Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest — Prediction, Stats & Tips

Both sides arrive at Villa Park without scoring in their last game and with the lowest SoT rates in the division — Villa have just 1 SoT across three games, the worst in the Premier League, while Fore…

← Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 4
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 BST
Aston Villa crest

Aston Villa

vs

📍 Villa Park, Birmingham

Nottingham Forest crest

Nottingham Forest

🔮 Result lean: Draw likely — both sides struggling to create, Forest marginally more threatening on current form
📅 Stats based on Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 4 · Last updated: 12 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🚩Corners: Over 8.5 total corners — both teams physically committed, Forest's pressing creates set-piece opportunities
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at selected bookmakers. Confirm on the bet slip.
  • 📊H2H: Aston Villa 3W–1D–1L in last 5 vs Forest

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Villa vs Forest at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Draw likely — both sides struggling to create, Forest marginally more threatening on current form

🎯

Shots potential

Low

Morgan Gibbs-White 1+ shot on target

🚩

Corners potential

Low

Over 8.5 total match corners

🟡

Cards potential

High

Nottingham Forest player to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Villa vs Forest

Result

Draw likely — both sides struggling to create, Forest marginally more threatening on current form

Corners

Over 8.5 total corners — both teams physically committed, Forest's pressing creates set-piece opportunities

Cards

Aina most bookable — 2 YC in 3 games, Forest's highest-risk defensive player

Both sides arrive at Villa Park without scoring in their last game and with the lowest SoT rates in the division — Villa have just 1 SoT across three games, the worst in the Premier League, while Forest have 7. McGinn (2 YC) and Aina (2 YC) are the discipline flashpoints. Forest's foul rate of 15.67 per game is the league's highest, and their direct style will challenge Villa's limited defensive composure. This shapes up as a low-scoring, physically contested fixture where cards and set pieces dominate.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Nottingham Forest player to be booked

Forest have 6 yellow cards in 3 games and commit 15.67 fouls per game — the highest foul rate in the Premier League (47 fouls total, verified ESPN: 16+17+14). Aina has 2 YC already this season.

Yellow cardLow-medium risk

Ola Aina to be booked

Aina has 2 yellow cards in 3 GW appearances this season (2026/27 verified ESPN), the most of any Forest player. At Villa Park his aggressive fullback style raises consistent booking risk.

CornersMedium risk

Over 8.5 total match corners

Forest average 3.33 corners per game (10 in 3 games) and Villa 2.67 (8 in 3 games) — combined 6.0 per game. Both sides are physical and press-heavy, with Forest's 47 fouls driving set-piece situations.

Shots on targetMedium risk

Morgan Gibbs-White 1+ shot on target

Gibbs-White has 2 SoT in 3 GW appearances this season (2026/27 verified ESPN), scoring 1 goal. He is Forest's most creative and direct outlet in central areas.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 4

Kick-off

Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 BST

Villa Park, Birmingham

Corners lean

Over 8.5 total corners — both teams physically committed, Forest's pressing creates set-piece opportunities

Result lean

Draw likely — both sides struggling to create, Forest marginally more threatening on current form

Team stats

Villa vs Forest — comparison

StatVillaForestEdge
Goals scored 2026/27 (GW1–GW3)

AVL: 0-4 Brighton, 0-1 Arsenal, 0-0 Hull — yet to score. NFF: 0-1 Leeds, 2-2 Liverpool, 0-0 Tottenham.

02Forest
Goals conceded 2026/27 (GW1–GW3)53Forest
Clean sheets 2026/2711Level
Shots on target per game 2026/27

AVL: 1 SoT in 3 games (0+0+1) — lowest in the division. NFF: 7 SoT (2+3+2).

0.332.33Forest
Corners per game 2026/27

AVL: 8 corners (2+2+4). NFF: 10 corners (3+5+2).

2.673.33Forest
Yellow cards 2026/27 (GW1–GW3)

AVL: 6 YC (3+3+0). NFF: 6 YC (2+2+2).

66Level
Fouls committed per game 2026/27

NFF: 47 fouls in 3 games — most in the division.

10.3315.67Villa
Total shots per game 2026/278.6712Forest

Top scorers: Aston Villa

Villa
RB

Ross Barkley

Midfielder · 0A · 270 min

0 ⚽
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder · 0A · 270 min

0 ⚽
TM

Tyrone Mings

Defender · 0A · 270 min

0 ⚽

Top scorers: Nottingham Forest

Forest
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder · 0A · 270 min

1 ⚽
OA

Ola Aina

Defender · 0A · 270 min

0 ⚽
JM

James McAtee

Midfielder · 0A · 270 min

0 ⚽

Yellow cards: Aston Villa

Villa
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder · 0 fouls · 270 min

