UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1 · Matchday 1
Türkiye vs France Prediction & Betting Tips
Fri, 25 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST · Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
Zinédine Zidane's reign as France head coach begins in Kocaeli. His first squad, named on 18 September, kept Kylian Mbappé as captain alongside Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise, left out William Saliba and called up five uncapped players. Türkiye, under Vincenzo Montella, host the Group A1 opener in front of a crowd that has made this a difficult fixture for France before — Türkiye won the last meeting on home soil 2-0 in 2019.
Last reviewed 24 Sept 2026 · Team news and odds change — check again close to kick-off.
This is our pre-match preview, published before kick-off. For the result, see UEFA.com; upcoming matches are on the Nations League hub.
🇹🇷 Türkiye vs France 🇫🇷
Pre-match preview- Prediction
- France win
- Best bet
- Kylian Mbappé 2+ shots on target (Player shots on target)
- Kick-off
- Fri, 25 Sept 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1
- Confidence
- Medium
- Super Sub
- Depends on bookmaker and market
Our call
Prediction: Türkiye 1-2 France
France are the stronger side (3rd v 22nd in the June 2026 FIFA ranking) and their attacking numbers at the World Cup were the best of any team in our log. A new coach and a rebuilt defence make a clean sheet less likely than usual.
Türkiye have beaten France before in front of their own fans, and an opening-night atmosphere for Zidane's debut adds variance. We back France to win but prefer Mbappé shot markets to handicaps.
1X2
France win. A draw is the main alternative if Türkiye's press disrupts a new-look France early.
Goals
France averaged 2.7 goals per game at the World Cup; with a defence in transition, 3 goals is a realistic central estimate. Slight lean over 2.5.
BTTS
slight lean Yes — France's back line is being reshaped and Türkiye will attack at home.
Best betting angles
Match result
Confidence: MediumFrance
Stronger ranking, better World Cup numbers; Mbappé leads a settled attack.
Corners
Confidence: MediumFrance most corners
6.8 corners per game at the World Cup; expected territorial edge.
Cards
Confidence: LowTürkiye more cards
France averaged 0.67 yellows per game at the World Cup; home side likely chasing the ball.
Live prices
Türkiye vs France odds
Live 1X2 prices from licensed bookmakers, refreshed every few minutes. Prices move with team news — compare before you bet and check the bookmaker's own terms.
Live Odds — UEFA Nations League
Live 1X2 odds via The Odds API · Updated every 5 min · 18+ only
Odds provided by The Odds API · Bookmakers based on your location · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly
Form & tactics
Current form and how the match could play out
🇹🇷 Türkiye
Türkiye played at the 2026 World Cup. Montella's side is built around technical midfielders — Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Arda Güler — with Kenan Yıldız as the main direct runner.
🇫🇷 France
France reached the World Cup semi-finals. In the six matches in our log (group stage to quarter-final) they scored 16, conceded 2, and averaged 18.3 shots, 7.8 shots on target and 6.8 corners per game. They lost the semi-final to Spain and the third-place play-off to England. This is the first match after Didier Deschamps.
- France's World Cup attack produced volume: 18.3 shots per game in our log, with Mbappé alone taking 30 shots (19 on target) across six matches. Even with a new coach, the attacking personnel is largely the same.
- The uncertainty is at the back. Saliba was not selected and Liverpool's Jérémy Jacquet is one of five uncapped players in the squad. New partnerships in central defence are where a first match under a new coach is most vulnerable.
- Türkiye will look to press high at home and use Güler's delivery from set pieces. Their best spells tend to come early and in front of a loud crowd, so live markets may offer better France prices than pre-match.
Corners
Türkiye vs France corners
France won 6.8 corners per game at the World Cup, including 12 against Paraguay and 9 against Sweden. Expect France to win the corner count. See the Türkiye vs France corners prediction.
Full Türkiye vs France corners prediction →Cards
Türkiye vs France cards
France were the least-booked of the three big teams in our World Cup log (0.67 yellow cards per game). Home pressing and a hostile atmosphere point to more Türkiye cards. See the cards prediction.
Full Türkiye vs France cards prediction →Player markets
Player betting angles
Shots on target
Confidence: MediumKylian Mbappé 2+ shots on target
19 shots on target in six World Cup games in our log — 3.2 per game — and he had at least two in every one of those six games.
Shots
Confidence: LowMichael Olise 2+ shots
Olise took 17 World Cup shots in our log, second only to Mbappé in the France squad.
Player markets depend on the confirmed line-up. Some bookmakers protect these bets if the player is substituted — see the Super Sub section.
