Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal — Prediction, Stats & Tips

A top-four clash at the Amex. Arsenal arrive having started GW1 emphatically — Havertz, Saka and Ødegaard all scoring vs Coventry. Brighton are high-scoring (4 vs Villa) but conceded 4 to Chelsea. Ars

Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 5
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 BST
Brighton & Hove Albion crest

Brighton & Hove Albion

vs

📍 American Express Stadium, Falmer

Arsenal crest

Arsenal

🔮 Result lean: Arsenal to win — best defensive record, Havertz and Saka goal threat
📅 Stats based on Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 5 · Last updated: 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🟡Pascal Groß (Brighton) — 4 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
  • 🔥Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 — strong home momentum
  • 🔥Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 — arriving in form
  • 🚩Corners: Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game, highest in the Premier League
  • 🎯Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) — 68 shots on target this season, key shot threat
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at bookmakers.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Brighton vs Arsenal at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Arsenal to win — best defensive record, Havertz and Saka goal threat

🎯

Shots potential

High

Bukayo Saka 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Arsenal most corners

🟡

Cards potential

High

Pascal Groß to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Brighton vs Arsenal

Result

Arsenal to win — best defensive record, Havertz and Saka goal threat

Corners

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game, highest in the Premier League

Cards

Groß most bookable — Brighton's midfield engine under Arsenal's press

A top-four clash at the Amex. Arsenal arrive having started GW1 emphatically — Havertz, Saka and Ødegaard all scoring vs Coventry. Brighton are high-scoring (4 vs Villa) but conceded 4 to Chelsea. Arsenal's dominant corner volume and Saka's consistent SoT output are the headline angles.

CornersLow-medium risk

Arsenal most corners

Arsenal average 6.8 corners per game — highest in the Premier League. Havertz (GW1 scorer vs Coventry), Saka and Ødegaard generate corner volume from every angle. Even at the Amex they dominate territory.

Shots on targetLow risk

Bukayo Saka 2+ shots on target

Saka scored in GW1 vs Coventry and had 22 goals / 68 SoT in 2025/26 — most of any wide player in the league. On the right at the Amex against Brighton (52 conceded last season), 2+ SoT is reliable.

Yellow cardMedium risk

Pascal Groß to be booked

Groß scored in GW2 (goal vs Chelsea, 4-3) and accumulated 4 YC in 2025/26. Facing Arsenal's relentless high-press, his defensive interventions in the 6-yard box carry consistent booking risk.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 5

Kick-off

Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 BST

American Express Stadium, Falmer

Corners lean

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game, highest in the Premier League

Result lean

Arsenal to win — best defensive record, Havertz and Saka goal threat

Team stats

Brighton vs Arsenalcomparison

StatBrightonArsenalEdge
Points 2026/27 (GW1–GW2)

Brighton: 4-0 Villa GW1, 3-4 Chelsea GW2. Arsenal: 3-0 Coventry GW1, 0-0 Villa GW2.

34Arsenal
Goals scored (2025/26)6888Arsenal
Goals conceded (2025/26)5230Arsenal
Corners per game (2025/26 avg)5.66.8Arsenal
Yellow cards (2025/26)5248Arsenal
Shots on target per game (2025/26)5.46.8Arsenal

Top scorers: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
JP

João Pedro

Forward · 8A · 2400 min

16
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder · 14A · 2600 min

8
LD

Lewis Dunk

Defender · 4A · 2900 min

2

Top scorers: Arsenal

Arsenal
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 18A · 2700 min

22
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 12A · 2600 min

18

Martin Ødegaard

Midfielder · 22A · 2600 min

10

Yellow cards: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder · 22 fouls · 2600 min

4 🟡
LD

Lewis Dunk

Defender · 20 fouls · 2900 min

3 🟡
JP

João Pedro

Forward · 14 fouls · 2400 min

3 🟡

Yellow cards: Arsenal

Arsenal

Martin Ødegaard

Midfielder · 18 fouls · 2600 min

3 🟡
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 16 fouls · 2700 min

2 🟡
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 14 fouls · 2600 min

2 🟡

Shots on target: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
JP

João Pedro

Forward · 16G 8A

46 🎯
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder · 8G 14A

28 🎯
LD

Lewis Dunk

Defender · 2G 4A

8 🎯

Shots on target: Arsenal

Arsenal
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 22G 18A

68 🎯
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 18G 12A

54 🎯

Martin Ødegaard

Midfielder · 10G 22A

42 🎯

Corner takers: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder · 2600 min

