UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1 · Matchday 2
Belgium vs France Prediction & Betting Tips
Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST · King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels
France have beaten Belgium in each of their last five meetings, including both Nations League games in 2024 and the Euro 2024 round of 16. Zidane's second match in charge takes him to the King Baudouin Stadium three days after the Group A1 opener in Türkiye; Belgium open at home to Italy on 25 September.
Last reviewed 24 Sept 2026 · Team news and odds change — check again close to kick-off.
🇧🇪 Belgium vs France 🇫🇷
Upcoming- Prediction
- France avoid defeat
- Best bet
- France draw no bet (Draw no bet)
- Kick-off
- Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1
- Confidence
- Medium
- Super Sub
- Depends on bookmaker and market
Checking bookmakers available in your country…
Which bookmakers offer Super Sub in your country?Our call
Prediction: Belgium 1-2 France
The H2H is one-way traffic — five straight France wins — and France's attack is the strongest in our World Cup data. That supports France, but Belgium at home with a settled team are a different proposition from a France side still bedding in a new coach.
France draw no bet protects against the most plausible upset scenario, a scrappy draw in Brussels.
1X2
lean France. Draw no bet is our preferred route.
Goals
the last five meetings produced 3, 2, 1, 5 and 1 goals (most recent first). We see 2-3 goals as the central range.
BTTS
slight lean Yes — Belgium at home should score against a France defence in transition.
Best betting angles
Draw no bet
Confidence: MediumFrance
Five straight H2H wins and the strongest attack in our data.
Player shots on target
Confidence: MediumMbappé 2+
3.2 shots on target per game at the World Cup.
BTTS
Confidence: LowYes
New-look France defence away from home.
Live prices
Belgium vs France odds
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Form & tactics
Current form and how the match could play out
🇧🇪 Belgium
Belgium reached the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals, where they lost 2-1 to Spain. They are 9th in the June 2026 FIFA ranking.
🇫🇷 France
France scored 16 and conceded 2 in six World Cup matches in our log before losing the semi-final to Spain and the third-place play-off to England. Zidane's first match is in Türkiye on 25 September.
- France's attack has been the most productive in our World Cup data: 18.3 shots and 7.8 shots on target per game, with Mbappé taking 30 shots in six matches.
- Belgium's recent problem in this fixture is scoring: they have scored once in the last three meetings with France (in the 1-2 defeat in Brussels in October 2024).
- The unknown is France's defence without Saliba and after only one match under Zidane. Belgium's direct wide play is exactly what tests a new central-defensive partnership.
Corners
Belgium vs France corners
France averaged 6.8 corners per game at the World Cup. Belgium at home will have more of the ball than most France opponents, so we see a tighter corner count than in France's World Cup games. See the corners prediction page.
Full Belgium vs France corners prediction →Cards
Belgium vs France cards
France were the cleanest of the big teams at the World Cup (0.67 yellow cards per game). Rivalry games between neighbours can lift the count; referee to be confirmed. See the cards prediction page.
Full Belgium vs France cards prediction →Player markets
Player betting angles
Shots on target
Confidence: MediumKylian Mbappé 2+
Had 2+ shots on target in every one of France's six World Cup games in our log.
Anytime scorer
Confidence: LowKylian Mbappé
France's main finisher and penalty taker.
Player markets depend on the confirmed line-up. Some bookmakers protect these bets if the player is substituted — see the Super Sub section.
Stats & H2H
Belgium vs France stats and head-to-head
| Stat | Belgium | France |
|---|---|---|
| FIFA ranking (June 2026) | 9 | 3 |
| Head coach | — | Zinedine Zidane |
| WC 2026 corners per game | — | 6.83 |
| WC 2026 shots per game | — | 18.33 |
| WC 2026 shots on target per game | — | 7.83 |
| WC 2026 yellow cards per game | — | 0.67 |
Source: FIFA ranking 11 June 2026; SuperSubBetting World Cup 2026 match log (where held).
France have won the last five meetings.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2024 | Nations League | Belgium v FranceBrussels | 1-2 |
| 9 Sept 2024 | Nations League | France v BelgiumLyon | 2-0 |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Euro 2024 round of 16 | France v BelgiumDüsseldorf | 1-0 |
| 7 Oct 2021 | Nations League semi-final | Belgium v FranceTurin | 2-3 |
| 10 Jul 2018 | World Cup semi-final | France v BelgiumSaint Petersburg | 1-0 |
Team news
Team news, injuries and likely line-ups
Official squads announced — starting line-ups not confirmed. Last checked 24 Sept 2026.
🇧🇪 Belgium
- Belgium's squad should be checked on the Belgian FA site; we have not recorded confirmed absences. Belgium play Italy on 25 September — any bookings from that match will be added here.
Possible line-up
Line-up to be confirmed.
🇫🇷 France
- Squad named 18 September: Mbappé (captain), Dembélé and Olise included; Saliba not selected; five uncapped players called up.
- Any knocks or bookings from Türkiye vs France (25 Sep) will be added here after that match.
Possible line-up
Attack likely built around Mbappé, Dembélé and Olise; the rest depends on Zidane's first-match choices.
We update projections after the Matchday 1 results. Official XIs arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Substitution protection
Super Sub for Belgium vs France
Super Sub-style features keep a player bet alive if your player is substituted: the bet transfers to the replacement. Each bookmaker brands it differently — Super Sub, Sub On Play On, PowerSub, Impact Sub, Sure Sub, Safe Sub and others — and each applies it to its own list of markets, typically goalscorer, shots on target and player cards.
The list below only shows bookmakers licensed in your country with a substitution feature recorded in our database, and the markets their own rules name. Availability on this specific international match is decided market by market by the operator.
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Substitution protection is applied market by market. Coverage of UEFA Nations League fixtures is not confirmed individually for each operator — check that the feature badge is shown on the exact bet before you place it.
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FAQ
Belgium vs France: questions and answers
What time is Belgium vs France?
Belgium vs France kicks off at 20:45 CEST (19:45 UK) on Monday 28 September 2026 at the King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels.
When did Belgium last beat France?
Belgium have not beaten France in any of the last five meetings, which France won between 2018 and 2024.
What is the Belgium vs France prediction?
France to avoid defeat; our best bet is France draw no bet, with 2-1 France the most likely score.
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Stats & H2H
All Nations League predictions · Betting tips today · Best bets today · Lire en français
Sources and verification · last reviewed 24 Sept 2026
18+ only. Predictions are opinions based on the data available, not certainties. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Safer gambling.