker.

Player markets depend on the confirmed line-up. Some bookmakers protect these bets if the player is substituted — see the Super Sub section.

Stats & H2H

Belgium vs France stats and head-to-head

Team comparison
StatBelgiumFrance
FIFA ranking (June 2026)93
Head coach—Zinedine Zidane
WC 2026 corners per game—6.83
WC 2026 shots per game—18.33
WC 2026 shots on target per game—7.83
WC 2026 yellow cards per game—0.67

Source: FIFA ranking 11 June 2026; SuperSubBetting World Cup 2026 match log (where held).

France have won the last five meetings.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
14 Oct 2024Nations LeagueBelgium v FranceBrussels1-2
9 Sept 2024Nations LeagueFrance v BelgiumLyon2-0
1 Jul 2024Euro 2024 round of 16France v BelgiumDüsseldorf1-0
7 Oct 2021Nations League semi-finalBelgium v FranceTurin2-3
10 Jul 2018World Cup semi-finalFrance v BelgiumSaint Petersburg1-0
Full Belgium vs France stats →

Team news

Team news, injuries and likely line-ups

Official squads announced — starting line-ups not confirmed. Last checked 24 Sept 2026.

🇧🇪 Belgium

  • Belgium's squad should be checked on the Belgian FA site; we have not recorded confirmed absences. Belgium play Italy on 25 September — any bookings from that match will be added here.

Possible line-up

Line-up to be confirmed.

🇫🇷 France

  • Squad named 18 September: Mbappé (captain), Dembélé and Olise included; Saliba not selected; five uncapped players called up.
  • Any knocks or bookings from Türkiye vs France (25 Sep) will be added here after that match.

Possible line-up

Attack likely built around Mbappé, Dembélé and Olise; the rest depends on Zidane's first-match choices.

We update projections after the Matchday 1 results. Official XIs arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Substitution protection

Super Sub for Belgium vs France

Super Sub-style features keep a player bet alive if your player is substituted: the bet transfers to the replacement. Each bookmaker brands it differently — Super Sub, Sub On Play On, PowerSub, Impact Sub, Sure Sub, Safe Sub and others — and each applies it to its own list of markets, typically goalscorer, shots on target and player cards.

The list below only shows bookmakers licensed in your country with a substitution feature recorded in our database, and the markets their own rules name. Availability on this specific international match is decided market by market by the operator.

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Substitution protection is applied market by market. Coverage of UEFA Nations League fixtures is not confirmed individually for each operator — check that the feature badge is shown on the exact bet before you place it.

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FAQ

Belgium vs France: questions and answers

What time is Belgium vs France?

Belgium vs France kicks off at 20:45 CEST (19:45 UK) on Monday 28 September 2026 at the King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels.

When did Belgium last beat France?

Belgium have not beaten France in any of the last five meetings, which France won between 2018 and 2024.

What is the Belgium vs France prediction?

France to avoid defeat; our best bet is France draw no bet, with 2-1 France the most likely score.

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