10 🚩
JP

João Pedro

Forward · 2400 min

2 🚩

Corner takers: Arsenal

Arsenal

Martin Ødegaard

Midfielder · 2600 min

10 🚩
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward · 2700 min

8 🚩
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward · 2600 min

4 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
PG

Pascal Groß

Midfielder

Brighton26004814282210
JP

João Pedro

Forward

Brighton2400316846142
LD

Lewis Dunk

Defender

Brighton29003248200

Martin Ødegaard

Midfielder

Arsenal260031022421810
BS

Bukayo Saka

Forward

Arsenal27002221868168
KH

Kai Havertz

Forward

Arsenal26002181254144

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What the stats tell us about Brighton vs Arsenal

A top-four clash at the Amex. Arsenal arrive having started GW1 emphatically — Havertz, Saka and Ødegaard all scoring vs Coventry. Brighton are high-scoring (4 vs Villa) but conceded 4 to Chelsea. Arsenal's dominant corner volume and Saka's consistent SoT output are the headline angles.

Result lean: Arsenal to win — best defensive record, Havertz and Saka goal threat

Corners: Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game, highest in the Premier League

Cards: Groß most bookable — Brighton's midfield engine under Arsenal's press

Brighton vs Arsenal FAQ

What are the Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal stats?

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal stats comparison is based on Brighton & Hove Albion 2025/26 and Arsenal previous season data. Key stats include goals scored, corners won, yellow cards, possession, passing accuracy and shots on target. See the full comparison table above.

What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal?

Arsenal to win — best defensive record, Havertz and Saka goal threat

Who has better recent form — Brighton or Arsenal?

Brighton won 4-0 vs Villa in GW1, then lost 3-4 to Chelsea GW2 — João Pedro and Groß both scoring. Arsenal won 3-0 vs Coventry GW1 (Havertz, Saka, Ødegaard) and drew 0-0 at Villa GW2.

What is the corners prediction for Brighton vs Arsenal?

Arsenal most corners — 6.8 per game, highest in the Premier League

What is the cards prediction for Brighton vs Arsenal?

Groß most bookable — Brighton's midfield engine under Arsenal's press

Who scores more goals — Brighton or Arsenal?

A top-four clash at the Amex. Arsenal arrive having started GW1 emphatically — Havertz, Saka and Ødegaard all scoring vs Coventry. Brighton are high-scoring (4 vs Villa) but conceded 4 to Chelsea. Ars

When does Brighton vs Arsenal kick off?

Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 BST at American Express Stadium, Falmer.

Where is Brighton vs Arsenal being played?

Brighton vs Arsenal is played at American Express Stadium, Falmer.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for Brighton vs Arsenal?

Several UK bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub protection on player markets including shots on target, goals and cards. Check the bookmaker comparison section above for current availability. Always confirm eligibility and terms before betting.

Should I check lineups before betting on Brighton vs Arsenal?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries, suspensions, odds movement and bookmaker terms — including any Super Sub or player protection rules — before placing player-prop bets. Player-specific markets are most sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about Brighton vs Arsenal?

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Player intel

Players to watch

BS

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps24
Goals22
Assists18
Shots on target68
SoT / game2.8
Yellow cards2
Fouls16
KH

Kai Havertz

Arsenal · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps26
Goals18
Assists12
Shots on target54
SoT / game2.1
Yellow cards2
Fouls14
JP

João Pedro

Brighton · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps23
Goals16
Assists8
Shots on target46
SoT / game2.0
Yellow cards3
Fouls14

Martin Ødegaard

Arsenal · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps27
Goals10
Assists22
Shots on target42
SoT / game1.6
Yellow cards3
Fouls18
PG

Pascal Groß

Brighton · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat🟡 Card risk⚽ Goal threat
Apps32
Goals8
Assists14
Shots on target28
SoT / game0.9
Yellow cards4
Fouls22
LD

Lewis Dunk

Brighton · Defender

Apps32
Goals2
Assists4
Shots on target8
SoT / game0.3
Yellow cards3
Fouls20

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Shots on target markets may carry Super Sub protection at bookmakers.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Bukayo Saka — primary shot threat

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) has 68 shots on target from 24 appearances — averaging 2.8 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Pascal Groß — card risk

Pascal Groß (Brighton) has picked up 4 yellows and committed 22 fouls (0.7/game). The Premier League 2026/27 — Matchday 5 averages 3.8 yellow cards per game — making this a moderate environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Arsenal dominate corners

Arsenal average 6.8 corners per game vs Brighton's 5.6. Arsenal average 6.8 corners per game — highest in the Premier League. Havertz (GW1 scorer vs Coventry), Saka and Ødegaard generate corner volume from every angle. Even at the Amex they dominate territory.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Arsenal — strong away momentum

Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 matches. Arsenal won 3-0 vs Coventry GW1 (Havertz, Saka, Ødegaard) and drew 0-0 at Villa GW2.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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