Stats & H2H
Türkiye vs France stats and head-to-head
| Stat | Türkiye | France |
|---|---|---|
| FIFA ranking (June 2026) | 22 | 3 |
| Head coach | Vincenzo Montella | Zinedine Zidane |
| WC 2026 corners per game | — | 6.83 |
| WC 2026 shots per game | — | 18.33 |
| WC 2026 shots on target per game | — | 7.83 |
| WC 2026 yellow cards per game | — | 0.67 |
Source: FIFA ranking 11 June 2026; SuperSubBetting World Cup 2026 match log (where held).
France have won four of the six meetings, Türkiye one, with one draw. The last two were Euro 2020 qualifiers in 2019.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2019 | Euro 2020 qualifier | France v TürkiyeSaint-Denis | 1-1 |
| 8 Jun 2019 | Euro 2020 qualifier | Türkiye v FranceKonya | 2-0 |
Team news
Team news, injuries and likely line-ups
Official squads announced — starting line-ups not confirmed. Last checked 24 Sept 2026.
🇹🇷 Türkiye
- No confirmed absences reported for Türkiye at the time of writing.
- Key players available: Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Arda Güler, Kenan Yıldız.
Possible line-up
Line-up to be confirmed — no projected XI published by us.
🇫🇷 France
- Squad named 18 September: Mbappé (captain), Dembélé and Olise included; William Saliba not selected.
- Uncapped call-ups: Jérémy Jacquet, Guillaume Restes, Andy Diouf, Lucas Da Cunha, Estéban Lepaul.
- Reported: Warren Zaïre-Emery withdrew injured and Maghnes Akliouche was called up — confirm before betting on midfield player markets.
Possible line-up
Attack likely built around Mbappé, Dembélé and Olise; midfield from Tchouaméni and Koné; defence uncertain after Saliba's omission (Jacquet is the uncapped option).
France projection is our estimate from the named squad under a new coach and carries more uncertainty than usual. Wait for the official XI before player bets.
Substitution protection
Super Sub for Türkiye vs France
Super Sub-style features keep a player bet alive if your player is substituted: the bet transfers to the replacement. Each bookmaker brands it differently — Super Sub, Sub On Play On, PowerSub, Impact Sub, Sure Sub, Safe Sub and others — and each applies it to its own list of markets, typically goalscorer, shots on target and player cards.
The list below only shows bookmakers licensed in your country with a substitution feature recorded in our database, and the markets their own rules name. Availability on this specific international match is decided market by market by the operator.
Loading bookmakers for your country…
Substitution protection is applied market by market. Coverage of UEFA Nations League fixtures is not confirmed individually for each operator — check that the feature badge is shown on the exact bet before you place it.
18+ · T&Cs apply · Please gamble responsibly
More: Super Sub betting sites · Does my bookmaker have Super Sub? · Super Sub on shots on target
Compare
Bookmakers available in your country
Best bookmakers · Super Sub verified
Türkiye vs France — Betting Sites
Showing best bookmakers for 🌍 …
Your country
Filter:
18+ only. Always check current terms, responsible gambling tools and local availability before betting. Offers vary by country.
Betting sites by country
FAQ
Türkiye vs France: questions and answers
What time is Türkiye vs France?
Türkiye vs France kicks off at 20:45 CEST (19:45 UK, 21:45 in Türkiye) on Friday 25 September 2026 in Kocaeli.
Is this Zidane's first match as France coach?
Yes. Zinédine Zidane named his first France squad on 18 September 2026 and Türkiye vs France is his first match in charge.
What is the Türkiye vs France prediction?
France to win, 2-1 as the most likely score. Our best bet is Kylian Mbappé 2+ shots on target.
When did Türkiye last beat France?
Türkiye beat France 2-0 in Konya in a Euro 2020 qualifier on 8 June 2019.
More Nations League previews
Sat, 26 Sept 2026 · A3
🏴 England vs Spain 🇪🇸19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
Stats & H2HMon, 28 Sept 2026 · A1
🇧🇪 Belgium vs France 🇫🇷19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
Stats & H2HMon, 28 Sept 2026 · B4
🇸🇪 Sweden vs Poland 🇵🇱19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
Tue, 29 Sept 2026 · A3
🇨🇿 Czechia vs England 🏴19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
Stats & H2HFri, 2 Oct 2026 · A1
🇫🇷 France vs Italy 🇮🇹19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
Sat, 3 Oct 2026 · A3
🇭🇷 Croatia vs England 🏴17:00 UK · 18:00 CET/CEST
All Nations League predictions · Betting tips today · Best bets today · Lire en français
Sources and verification · last reviewed 24 Sept 2026
18+ only. Predictions are opinions based on the data available, not certainties. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Safer gambling.