UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League B · Group 4 · Matchday 2
Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips
Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST · Strawberry Arena, Solna
Sweden's second home game of the window is the tightest on paper: Poland were 36th in the June 2026 FIFA ranking, Sweden 38th. The last two meetings went one each — a 3-2 Sweden win at Euro 2020 and a 2-0 Poland win in the 2022 World Cup play-off final.
Last reviewed 24 Sept 2026 · Team news and odds change — check again close to kick-off.
🇸🇪 Sweden vs Poland 🇵🇱
Upcoming- Prediction
- Sweden avoid defeat
- Best bet
- Sweden draw no bet (Draw no bet)
- Kick-off
- Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League B · Group 4
- Confidence
- Low
- Super Sub
- Depends on bookmaker and market
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Prediction: Sweden 1-1 Poland (Sweden draw no bet)
There is little to separate the sides on ranking or recent head-to-head. Home advantage is the main edge, which is why we prefer Sweden with the draw as a refund rather than a straight Sweden win.
Both previous meetings produced at least two goals; we expect another match in the 2-3 goal range.
1X2
slight lean Sweden; draw no bet is the safer way to back it.
Goals
over 1.5 goals is a reasonable lean given the last two meetings (5 goals and 2 goals).
BTTS
no strong view.
Best betting angles
Draw no bet
Confidence: LowSweden
Home advantage in an evenly ranked match.
Goals
Confidence: LowOver 1.5
Both recent meetings reached two goals.
Live prices
Sweden vs Poland odds
Live 1X2 prices from licensed bookmakers, refreshed every few minutes. Prices move with team news — compare before you bet and check the bookmaker's own terms.
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Form & tactics
Current form and how the match could play out
🇸🇪 Sweden
Sweden host Romania three days earlier (25 Sep). The result of that match and any knocks will be added here. Isak and Gyökeres are in the squad; Hien and Elanga are injured.
🇵🇱 Poland
Poland host Bosnia and Herzegovina on 25 September before travelling to Solna.
- Two evenly ranked teams with the second match of a double-header: rotation and fitness will matter more than usual. Potter has a 29-player squad to manage across four matches in 11 days.
- Sweden at home should have more of the ball, but Poland are comfortable without it and dangerous from set pieces.
Corners
Sweden vs Poland corners
Home advantage and a crossing game with two strikers make Sweden slight favourites for the corner count. See the corners prediction page.
Full Sweden vs Poland corners prediction →Cards
Sweden vs Poland cards
An evenly matched group game with qualification implications — expect cards to be shared. See the cards prediction page.
Full Sweden vs Poland cards prediction →Player markets
Player betting angles
Anytime scorer
Confidence: LowViktor Gyökeres or Alexander Isak
Whichever starts through the middle is Sweden's most likely scorer.
Player markets depend on the confirmed line-up. Some bookmakers protect these bets if the player is substituted — see the Super Sub section.
Stats & H2H
Sweden vs Poland stats and head-to-head
| Stat | Sweden | Poland |
|---|---|---|
| FIFA ranking (June 2026) | 38 | 36 |
| Head coach | Graham Potter | — |
Source: FIFA ranking 11 June 2026; SuperSubBetting World Cup 2026 match log (where held).
The last two meetings were split: Sweden won at Euro 2020, Poland won the 2022 World Cup play-off final.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2022 | World Cup play-off final | Poland v SwedenChorzów | 2-0 |
| 23 Jun 2021 | Euro 2020 | Sweden v PolandSaint Petersburg | 3-2 |
Team news
Team news, injuries and likely line-ups
Official squads announced — starting line-ups not confirmed. Last checked 24 Sept 2026.
🇸🇪 Sweden
- Squad named by Graham Potter: Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres both included, with Lucas Bergvall, Hugo Larsson, Daniel Svensson and Victor Lindelöf.
- Out injured: Isak Hien (injured at the World Cup), Anthony Elanga, goalkeeper Jacob Widell Zetterström.
- Kristoffer Nordfeldt not selected; the goalkeepers are Melker Ellborg, Viktor Johansson and Noel Törnqvist.
Possible line-up
Expect changes from the Romania match — projection to follow after 25 September.
🇵🇱 Poland
- Poland's squad should be checked on the Polish FA site; we have not recorded confirmed injuries or suspensions.
Possible line-up
Line-up to be confirmed.
Official XIs arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Substitution protection
Super Sub for Sweden vs Poland
Super Sub-style features keep a player bet alive if your player is substituted: the bet transfers to the replacement. Each bookmaker brands it differently — Super Sub, Sub On Play On, PowerSub, Impact Sub, Sure Sub, Safe Sub and others — and each applies it to its own list of markets, typically goalscorer, shots on target and player cards.
The list below only shows bookmakers licensed in your country with a substitution feature recorded in our database, and the markets their own rules name. Availability on this specific international match is decided market by market by the operator.
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FAQ
Sweden vs Poland: questions and answers
What time is Sweden vs Poland?
Sweden vs Poland kicks off at 20:45 Swedish time (19:45 UK) on Monday 28 September 2026 at Strawberry Arena, Solna.
What is the Sweden vs Poland prediction?
A close match; we lean Sweden draw no bet, with 1-1 the most likely single score.
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Sources and verification · last reviewed 24 Sept 2026
18+ only. Predictions are opinions based on the data available, not certainties. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Safer gambling.