Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United — Prediction, Stats & Tips

Nottingham Forest host promoted Leeds United at the City Ground. Gibbs-White was one of the PL's best No.10s last season (15G, 18A in 37 games). Awoniyi had an injury-hit campaign (4 goals in 17 games…

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← Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1
Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 15:00 BST
Nottingham Forest crest

Nottingham Forest

vs

📍 The City Ground, Nottingham

Leeds United crest

Leeds United

🔮 Result lean: Evenly matched ° Forest slight home advantage
📅 Stats based on Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1 · Last updated: 22 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

⚡ Key notices

  • 🟡Ryan Yates (Nott'm Forest) — 7 yellow cards this season, highest card risk in this fixture
  • 🔥Nott'm Forest have won 3 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — strong momentum
  • 🔥Leeds have won 4 of their last 5 (recent form across competitions) — arriving in form
  • 🚩Corners: Forest most corners at home ° over 5 team corners
  • 🎯Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest) — 53 shots on target this season, key shot threat
  • 🔄Super Sub angle: Goal scorer markets may carry Super Sub / 2-Up protection at UK bookmakers.

SuperSubBetting Quick Read

Nott'm Forest vs Leeds at a glance

🏆

Result lean

Evenly matched ° Forest slight home advantage

🎯

Shots potential

High

Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2+ shots on target

🚩

Corners potential

High

Forest most corners ° home advantage

🟡

Cards potential

High

Ethan Ampadu to be booked

🔄

Super Sub relevance

High

Statistical research only — not guaranteed predictions. Verify odds, lineups and terms before betting. 18+.

🔮 Our prediction

Nott'm Forest vs Leeds

Result

Evenly matched ° Forest slight home advantage

Corners

Forest most corners at home ° over 5 team corners

Cards

Ampadu most bookable ° Leeds midfield anchor stepping up to PL

Nottingham Forest host promoted Leeds United at the City Ground. Gibbs-White was one of the PL's best No.10s last season (15G, 18A in 37 games). Awoniyi had an injury-hit campaign (4 goals in 17 games) but is available. Leeds bring Calvert-Lewin (14 PL goals), Summerville (12G, 11A Championship) and Gnonto (10G, 9A Championship) to the top flight. Forest's home advantage and PL experience make them slight favourites, but the statistics ° both sides scoring regularly ° point strongly to a BTTS outcome. The individual battles in midfield and Gibbs-White's creativity against Leeds' press are the key factors.

Goal scorerMedium risk

Morgan Gibbs-White to score

Gibbs-White was one of the PL's standout performers last season ° 15 goals and 18 assists in 37 PL games. At the City Ground opening home fixture, his route to goal from the No.10 position is the standout pick.

Shots on targetMedium risk

Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2+ shots on target

Calvert-Lewin scored 14 PL goals for Leeds last season. His aerial and physical presence in the box generates consistent shot opportunities even in away PL fixtures.

BTTSMedium risk

Both teams to score

Forest scored 52 and conceded 48 in the PL last season. Leeds scored 62 in the Championship and bring promotion confidence. BTTS has genuine statistical support.

CornersMedium risk

Forest most corners ° home advantage

Forest averaged 5.2 corners per game in PL 2025/26. As a home side against a promoted team, sustained City Ground pressure supports the home corners edge.

Yellow cardMedium risk

Ethan Ampadu to be booked

Ampadu picked up 5 yellow cards in 35 Championship appearances as Leeds' press-and-recover midfielder. Stepping up to the PL against Forest in a physical contest at the City Ground, his bookings profile is notable.

18+ only. These are research angles, not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and terms with your bookmaker before placing any bet.

Competition

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1

Kick-off

Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 15:00 BST

The City Ground, Nottingham

Corners lean

Forest most corners at home ° over 5 team corners

Result lean

Evenly matched ° Forest slight home advantage

Team stats

Nott'm Forest vs Leeds — comparison

StatNott'm ForestLeedsEdge
League tier 2025/26Premier League (7th)EFL Championship (promoted)—
Goals scored

Forest: PL 2025/26 (38 games) · Leeds: Championship 2025/26 (46 games)

5262Leeds
Goals conceded4852Nott'm Forest
Goals per match1.371.35Nott'm Forest
Clean sheets1011Leeds
Corners per game5.25.4Leeds
Yellow cards6468Nott'm Forest
Red cards23Nott'm Forest
Possession (avg %)48%51%Leeds
Passing accuracy (avg %)80%79%Nott'm Forest
Shots on target per game4.85.1Leeds
Saves per game (GK)4.24.6Nott'm Forest

Top scorers: Nottingham Forest

Nott'm Forest
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder · 18A · 3200 min

