UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1 · Matchday 3

France vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips

Fri, 2 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST · Stade de France, Saint-Denis

Zinédine Zidane's first home match as France coach is against Italy — the side that beat France 3-1 in Paris in September 2024 before France won 3-1 in Milan two months later. It is the third of four France matches in this window, after Türkiye and Belgium.

Last reviewed 24 Sept 2026 · Team news and odds change — check again close to kick-off.

🇫🇷 France vs Italy 🇮🇹

Upcoming
Prediction
France win
Best bet
France to win (Match result)
Kick-off
Fri, 2 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK · 20:45 CET/CEST
Competition
UEFA Nations League 2026/27 · League A · Group 1
Confidence
Medium
Super Sub
Depends on bookmaker and market

Checking bookmakers available in your country…

Which bookmakers offer Super Sub in your country?

Our call

Prediction: France 2-1 Italy

France are ranked nine places higher and their World Cup attacking numbers were the best in our data. Home advantage at the Stade de France and a week of work under Zidane should make them stronger than in the opening two games.

The 2024 meetings both finished 3-1, so we expect goals at both ends.

1X2

France.

Goals

lean over 2.5 — both 2024 meetings had four goals.

BTTS

lean Yes.

Best betting angles

  • Match result

    Confidence: Medium

    France

    Home advantage, ranking and attacking volume.

  • BTTS

    Confidence: Low

    Yes

    Both 2024 meetings finished 3-1.

Live prices

France vs Italy odds

Live 1X2 prices from licensed bookmakers, refreshed every few minutes. Prices move with team news — compare before you bet and check the bookmaker's own terms.

🇪🇺

Live Odds — UEFA Nations League

Live 1X2 odds via The Odds API · Updated every 5 min · 18+ only

Loading odds…

Odds provided by The Odds API · Bookmakers based on your location · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly

Form & tactics

Current form and how the match could play out

🇫🇷 France

France scored 16 and conceded 2 in six World Cup matches in our log, averaging 18.3 shots per game. Results from Türkiye (25 Sep) and Belgium (28 Sep) will be added here.

🇮🇹 Italy

Italy are 12th in the June 2026 FIFA ranking. They play Belgium (25 Sep) and Türkiye (28 Sep) before this trip.

  • France's attacking volume — Mbappé, Dembélé and Olise — is the constant; how Zidane organises the defence after two matches will decide how open this game is.
  • Italy's last visit to Paris produced a 3-1 win built on quick transitions behind France's full-backs.

Corners

France vs Italy corners

France averaged 6.8 corners per game at the World Cup. Full corners and cards previews will follow after Matchday 2.

Cards

France vs Italy cards

France averaged 0.67 yellow cards per game at the World Cup. Referee to be confirmed.

Player markets

Player betting angles

  • Shots on target

    Confidence: Medium

    Kylian Mbappé 2+

    2+ shots on target in all six World Cup games in our log.

Player markets depend on the confirmed line-up. Some bookmakers protect these bets if the player is substituted — see the Super Sub section.

Stats & H2H

France vs Italy stats and head-to-head

Team comparison
StatFranceItaly
FIFA ranking (June 2026)312
Head coachZinedine Zidane—
WC 2026 corners per game6.83—
WC 2026 shots per game18.33—
WC 2026 shots on target per game7.83—
WC 2026 yellow cards per game0.67—

Source: FIFA ranking 11 June 2026; SuperSubBetting World Cup 2026 match log (where held).

The 2024/25 Nations League meetings were split: Italy won 3-1 in Paris, France won 3-1 in Milan.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
17 Nov 2024Nations LeagueItaly v FranceMilan1-3
6 Sept 2024Nations LeagueFrance v ItalyParis1-3
1 Jun 2018FriendlyFrance v ItalyNice3-1
17 Jun 2008Euro 2008France v ItalyZürich0-2
9 Jul 2006World Cup finalItaly v FranceItaly won 5-3 on penalties, Berlin1-1

Team news

Team news, injuries and likely line-ups

Official squads announced — starting line-ups not confirmed. Last checked 24 Sept 2026.

🇫🇷 France

  • Squad named 18 September: Mbappé (captain), Dembélé, Olise; Saliba not selected; five uncapped players.

Possible line-up

To be confirmed.

🇮🇹 Italy

  • Italy's squad and absences to be confirmed.

Possible line-up

To be confirmed.

Projections will be added after Matchday 2.

Substitution protection

Super Sub for France vs Italy

Super Sub-style features keep a player bet alive if your player is substituted: the bet transfers to the replacement. Each bookmaker brands it differently — Super Sub, Sub On Play On, PowerSub, Impact Sub, Sure Sub, Safe Sub and others — and each applies it to its own list of markets, typically goalscorer, shots on target and player cards.

The list below only shows bookmakers licensed in your country with a substitution feature recorded in our database, and the markets their own rules name. Availability on this specific international match is decided market by market by the operator.

Loading bookmakers for your country…

Substitution protection is applied market by market. Coverage of UEFA Nations League fixtures is not confirmed individually for each operator — check that the feature badge is shown on the exact bet before you place it.

18+ · T&Cs apply · Please gamble responsibly

More: Super Sub betting sites · Does my bookmaker have Super Sub? · Super Sub on shots on target

Compare

Bookmakers available in your country

Best bookmakers · Super Sub verified

France vs Italy — Betting Sites

Showing best bookmakers for 🌍 …

All Super Sub sites →Compare all

Your country

🌍…

Filter:

18+ only. Always check current terms, responsible gambling tools and local availability before betting. Offers vary by country.

Betting sites by country

FAQ

France vs Italy: questions and answers

What time is France vs Italy?

France vs Italy kicks off at 20:45 CEST (19:45 UK) on Friday 2 October 2026 at the Stade de France.

What happened the last time France played Italy?

France won 3-1 in Milan in the Nations League on 17 November 2024.

More Nations League previews

All Nations League predictions · Betting tips today · Best bets today · Lire en français

Sources and verification · last reviewed 24 Sept 2026

18+ only. Predictions are opinions based on the data available, not certainties. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Safer gambling.