2 🟡
RB

Ross Barkley

Midfielder · 0 fouls · 270 min

0 🟡
TM

Tyrone Mings

Defender · 0 fouls · 270 min

0 🟡

Yellow cards: Nottingham Forest

Forest
OA

Ola Aina

Defender · 0 fouls · 270 min

2 🟡
JM

James McAtee

Midfielder · 0 fouls · 270 min

1 🟡
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder · 0 fouls · 270 min

0 🟡

Shots on target: Aston Villa

Villa
RB

Ross Barkley

Midfielder · 0G 0A

0 🎯
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder · 0G 0A

0 🎯
TM

Tyrone Mings

Defender · 0G 0A

0 🎯

Shots on target: Nottingham Forest

Forest
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder · 1G 0A

2 🎯
OA

Ola Aina

Defender · 0G 0A

1 🎯
JM

James McAtee

Midfielder · 0G 0A

1 🎯

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
JM

John McGinn

Midfielder

Villa270200000
OA

Ola Aina

Defender

Forest270200100
JM

James McAtee

Midfielder

Forest270100100
RB

Ross Barkley

Midfielder

Villa270000000
TM

Tyrone Mings

Defender

Villa270000000
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder

Forest270010200

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

Aston Villa lead the last 5 head-to-head meetings 3 wins to 1, with 1 draw.

Source: ESPN

DateHomeAwayResult
2026-05Aston VillaNottingham Forest4–0 Home win
2026-04Nottingham ForestAston Villa1–0 Home win
2026-04Nottingham ForestAston Villa1–1 Draw
2026-01Aston VillaNottingham Forest3–1 Home win
2025-04Aston VillaNottingham Forest2–1 Home win

📊 League card context

Premier League 2026/27 GW1–GW3: verified ESPN box scores

🟡 3.8 YC/game🔴 0.08 RC/game

Best bookmakers · Super Sub verified

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What the stats tell us about Villa vs Forest

Both sides arrive at Villa Park without scoring in their last game and with the lowest SoT rates in the division — Villa have just 1 SoT across three games, the worst in the Premier League, while Forest have 7. McGinn (2 YC) and Aina (2 YC) are the discipline flashpoints. Forest's foul rate of 15.67 per game is the league's highest, and their direct style will challenge Villa's limited defensive composure. This shapes up as a low-scoring, physically contested fixture where cards and set pieces dominate.

Result lean: Draw likely — both sides struggling to create, Forest marginally more threatening on current form

Corners: Over 8.5 total corners — both teams physically committed, Forest's pressing creates set-piece opportunities

Cards: Aina most bookable — 2 YC in 3 games, Forest's highest-risk defensive player

Villa vs Forest FAQ

What are the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest stats?

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest stats comparison uses the current-season record for Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 4. Key stats include points, wins, draws, losses, goals scored, goals conceded, goal difference and match-centre form where available. See the full comparison table above.

What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Draw likely — both sides struggling to create, Forest marginally more threatening on current form

Who has better recent form — Villa or Forest?

Aston Villa: lost GW1 (0-4 Brighton), lost GW2 (0-1 Arsenal), drew GW3 (0-0 Hull) — yet to score in the Premier League this season. Nottingham Forest: lost GW1 (0-1 Leeds), drew GW2 (2-2 Liverpool), drew GW3 (0-0 Tottenham) — 2 points from 3.

What is the corners prediction for Villa vs Forest?

Over 8.5 total corners — both teams physically committed, Forest's pressing creates set-piece opportunities

What is the cards prediction for Villa vs Forest?

Aina most bookable — 2 YC in 3 games, Forest's highest-risk defensive player

Who scores more goals — Villa or Forest?

Both sides arrive at Villa Park without scoring in their last game and with the lowest SoT rates in the division — Villa have just 1 SoT across three games, the worst in the Premier League, while Fore

When does Villa vs Forest kick off?

Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 BST at Villa Park, Birmingham.

Where is Villa vs Forest being played?

Villa vs Forest is played at Villa Park, Birmingham.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for Villa vs Forest?

Several UK bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub protection on player markets including shots on target, goals and cards. Check the bookmaker comparison section above for current availability. Always confirm eligibility and terms before betting.

Should I check lineups before betting on Villa vs Forest?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries, suspensions, odds movement and bookmaker terms — including any Super Sub or player protection rules — before placing player-prop bets. Player-specific markets are most sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about Villa vs Forest?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Forest · Midfielder

Apps3
Goals1
Assists0
Shots on target2
SoT / game0.7
Yellow cards0
Fouls0
OA

Ola Aina

Forest · Defender

Apps3
Goals0
Assists0
Shots on target1
SoT / game0.3
Yellow cards2
Fouls0
JM

John McGinn

Villa · Midfielder

Apps3
Goals0
Assists0
Shots on target0
SoT / game0.0
Yellow cards2
Fouls0
JM

James McAtee

Forest · Midfielder

Apps3
Goals0
Assists0
Shots on target1
SoT / game0.3
Yellow cards1
Fouls0
RB

Ross Barkley

Villa · Midfielder

Apps3
Goals0
Assists0
Shots on target0
SoT / game0.0
Yellow cards0
Fouls0
TM

Tyrone Mings

Villa · Defender

Apps3
Goals0
Assists0
Shots on target0
SoT / game0.0
Yellow cards0
Fouls0

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

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🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

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🚩🚩 Corners angle

Forest dominate corners

Forest average 3.33 corners per game vs Villa's 2.67. Forest average 3.33 corners per game (10 in 3 games) and Villa 2.67 (8 in 3 games) — combined 6.0 per game. Both sides are physical and press-heavy, with Forest's 47 fouls driving set-piece situations.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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