15 ⚽
AE

Anthony Elanga

Forward · 8A · 3000 min

9 ⚽
CH

Callum Hudson-Odoi

Forward · 7A · 2400 min

6 ⚽

Top scorers: Leeds United

Leeds
DC

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Forward · 3A · 3000 min

14 ⚽
CS

Crysencio Summerville

Forward · 11A · 2200 min

12 ⚽
WG

Wilfried Gnonto

Forward · 9A · 2600 min

10 ⚽

Yellow cards: Nottingham Forest

Nott'm Forest
RY

Ryan Yates

Midfielder · 32 fouls · 3100 min

7 🟡
EA

Elliott Anderson

Midfielder · 24 fouls · 2600 min

5 🟡
M

Murillo

Defender · 14 fouls · 3240 min

4 🟡

Yellow cards: Leeds United

Leeds
EA

Ethan Ampadu

Midfielder · 24 fouls · 3400 min

5 🟡
PS

Pascal Struijk

Defender · 16 fouls · 3300 min

5 🟡
JF

Junior Firpo

Defender · 14 fouls · 2600 min

5 🟡

Shots on target: Nottingham Forest

Nott'm Forest
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder · 15G 18A

53 🎯
AE

Anthony Elanga

Forward · 9G 8A

38 🎯
CH

Callum Hudson-Odoi

Forward · 6G 7A

30 🎯

Shots on target: Leeds United

Leeds
DC

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Forward · 14G 3A

39 🎯
CS

Crysencio Summerville

Forward · 12G 11A

36 🎯
WG

Wilfried Gnonto

Forward · 10G 9A

32 🎯

Corner takers: Nottingham Forest

Nott'm Forest
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder · 3200 min

10 🚩
AE

Anthony Elanga

Forward · 3000 min

10 🚩
CH

Callum Hudson-Odoi

Forward · 2400 min

8 🚩

Corner takers: Leeds United

Leeds
CS

Crysencio Summerville

Forward · 2200 min

10 🚩
WG

Wilfried Gnonto

Forward · 2600 min

8 🚩
DC

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Forward · 3000 min

2 🚩

Player comparison

Sort & filter players

PlayerTeamMinYC 🟡GASoT 🎯FoulsCorners 🚩
RY

Ryan Yates

Midfielder

Nott'm Forest310073410320
EA

Elliott Anderson

Midfielder

Nott'm Forest260054514240
EA

Ethan Ampadu

Midfielder

Leeds34005118240
PS

Pascal Struijk

Defender

Leeds33005325160
JF

Junior Firpo

Defender

Leeds26005143140
M

Murillo

Defender

Nott'm Forest32404315140
HT

Harry Toffolo

Defender

Nott'm Forest28004233120
AF

Aden Flint

Defender

Nott'm Forest1800420280
JR

Joe Rodon

Defender

Leeds31004314140
SC

Steve Cook

Defender

Nott'm Forest22003102100
IM

Illan Meslier

Goalkeeper

Leeds4140300040
CH

Callum Hudson-Odoi

Forward

Nott'm Forest240026730128
MT

Matt Turner

Goalkeeper

Nott'm Forest3420200040
WG

Wilfried Gnonto

Forward

Leeds2600210932168
GR

Georginio Rutter

Midfielder

Leeds2400281022180
MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Midfielder

Nott'm Forest320011518531410
AE

Anthony Elanga

Forward

Nott'm Forest3000198381410
DC

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Forward

Leeds3000114339202
CS

Crysencio Summerville

Forward

Leeds220011211361410
TA

Taiwo Awoniyi

Forward

Nott'm Forest140004018102

Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

NFO leads series 3-2

Source: ESPN

DateHomeAwayResult
2026-02Leeds UnitedNottingham Forest3–1 Home win
2025-11Nottingham ForestLeeds United3–1 Home win
2023-04Leeds UnitedNottingham Forest2–1 Home win
2023-02Nottingham ForestLeeds United1–0 Home win
2020-02Nottingham ForestLeeds United2–0 Home win

📊 League card context

Premier League 2025/26: 3.8 yellow cards/game on average

🟡 3.8 YC/game🔴 0.12 RC/game

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What the stats tell us about Nott'm Forest vs Leeds

Nottingham Forest host promoted Leeds United at the City Ground. Gibbs-White was one of the PL's best No.10s last season (15G, 18A in 37 games). Awoniyi had an injury-hit campaign (4 goals in 17 games) but is available. Leeds bring Calvert-Lewin (14 PL goals), Summerville (12G, 11A Championship) and Gnonto (10G, 9A Championship) to the top flight. Forest's home advantage and PL experience make them slight favourites, but the statistics ° both sides scoring regularly ° point strongly to a BTTS outcome. The individual battles in midfield and Gibbs-White's creativity against Leeds' press are the key factors.

Result lean: Evenly matched ° Forest slight home advantage

Corners: Forest most corners at home ° over 5 team corners

Cards: Ampadu most bookable ° Leeds midfield anchor stepping up to PL

Nott'm Forest vs Leeds FAQ

What are the Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United stats?

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United stats comparison uses the current-season record for Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1. Key stats include points, wins, draws, losses, goals scored, goals conceded, goal difference and match-centre form where available. See the full comparison table above.

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?

Evenly matched ° Forest slight home advantage

Who has better recent form — Nott'm Forest or Leeds?

Nottingham Forest finished 7th in PL 2025/26. Gibbs-White (15G, 18A) was outstanding. Leeds United promoted from Championship 2025/26. Calvert-Lewin (14 PL goals) and Summerville (12G) lead attack.

What is the corners prediction for Nott'm Forest vs Leeds?

Forest most corners at home ° over 5 team corners

What is the cards prediction for Nott'm Forest vs Leeds?

Ampadu most bookable ° Leeds midfield anchor stepping up to PL

Who scores more goals — Nott'm Forest or Leeds?

Nottingham Forest host promoted Leeds United at the City Ground. Gibbs-White was one of the PL's best No.10s last season (15G, 18A in 37 games). Awoniyi had an injury-hit campaign (4 goals in 17 games

When does Nott'm Forest vs Leeds kick off?

Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 15:00 BST at The City Ground, Nottingham.

Where is Nott'm Forest vs Leeds being played?

Nott'm Forest vs Leeds is played at The City Ground, Nottingham.

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub for Nott'm Forest vs Leeds?

Several UK bookmakers offer Super Sub and Impact Sub protection on player markets including shots on target, goals and cards. Check the bookmaker comparison section above for current availability. Always confirm eligibility and terms before betting.

Should I check lineups before betting on Nott'm Forest vs Leeds?

Always confirm starting XIs, injuries, suspensions, odds movement and bookmaker terms — including any Super Sub or player protection rules — before placing player-prop bets. Player-specific markets are most sensitive to lineup changes.

What do you think about Nott'm Forest vs Leeds?

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⭐

Player intel

Players to watch

MG

Morgan Gibbs-White

Nott'm Forest · Midfielder

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps37
Goals15
Assists18
Shots on target53
SoT / game1.4
Yellow cards1
Fouls14
DC

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Leeds · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps29
Goals14
Assists3
Shots on target39
SoT / game1.3
Yellow cards1
Fouls20
CS

Crysencio Summerville

Leeds · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps23
Goals12
Assists11
Shots on target36
SoT / game1.6
Yellow cards1
Fouls14
AE

Anthony Elanga

Nott'm Forest · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps23
Goals9
Assists8
Shots on target38
SoT / game1.7
Yellow cards1
Fouls14
WG

Wilfried Gnonto

Leeds · Forward

🎯 Shot threat⚽ Goal threat🎨 Creator
Apps21
Goals10
Assists9
Shots on target32
SoT / game1.5
Yellow cards2
Fouls16
CH

Callum Hudson-Odoi

Nott'm Forest · Forward

🎯 Shot threat🎨 Creator🔄 Super Sub watch
Apps28
Goals6
Assists7
Shots on target30
SoT / game1.1
Yellow cards2
Fouls12

Stats from prior season data. Verify current season availability and lineup status before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

🧠

SuperSubBetting

Bettor tricks

🔄🔄 Super Sub angle

Super Sub watch

Goal scorer markets may carry Super Sub / 2-Up protection at UK bookmakers.

🎯🎯 Shots angle

Morgan Gibbs-White — primary shot threat

Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest) has 53 shots on target from 37 appearances — averaging 1.4 per game. Strong candidate for bookmaker shots-on-target markets.

🟡🟡 Cards angle

Ryan Yates — card risk

Ryan Yates (Nott'm Forest) has picked up 7 yellows and committed 32 fouls (1.2/game). The Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 1 averages 3.8 yellow cards per game — making this a moderate environment.

🚩🚩 Corners angle

Leeds dominate corners

Leeds average 5.4 corners per game vs Nott'm Forest's 5.2. Forest averaged 5.2 corners per game in PL 2025/26. As a home side against a promoted team, sustained City Ground pressure supports the home corners edge.

🔥🔥 Form angle

Leeds — strong away momentum

Leeds United have won 4 of their last 5 matches (recent form across competitions). Leeds United promoted from Championship 2025/26. Calvert-Lewin (14 PL goals) and Summerville (12G) lead attack.

Statistical observations only. Not guaranteed predictions. Always verify odds, lineups and bookmaker terms before betting. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

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